Saturday, January 11, 2025
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Who’s doing what this week in the South African M&A space?

Exchange Listed Companies

Gold Fields has announced an all share offer to acquire Canada-based miner Yamana Gold. The share-for-share exchange transaction, with an exchange ratio of 0.6 Gold Fields consideration shares for each Yamana share, values Yamana Gold at c. US$6,7 billion (R103 billion). The market reacted sharply to the deal and its dilutive nature, with the share price tanking 23%. It may be worth remembering that in 2016 Sibanye Gold acquired US Stillwater Mining for R30 billion and at the time Sibanye’s market capitalisation was R26 billion – a case of the minnow swallowing the whale. Gold Fields’ market capitalisation on the other hand was R170 billion on the day prior to the announcement of its proposed R103 billion deal. Gold Fields shareholders will own 61% and Yamana shareholders 39%. The combined group will be headquartered in Johannesburg with operations across Canada, Australia, South America, Ghana and South Africa, creating a diversified top-4 gold global major.

Naspers’ venture capital unit Naspers Foundry has invested R40 million in fintech startup LifeCheq. The startup uses artificial intelligence to lower the cost of financial advice previously accessible only to higher-income earners. This marks the fifth fintech investment and its 11th technology-based transaction.

Huge Telecom, a subsidiary of Huge Group, has concluded an agreement to acquire the remaining 49.97% interest in Huge Networks from Otel Communications for a purchase consideration of R15 million. In addition, Huge acquired a 5% stake in Glovent Solutions, a company specialising in innovative system design and development for R3 million.

Kibo Energy is to take a 51% stake in National Broadband Solutions (NBS), following a deal with Hasta Trust. NBS holds a portfolio of long duration energy storage projects with an initial target of c.36,320 MWh capacity. In exchange for the stake, Kibo will grant NBS access to its strategic capabilities and capacity in respect of long duration storage solutions for specific market sectors covered by NBS’ project portfolio.

Capital & Counties Properties plc is in talks with Shaftesbury plc on a possible all-share merger. Capco has until June 17 to announce a firm intention to make an offer or announce it does not intend to do so as per the regulatory laws governing such actions in the UK.

Libstar announced in February 2021 the sale of a 70% stake in its household and personal care businesses for R174,6 million to PAPE Fund Managers and Kanaka Chemicals following an offer from the acquirers. This week the company advised that although the businesses had delivered improved an operating profit result despite the volatility of the current economic environment the parties had been unable to conclude the definite agreements relating to the transaction.

Unlisted Companies

Wasaa, the Johannesburg-based, black women-owned petrochemicals company has acquired the East London liquid fuel import terminal from BP Southern Africa (bpSA). The deal, the financial details of which were undisclosed, sees Wasaa Terminals take full operational control of the terminal, the movable assets and a 20% stake in the berth to terminal pipeline. bpSA has retained operation of its transport business.

Enko Education, a network of African international schools headquartered in Johannesburg, has closed its US$5,8 million series B round led by Adiwale Partners with participation from the Steyn Capital family office among others. Funds will be used to increase the number of students in the network.

West Wits Mining, which is listed on the ASX, is to increase its ownership in the Witwatersrand Basin Project to 74% with the acquisition of a 7.4% stake from Lilitha Resources, its BEE partner for US$50,000 in cash and 96 million West Wits Mining shares.

South African international calling app startup, Talk360, has secured US$4 million in funding led by HAVAIC with participation from Cape-based 4Di Capital and angel investors. Funds will be used to launch a new pan-African payment platform that will integrate all available payment options across Africa and to expand its international calling operations across the continent.

Local e-commerce platform Shopstar has secured an undisclosed sum in its third-round funding from Launch Africa Ventures, a pan-African fund headquartered in Mauritius. The platform enables local entrepreneurs to build online stores and grow businesses by offering easy to use professional services. The funds will be used to scale its platform.

DealMakers is SA’s M&A publication
www.dealmakerssouthafrica.com

Who’s doing what in the African M&A space?

