Sunday, April 27, 2025
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Thorts: When unplanned for events can trump a share sale deal

Negotiating the most beneficial price is a key consideration when business owners want to sell their shares. However, in reality, “ancillary matters” often creep up on the parties and serve to delay or frustrate matters, with an obvious impact on the price that the owner was hoping to get. Let’s consider some of these, together with their impact and, notably, their tax effect.

The elephant in the room is often regulation. For instance, the Companies Act holds that a seller may not dispose or give effect to an agreement to dispose of all or the greater part of its assets or undertakings unless the Takeover Regulation Panel has issued a compliance certificate or exempted the transaction.

It is, therefore, important to determine whether the company in which the shares are held is a “regulated company”. This would most likely be the case where 10% or more of the issued securities of the company have been transferred (other than by transfer between or among related or inter-related persons) within the period of 24 months immediately before the date of a particular transaction or offer. Should such transfers have occurred, the seller will be regarded as a “regulated company” that is entering into an “affected transaction” which would be subject to TRP approval.

Competition authority approval is another crucial aspect. In this regard, you would need to establish whether there will be an acquisition or establishment of control over the whole or part of the business of the company, as contemplated in the Competition Act. Should that be the case, you will need to consider the thresholds and categories of mergers to determine whether approval from the Competition Authorities is required. There is a useful basic merger threshold calculator on the Competition Commission’s website.

Another key consideration is, if the Seller has a properly drafted MOI, there will usually be a pre-emptive right in favour of the other shareholders contained in the MOI, or at least an article that provides that any shareholder to whom a transferor wants to transfer shares must be approved by the other shareholders. It is important to adequately deal with any such pre-emptive rights in your transaction documents as part of the conditions precedent.

Tax Considerations
Proper record keeping of historic transactions is vitally important as you would use those records to determine whether the current transaction will (a) be subject to capital gains or income tax by assessing the nature and period of the shares held or (b) give rise to any onerous claw-back provisions should group reorganisation transactions have been entered into in the recent past.

Furthermore, historic and envisaged dividends would also need to be considered. This is because of the dividend stripping provisions contained in the Income Tax Act, which could potentially give rise to increased capital gains tax exposure for the current transaction should “exempt extraordinary dividends” have been declared in relation to the shares being sold.

Certain transactions also have reporting requirements from an income tax perspective. In this regard, the regulations published on “Reportable Arrangements” needs to be considered. The most notable we have seen recently being:

*An arrangement in terms of which a company buys back shares for an aggregate amount exceeding R10m, and that company issued or is required to issue any shares within 12 months of entering into that arrangement, or of the date of any buy-back in terms of that arrangement.
*An arrangement in terms of which one or more persons acquire the controlling interest in a company that has an assessed loss exceeding R50m.

Should the acquiring party in a particular transaction not be a South African Reserve Bank Resident, or should the transaction be funded with offshore loans, it must be noted that the transaction or loan funding should be placed on record with the South African Reserve Bank.

Further considerations that may also be important are:

*Whether the seller has ceded the shares as security. A well-drafted cession as security agreement will likely require the written consent of the cessionary before the shares can be transferred.
*If the seller is bound as surety or guarantor for the due and proper performance of the Company. If this is the case, ensure that the applicable clauses relating to the release or indemnification of the Seller be included in the Agreement.
*Industry specific regulations (for example in the mining sector).

Getting a Sale Over the Finish Line
So, in a nutshell, the purchase consideration, albeit potentially the most vital aspect for any transaction, is not the only aspect to be considered should you wish to get the transaction over the finish line in a timeous fashion. It is, therefore, important to ensure all regulatory and legal aspects are considered and accounted for in any potential deal timeline.

Bobby Wessels is an associate and specialist tax and transaction advisor | AJM Tax Attorneys.

