Thursday, December 11, 2025

Ghost Stories #88: Lessons from 2025 – discipline over drama

As we look back on a fascinating year in the markets, Nico Katzke (Head of Portfolio Solutions at Satrix) delivered a fantastic mix of insights on this podcast that can be applied to your strategy in 2026 and beyond. From being careful not to learn the wrong lessons through to choosing simplicity over complexity, there's a lot of great stuff in here to get you ready for another year in the markets.

PODCAST: No Ordinary Wednesday Ep116 | Markets in dissonance – what 2025 taught us

The year-end episode of the No Ordinary Wednesday podcast confronts a familiar contradiction: markets that looked buoyant, and an economy that often didn’t. In a conversation between host Jeremy Maggs and Investec's Chief Investment Strategist Chris Holdsworth, this podcast dissects the year’s dissonance and the lessons it leaves behind - above all, that in a noisy world, valuation discipline and diversification remain the investor’s most dependable anchors.
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Ghost Bites (BHP | British American Tobacco | Mahube Infrastructure | Merafe | Thungela)

Thungela updated the market on a tough year. British American Tobacco has reaffirmed 2026 guidance. BHP unlocked capital through a BlackRock infrastructure deal. Merafe is hoping for progress with Eskom. Mahube Infrastructure may be leaving our market.

Ghost Bites (Absa | Capitec | Italtile | Nampak | Spar | Sygnia)

In banking, Absa's expense growth is a concern and Capitec is acquiring fintech Walletdoc for up to R400 million. In turnaround valley, Nampak is a lot further along in the process than Spar. Italtile is really struggling in this market. Sygnia is growing strongly, but why is dividend growth lagging?

 

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GHOST WRAP – Earnings season brings out the bulls and the bears

With the August / September earnings season behind us, it's helpful to look at share price moves over the past 30 days on the JSE to see how sentiment has shifted. The PGMs have driven the Top40 higher, while insurance has taken a breather.

GHOST WRAP – The JSE Winners’ Club in 2025

At the halfway mark in 2025, we've lived through some huge geopolitical shifts. The world's gaze has shifted beyond just the US market. Many investors choose to stick with what they know in times like these. This means homegrown favourites on the JSE. But which stocks have been the big winners thus far this year, and what do they have in common?
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