DealMakers AFRICA

Incofin Investment Management, the Belgian-headquartered international impact investment company, has disposed its 20% stake in ACEP Burkina (held through Incofin CVSO, a cooperative investment fund open to small investors) to French impact investor, Solidarité Internationale pour le Développement et l’Investissement (SIDI). ACEP is the second largest microfinance institution in Burkina Faso by portfolio size and offers a broad range of financial solutions to SMEs, institutions and high net-worth individuals.

Kansai Paint Co, a Japanese, Osaka-based chemical company, is to sell its African operations to Dutch multinational paints and coatings company AkzoNobel. Kansai Paint which has a footprint in 12 African countries will receive US$450 million for the sale of assets.

Cairo-based Appetito, the Egyptian grocery and household products delivery service, is to acquire Lamma, a Tunisian on-demand delivery business with a presence in Tunisia and Morocco. The financial details of the deal are undisclosed.

African-focused fintech platform Finclusion Group has received an equity investment from The Cairo Angels Syndicate Fund, a micro venture fund investing in early-stage startups in the Middle East and Africa.

BURN Manufacturing, a Kenyan manufacturing company specialising in the design and manufacture of biomass, electric and LPG cookstoves, has, via a long-term quasi-equity instrument received US$4 million. The investment by Spark+ Africa Fund will enable BURN to increase the capacity of its manufacturing facility in Nairobi and finance the expansion of its business in new markets including Somalia, Ghana, Nigeria, Mozambique and the DRC.

Nigerian mobility technology company DriveMe has raised an undisclosed sum in a pre-seed funding round which will aid its local expansion and product development. The platform sources drivers, verifies their credentials and pairs them with vehicle owners and fleet operators.

Enko Education, a network of African international schools headquartered in South Africa, has closed its US$5,8 million series B round led by Adiwale Partners with participation from the Steyn Capital family office among others. Funds will be used to increase the number of students in the network.

Natrify, an Egypt-based biotechnology startup, has raised a six figure pre-Seed round to further its product development. Natrify offers a sustainable and biodegradable alternative to single-use plastic, having recently developed Adigide, a plastic that is biodegradable in many environments. The investment was raised from Ambo Ventures, a venture capital fund focused on investing in impact-driven and socially responsible African startups.

Betastore, the Nigerian-based B2B startup, has raised US$2,5 million in a pre-Series A funding round led by 500 Global, VestedWorld and Loyal VC. The funds will be used to scale the business into Ghana, the DRC and Cameroon by year-end. The retail marketplace enables informal traders to source fast-moving consumer goods directly from the manufacturer/distributor thereby keeping costs competitive.

Egypt-based on-demand delivery startup Gooo Delivery has raised an undisclosed amount in a pre-seed round. The startup offers point-to-point delivery services via the use of an app which enables users to order a range of goods in several cities across Egypt. Funds will be used to scale the business.

DealMakers AFRICA is the Continent’s M&A publication
www.dealmakersafrica.com

Weekly corporate finance activity by SA exchange-listed companies

BHP has paid its shareholders an in specie dividend in the form of Woodside Petroleum shares in connection with the merger of its oil and gas portfolio with Woodside. 914,768,948 Woodside ordinary shares received as part of the merger have been distributed to BHP shareholders valued at US$19,6 billion.

Equites Property Fund has issued a total of 1,421,922 new company shares in terms of its scrip distribution alternative, retaining R28,16 million in new equity. The company’s total issued share capital now consists of 777,995,297ordinary shares.

Isa Holdings is to pay shareholders a special dividend of 10 cents per share totalling an aggregate of R17,1 million.

Data specialist PBT Group is to distribute 30 cents per share in the form of a special dividend for a total distribution of R31,8 million.

AngloGold Ashanti is the latest listed corporate to take a secondary listing on A2X Markets. The company will retain its listings on the JSE, NYSE, ASX and the Ghana Stock Exchange. The shares will be available to trade on the A2X platform from June 6, 2022.

A number of companies listed on one of South Africa’s Stock Exchanges have initiated share buyback programmes and each week update shareholders. They are:

Barloworld is to buy back up to 10% of its issued ordinary share capital through a repurchase programme on the open market.

Glencore this week repurchased 6,200,000 shares for a total consideration of £32,6 million in terms of its existing buyback programme which is expected to end in August 2022.

South32 this week repurchased 1,335,716 shares for an aggregate cost of A$6,41 million.

This week British American Tobacco repurchased 1,964,000 shares for a total of £69,56 million. The purchased shares will be held in treasury with the number of shares permitted to be repurchased set at 229,400,000.

This week three companies issued profit warnings. The companies were: African Equity Empowerment Investments, Imbalie Beauty and Mantengu Mining.

Four companies issued cautionary notices to shareholders this week. The companies were: PSV, Tongaat Hulett, FirstRand and Tradehold.

DealMakers is SA’s M&A publication
www.dealmakerssouthafrica.com

Thorts: When unplanned for events can trump a share sale deal

Negotiating the most beneficial price is a key consideration when business owners want to sell their shares. However, in reality, “ancillary matters” often creep up on the parties and serve to delay or frustrate matters, with an obvious impact on the price that the owner was hoping to get. Let’s consider some of these, together with their impact and, notably, their tax effect.

The elephant in the room is often regulation. For instance, the Companies Act holds that a seller may not dispose or give effect to an agreement to dispose of all or the greater part of its assets or undertakings unless the Takeover Regulation Panel has issued a compliance certificate or exempted the transaction.

It is, therefore, important to determine whether the company in which the shares are held is a “regulated company”. This would most likely be the case where 10% or more of the issued securities of the company have been transferred (other than by transfer between or among related or inter-related persons) within the period of 24 months immediately before the date of a particular transaction or offer. Should such transfers have occurred, the seller will be regarded as a “regulated company” that is entering into an “affected transaction” which would be subject to TRP approval.

Competition authority approval is another crucial aspect. In this regard, you would need to establish whether there will be an acquisition or establishment of control over the whole or part of the business of the company, as contemplated in the Competition Act. Should that be the case, you will need to consider the thresholds and categories of mergers to determine whether approval from the Competition Authorities is required. There is a useful basic merger threshold calculator on the Competition Commission’s website.

Another key consideration is, if the Seller has a properly drafted MOI, there will usually be a pre-emptive right in favour of the other shareholders contained in the MOI, or at least an article that provides that any shareholder to whom a transferor wants to transfer shares must be approved by the other shareholders. It is important to adequately deal with any such pre-emptive rights in your transaction documents as part of the conditions precedent.

Tax Considerations
Proper record keeping of historic transactions is vitally important as you would use those records to determine whether the current transaction will (a) be subject to capital gains or income tax by assessing the nature and period of the shares held or (b) give rise to any onerous claw-back provisions should group reorganisation transactions have been entered into in the recent past.

Furthermore, historic and envisaged dividends would also need to be considered. This is because of the dividend stripping provisions contained in the Income Tax Act, which could potentially give rise to increased capital gains tax exposure for the current transaction should “exempt extraordinary dividends” have been declared in relation to the shares being sold.

Certain transactions also have reporting requirements from an income tax perspective. In this regard, the regulations published on “Reportable Arrangements” needs to be considered. The most notable we have seen recently being:

*An arrangement in terms of which a company buys back shares for an aggregate amount exceeding R10m, and that company issued or is required to issue any shares within 12 months of entering into that arrangement, or of the date of any buy-back in terms of that arrangement.
*An arrangement in terms of which one or more persons acquire the controlling interest in a company that has an assessed loss exceeding R50m.

Should the acquiring party in a particular transaction not be a South African Reserve Bank Resident, or should the transaction be funded with offshore loans, it must be noted that the transaction or loan funding should be placed on record with the South African Reserve Bank.

Further considerations that may also be important are:

*Whether the seller has ceded the shares as security. A well-drafted cession as security agreement will likely require the written consent of the cessionary before the shares can be transferred.
*If the seller is bound as surety or guarantor for the due and proper performance of the Company. If this is the case, ensure that the applicable clauses relating to the release or indemnification of the Seller be included in the Agreement.
*Industry specific regulations (for example in the mining sector).

Getting a Sale Over the Finish Line
So, in a nutshell, the purchase consideration, albeit potentially the most vital aspect for any transaction, is not the only aspect to be considered should you wish to get the transaction over the finish line in a timeous fashion. It is, therefore, important to ensure all regulatory and legal aspects are considered and accounted for in any potential deal timeline.

Bobby Wessels is an associate and specialist tax and transaction advisor | AJM Tax Attorneys.

This article first appeared in DealMakers, SA’s quarterly M&A publication

DealMakers is SA’s M&A publication
www.dealmakerssouthafrica.com

Ghost Bites Vol 20 (22)

  • Capital Appreciation Group is a fascinating tech company. It was the first special purpose acquisition company (SPAC) ever listed on the JSE and has gone from strength to strength. In the year ended March 2022, revenue jumped by 34.1% and EBITDA increased by 45.5% with an EBITDA margin of 30.3%. Headline earnings per share (HEPS) increased by 29.6% to 13.40 cents and the annual dividend was 7.50 cents. For more details on this exciting business, read this feature article.
  • Harmony Gold has at least added some much-needed positive news to the gold sector narrative this week. The first phase of Harmony’s renewable energy journey is a 30MW solar energy plant in the Free State. Phase 2 is a lot more exciting, with 137MW across various longer-life mines. By FY25 when Phase 2 is fully operational, Harmony anticipates R500 million in annual cost savings. Phase 1 is where the action currently is, with three plants being built in a deal with various technical and funding partners. Beyond the obvious benefit of cost savings and emissions reductions, these projects unlock “green funding” from banks. In a syndication led by Absa and Nedbank, Harmony has raised a R1.5 billion term loan (ring-fenced for Phase 2) and sustainability-linked loans consisting of a R2.5 billion revolving credit facility, a $300 million revolving credit facility and a $100 million term loan. The sustainability-linked loans have KPIs related to emissions, energy consumption and potable water consumption. If Harmony meets the targets, the interest rate drops. If it misses them, the rate rises. This is a really great example of how financial structures can be used to incentivise sustainable behaviour.
  • Oceana Group has released its interim results for the six months ended March 2022. Shareholders are desperate for some stability here, after wholesale executive management changes and the resignation of the auditors. Revenue fell by 11% and overheads increased by 7%, including a R42 million impact from legal and incremental audit costs related to the delay in the September 2021 year-end audit. Considering the insurance proceeds for a hurricane and the KZN riots were R63 million and R9 million respectively, accounting is practically a natural disaster. Operating profit fell by 37% and HEPS tanked by 51%. The good news is that the group still generated positive cash flow and net debt was reduced by 8%, for which shareholders will be thanking their Lucky Stars. A dividend of 55 cents per share has been declared as a result, half of last year’s interim dividend.
  • African Media Entertainment is highly illiquid and has a significant bid-offer spread, so the drop of 15% in the share price on thin volumes is a function of that. The company released results for the year ended March 2022, reflecting revenue up 25%, operating profit up 80% and HEPS coming in at 371.6 cents. A final dividend of 200 cents per share has been declared, taking the total for the year to 280 cents. The share price closed at R33.99.
  • If you are a shareholder in Datatec, the JSE-listed technology firm with extensive global reach, look out for a circular dealing with the cash vs. scrip dividend decision. A scrip dividend allows shareholders to reinvest the dividends (i.e. receive more shares) instead of cash dividends. There is usually an incentive given to choose the shares, in this case a 10% discount to the volume weighted average price (VWAP). The benefit to the company is that cash is retained for growth if shareholders elect the scrip dividend alternative.
  • Lewis Group has continued with its share buyback program that has been a great driver of shareholder returns. Since the general authority granted in October 2021, 9.9% of shares in issue have been repurchased, leaving just 0.1% left under that authority. The last 6.6% has been repurchased at an average price of R49.89, lower than the current share price of R51.00.
  • There have been some grumblings at the Mpact AGM, with special resolutions related to share repurchases, financial assistance to group companies and non-executive directors’ remuneration failing to pass. The financial assistance resolution passed in June 2021 lasts for two years, so the group is unaffected for now. Non-executive directors have agreed to serve without remuneration while shareholder consultations are conducted. Caxton voted against the resolutions, using its significant minority position to achieve this outcome. There have been noises around Caxton making an offer for the company or pushing for a merger, but that hasn’t happened yet. Minority shareholders in Mpact need to keep a careful eye on this.
  • Steinhoff Investment Holdings has released a trading statement. Many people get confused when it comes to this company, as there are two listed Steinhoff entities. This is JSE:SHFF and the instrument is a variable rate, cumulative, non-redeemable, non-participating preference share. If you think that’s a mouthful, I was once in a deal negotiation where people discussed such an instrument in Afrikaans. Trust me, THAT’S a mouthful. To be clear, this is a subsidiary of Steinhoff International Holdings (JSE:SNH) and the earnings aren’t reflective of group earnings.
  • Irongate Property Fund shareholders will be pleased to learn that the New Zealand Overseas Investment Office has consented to Charter Hall’s proposed acquisition of Irongate. This is just one condition out of a long list that needs to be met.
  • Brikor Limited has broken ground at the Grootfontein mine in Nigel, which lies adjacent to Brikor’s Ilangabi coal mine. The mine is expected to create 300 new jobs over the next five years and produce 50,000 tons per month with the potential to increase this further.
  • Many South African corporates have announced an update to credit rating outlooks from stable to positive. This is a result of an improvement in the sovereign position. Not many have received outright upgrades though, with Sappi Southern Africa announcing that Global Credit Ratings has revised the firm from AA(ZA) to AA+(ZA) with a positive outlook. The short-term rating has moved from a stable to positive outlook as well. Again, this is a measure of risk rather than potential equity gains, but is still a trend in the right direction.
  • Christo Wiese is known for using leveraged positions to turbocharge his wealth. I guess there’s no such thing as “enough” – which is why an entity in his group has rolled a single stock futures position on Shoprite Holdings worth nearly R425 million and added another R1.2 million of exposure to it for good measure.
  • Transaction Capital took some pain yesterday, presumably based on an announcement of directors (the group CFO and a director of a major subsidiary) selling shares that were received under a conditional share plan. By afternoon trade, it had recovered some of the losses to be 3.75% down.
  • Mantengu Mining is a company that you can easily be forgiven for not knowing anything about. The company is technically insolvent and just operated as a cash shell this year, with no revenue. The board is pursuing the acquisition of Langpan Mining Co and issued a circular on 30 May for this opportunity. This is effectively a reverse listing of assets into the cash shell. Although the latest news is that Mantengu has released financial results for the year ended February, they are almost pointless. Full focus is on the Langpan deal.

Top People and Partnership for Primedia as the Group Poises For Growth

Just months into his role as Group CEO of the Primedia Group, Jonathan Procter, is making sure that growth is on the horizon for leading media mega-group Primedia.

When Jonathan Proctor was appointed as Group CEO in August 2021, the chair of the Primedia Group Board, Phumzile Langeni spoke of how Jonathan’s extensive media experience in Africa and Europe qualified him to lead the next stage of the Primedia Group’s growth strategy. Phumzile commented that Jonathan’s innovative outlook and his global insights on media would benefit the group.

With the appointment of top talent and the signing of a prestigious partnership, it appears as if the new CEO of the Primedia Group is living up to his promise.

Exciting Developments at Primedia

Randall Abrahams takes up top spot at Primedia Broadcasting

The airwaves have been abuzz, in recent weeks, with the appointment of Randall Abrahams as the new CEO of Primedia Broadcasting. The multi-talented Randall Abrahams, a broadcasting and music connoisseur, has an enviable track record in launching, transforming and successfully commercializing broadcasting and music platforms. He will be responsible for managing and growing 702 and 947 in Gauteng, as well as Cape Talk and KFM in the Western Cape and Eyewitness News (EWN), Primedia’s national news content service. (Read more here)

Clare O’Neil appointed Primedia Group COO

The appointment of one of the industry’s finest marketing and media doyennes, Clare O’Neil as COO of the Primedia Group has been widely applauded. She will coordinate Primedia’s operational growth through upscaling group synergies, directing group marketing and research strategies, and unpacking new innovative data initiatives. Clare has worked at SABC as general manager of TV sales and at eTV as the channel’s commercial sales director and is a well-regarded thought leader of marketing and media matters. (Read more here)

Prized partnership with Paramount

Primedia and Paramount have entered into a winning strategic partnership. This partnership brings together the powerful and popular mass mediums of television and radio. This powerhouse collaboration will unlock considerable and multiply audiences and commercial value for clients and partners. This game-changing collaboration is a significant step forward for Primedia and Paramount, as both brands continue to offer diverse content, a streaming model, mix of platforms and reach – all in response to the evolving, media consumption patterns of audiences. (Read more here)

Ghost Bites Vol 19 (22)

  • Santam has released an update for the four months ended April 2022. Premiums are up, underwriting margins are down and investment returns have taken a knock. There’s much to learn about the insurance industry from this feature article.
  • Tradehold has concluded an agreement to sell its shareholding and claims in Moorgarth Holdings to Moorgarth Group Holdings, the holding company of all the interests in the UK. This is a related party deal worth GBP102.5 million. Major shareholders of Tradehold with a total stake of 67.2% in the company cannot vote on the deal, as they are also shareholders of the purchaser and are thus conflicted. The legal term is that a majority of “disinterested shareholders” need to approve the deal, which is a nod to their lack of conflict rather than their lack of concentration at the meeting. An independent expert has been hired to opine on the fairness of the transaction, which is particularly important as the sales price appears to be well below the value recognised in Tradehold’s books (GBP149 million).
  • Property fund Fairvest has released interim results for the six months ended March 2022. Due to the recent merger with Arrowhead, the comparability of the accounts with the prior period is severely impacted. Investors should note that Fairvest also holds a 61% stake in Indluplace Properties and an 8.6% interest in Dipula Income Fund. Fairvest has a dual-share structure and has declared dividends of 61.52 cents and 21.33 cents for the A and B shares respectively. This is a 4.3% yield on the A shares and a 6.5% yield on the B shares. The A shares are trading at a 4% discount to net asset value (NAV) per share and the B shares are trading at a 33% discount to NAV per share.
  • Labat Africa announced in December 2021 that it had signed a put option agreement that would allow it to raise R300 million in capital over the next 36 months from GR Global Ventures LLC, an investment group based in the US. There have been delays in implementing the deal as Labat navigates the JSE requirements for a deal like this. As soon as these hurdles are cleared, Labat wants to exercise the put option on between 14 million and 28 million shares, which means issuing those shares at the price in the option agreement – a premium of 120% to the current price. This would raise between R3.7 million and R7.4 million by my rough calculations. The proceeds will be used to expand the Sweetwaters operation in the Eastern Cape, part of the strategy for international offtake of pharmaceutical grade cannabis.
  • There’s an update from Ascendis. In stark contrast to the usual newsflow from the company, it’s a bit, well, normal? The sale of Amka Products (the Nimue business) has been implemented and the proceeds will reduce the debt owed to Austell Pharmaceuticals. Ascendis needs to distribute a circular to its shareholders regarding other transactions and was supposed to do so by 31 May 2022. With recent changes to the board and the lenders, this simply hasn’t been possible. The JSE has granted a dispensation and the circular is expected to be distributed by the end of June.
  • BHP Group has completed its merger with Woodside Energy Group. In this deal, BHP sold BHP Petroleum to Woodside and received shares in Woodside as payment. These shares are being distributed to shareholders in other jurisdictions, as Australian business Woodside will be listing in London as part of the deal. South African shareholders will be paid out in cash (BHP will sell the shares on behalf of local shareholders) unless they elected to receive the shares and followed the required process with the SARB. I remain annoyed that the enlarged Woodside business won’t be listing on the JSE.
  • Back in February, Libstar shareholders rejoiced at the news that an acquirer would be taking a controlling stake in the household and personal care business, leaving the group to focus on the food business. Sadly, the deal has fallen through. On the plus side, Libstar has highlighted that this segment delivered an improved operating result in the first four months of this financial year vs. the comparable period. Libstar is down more than 22% this year.
  • Mantengu Mining has released a trading statement for the year ended February 2022. The headline loss per share will be between 89.30 and 92.80 cents and I’m not sure that this is directly comparable to the prior year due to a significant restructure.
  • Investors in Purple Group will know that Mark Barnes has been a seller of the shares in recent times, which has been an ongoing awkward discussion point for the company as substantial growth is being promised. The latest update is that Barnes has sold R40.5 million worth of shares in Purple, with a note that he is “diversifying his personal portfolio” – which makes sense. The share price has been incredibly volatile this year and is down around 15% this year. It’s been a fun opportunity for traders, with a massive support level at around R2.30.
  • Spear REIT has withdrawn the ability for shareholders to choose to reinvest their dividends rather than receive the cash. This means that the Spear distribution will be paid out in cash.

Santam flags a tough net result

Santam has provided an operational update for the four months ended April 2022. Insurance is a particularly colourful game in South Africa, with a solid combination of natural disasters and civil unrest to keep things “interesting” I suppose.

I’ve gone into the details below, with the overall message being that premium growth is strong, underwriting margins are under pressure (due mainly to the floods) and investment returns have also been knocked by the bear market.

Conventional Insurance

The first segment is called “Conventional Insurance” – perhaps ironic given the issues we’ve dealt with as a country.

Gross written premium growth was strong at 7%. Santam’s exposure to the KZN floods is R3.2 billion, with the net impact limited to R500 million as a result of the reinsurance program. Insurance is all about managing the amount of residual risk carried after paying for reinsurance.

Santam notes that this is a 1 in 25-year event and the largest natural catastrophe in Santam’s history, dwarfing even the PR catastrophe of Santam’s business interruption insurance court case during the pandemic. Ok, I added the second part in.

A negative net underwriting margin has been reported for this period due to the large negative impact in a short period (only four months is being considered here).

Apart from fires and other weather-related claims this year, Santam also notes that there has been an increase in vehicle accidents compared to the lockdown period. This makes sense as people return to work, though I would expect hybrid working trends to have a structural benefit for insurance companies. We are driving a lot less but our premiums haven’t come down.

The Santam Specialist business reported negative growth in gross written premiums, as strong growth in travel insurance was more than offset by the engineering and corporate property business. Underwriting results were solid in this space, though the property side was also affected by the floods.

In other important updates, MiWay had subdued gross written premium growth and experienced pressure on underwriting performance from the floods and weather conditions, while Santam Re had excellent gross written premium growth.

Market volatility negatively impacted the investment return on insurance funds, especially in the US component of the investments.

Alternative Risk Transfer

There wasn’t much to say on this one – the ART segment had strong operating results and lower underwriting results, which seems to be the flavour of the day in the broader group.

Sanlam Emerging Market partner business

The Sanlam Pan Africa General Insurance business achieved net earned premium growth of 7%, or 10% in constant currency. A lower investment return on insurance funds has negatively impacted the results, particularly due to the decline in Moroccan equity markets.

Investing in an insurance business means you carry all kinds of interesting underlying exposures!

Underwriting margins were at the lower end of the 5% – 9% range, adding to the narrative of the rest of the group.

Shriram General Insurance was hit by lower sales, with some relief coming from prescribed third-party premium increases in India. The good news is that the claims experience and investment returns were better year-on-year, contributing to a significantly improved overall result.

Other stuff

There have been some corporate actions, like Santam’s economic interest in Shriram General Insurance diluting from 15% to 14% in April as a leading global investment fund invested in the Indian business. Also in April, Santam became the sole owner of Indwe Broker Holdings by buying the remaining 76% for R125 million.

Then in May, the big news of the Allianz deal at Sanlam level hit the market. This is primarily a Sanlam transaction, with the impact on Santam being a disposal of a 10% interest in SAN JV to Allianz. Santam has hedged the proceeds using a 12-month zero-cost collar structure. This protects Santam against the EUR/ZAR dropping below R16.66 and allows Santam to benefit from rand weakness up to R19.16.

There are some balance sheet movements in terms of issuances and redemptions of subordinated debt, which is business as usual for insurance groups. Importantly, the balance sheet is still strong despite the poor underwriting and investment results.

Results for the six months to June will be released on 1st September, an unusual way to celebrate Spring Day. Despite all of this, the share price is up 5% this year!

Easy Does It podcast: Ins and Outs of USD Investing

In the EasyEquities podcast hosted by Tshepo Kgapana aka DJ@Large, my Magic Markets partner Mohammed Nalla and I went head-to-head in a highly entertaining format where we discussed US stocks.

The episodes were recorded in April so the price levels have changed. What hasn’t changed is the great banter between us and the insights into the underlying stocks!

You can listen to Part 1 and Part 2 using the podcast players below. Best of all, you can invest in these US stocks through your EasyEquities account!

If you enjoy our analysis, subscribe for Magic Markets Premium for R99/month and unlock incredible investment insights into the US market. We’ve developed an institutional level product at retail pricing, driven by our commitment to make investing accessible and fun.

Enjoy the shows!


DISCLAIMER: EasyEquities is a product of First World Trader (Pty) Ltd t/a EasyEquities which is an authorised Financial Services Provider. FSP number: 22588. This material is not intended as and does not constitute financial advice or any other advice and is neither exhaustive nor prescriptive. The views expressed by the contributor are his or her own (as an independently registered financial services provider, financial adviser or other independent capacity), and not necessarily endorsed by EasyEquities (as a separate financial services provider).

The US dollar is calling the shots

Andre Botha, Senior Dealer at TreasuryONE

In a market that has been very uncertain at the best of times in the recent past, where we have seen emerging markets running stronger with the US dollar and then a subsequent mini-emerging markets meltdown, one thing has remained relatively stable: given time, the US dollar is the ultimate market mover and holds the key to the movement of other currencies.

As can be seen below, the rand has followed the dollar index closely:

Picture1-May-31-2022-12-12-29-00-PM

Let’s look at last week as an example. In the recent past, we have seen the ECB speculating that they might start hiking rates to curb inflation in the Eurozone. Granted, this was euro positive, but the real move in the US dollar came as the expectations of significant hikes in the back end of 2022 from the US have started to dwindle.

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Coupled with chatter from other reserve banks across the world about faster rate hikes as can be seen from the chart above, the possibility that the US might not hike as aggressively later in the year has caused the market to believe that the interest rate differential between the US and the rest of the world will be less at the end of the year. This has undercut some of the US dollar strength and has seen the US dollar move to 1.07 against the euro after trading at 1.04 not so long ago.

What does this mean for emerging markets, but in particular for the rand?

In the short term, we have seen that the rand has picked up the tailwinds after the MPC announcement and the US dollar weakness, and the rand has made a run at the R15.50 level. Whether there is enough momentum to continue down to the R15.20 level remains to be seen, but we expect that gains could be hard to come as the market needs a sustained signal that risky assets are the month’s flavour for the rand continues on its merry way.

One only has to look at the performance of the stock indices over the past couple of weeks to see that everything is a little topsy-turvy at the moment. From the graph below, one can see that the US equity markets ended its longest losing streak since 2001:

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US non-farm payroll number on Friday

As is usual with the first week of the month, the US non-farm payroll number is released on Friday, and while it is early days in the interest rate hiking cycle in the US, it will be interesting to note if/whether the recent rate hikes have caused a halt in hiring in the US. It will be interesting to see how the US dollar will react in an event like that.

On the local front, we believe the rand will trade in a range of R15.40-R15.70 for most of the week, with the real issue being the US non-farm payroll number on Friday.

New fuel price hikes are coming into effect this week. As parliament weighs up how to protect the consumer from the price hike, we can expect inflation to jump on the back of this and force the hand of the MPC down the line to hike interest rates again.

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