This article first appeared in DealMakers, SA’s quarterly M&A publication

DealMakers is SA’s M&A publication
www.dealmakerssouthafrica.com

Ghost Bites Vol 20 (22)

  • Capital Appreciation Group is a fascinating tech company. It was the first special purpose acquisition company (SPAC) ever listed on the JSE and has gone from strength to strength. In the year ended March 2022, revenue jumped by 34.1% and EBITDA increased by 45.5% with an EBITDA margin of 30.3%. Headline earnings per share (HEPS) increased by 29.6% to 13.40 cents and the annual dividend was 7.50 cents. For more details on this exciting business, read this feature article.
  • Harmony Gold has at least added some much-needed positive news to the gold sector narrative this week. The first phase of Harmony’s renewable energy journey is a 30MW solar energy plant in the Free State. Phase 2 is a lot more exciting, with 137MW across various longer-life mines. By FY25 when Phase 2 is fully operational, Harmony anticipates R500 million in annual cost savings. Phase 1 is where the action currently is, with three plants being built in a deal with various technical and funding partners. Beyond the obvious benefit of cost savings and emissions reductions, these projects unlock “green funding” from banks. In a syndication led by Absa and Nedbank, Harmony has raised a R1.5 billion term loan (ring-fenced for Phase 2) and sustainability-linked loans consisting of a R2.5 billion revolving credit facility, a $300 million revolving credit facility and a $100 million term loan. The sustainability-linked loans have KPIs related to emissions, energy consumption and potable water consumption. If Harmony meets the targets, the interest rate drops. If it misses them, the rate rises. This is a really great example of how financial structures can be used to incentivise sustainable behaviour.
  • Oceana Group has released its interim results for the six months ended March 2022. Shareholders are desperate for some stability here, after wholesale executive management changes and the resignation of the auditors. Revenue fell by 11% and overheads increased by 7%, including a R42 million impact from legal and incremental audit costs related to the delay in the September 2021 year-end audit. Considering the insurance proceeds for a hurricane and the KZN riots were R63 million and R9 million respectively, accounting is practically a natural disaster. Operating profit fell by 37% and HEPS tanked by 51%. The good news is that the group still generated positive cash flow and net debt was reduced by 8%, for which shareholders will be thanking their Lucky Stars. A dividend of 55 cents per share has been declared as a result, half of last year’s interim dividend.
  • African Media Entertainment is highly illiquid and has a significant bid-offer spread, so the drop of 15% in the share price on thin volumes is a function of that. The company released results for the year ended March 2022, reflecting revenue up 25%, operating profit up 80% and HEPS coming in at 371.6 cents. A final dividend of 200 cents per share has been declared, taking the total for the year to 280 cents. The share price closed at R33.99.
  • If you are a shareholder in Datatec, the JSE-listed technology firm with extensive global reach, look out for a circular dealing with the cash vs. scrip dividend decision. A scrip dividend allows shareholders to reinvest the dividends (i.e. receive more shares) instead of cash dividends. There is usually an incentive given to choose the shares, in this case a 10% discount to the volume weighted average price (VWAP). The benefit to the company is that cash is retained for growth if shareholders elect the scrip dividend alternative.
  • Lewis Group has continued with its share buyback program that has been a great driver of shareholder returns. Since the general authority granted in October 2021, 9.9% of shares in issue have been repurchased, leaving just 0.1% left under that authority. The last 6.6% has been repurchased at an average price of R49.89, lower than the current share price of R51.00.
  • There have been some grumblings at the Mpact AGM, with special resolutions related to share repurchases, financial assistance to group companies and non-executive directors’ remuneration failing to pass. The financial assistance resolution passed in June 2021 lasts for two years, so the group is unaffected for now. Non-executive directors have agreed to serve without remuneration while shareholder consultations are conducted. Caxton voted against the resolutions, using its significant minority position to achieve this outcome. There have been noises around Caxton making an offer for the company or pushing for a merger, but that hasn’t happened yet. Minority shareholders in Mpact need to keep a careful eye on this.
  • Steinhoff Investment Holdings has released a trading statement. Many people get confused when it comes to this company, as there are two listed Steinhoff entities. This is JSE:SHFF and the instrument is a variable rate, cumulative, non-redeemable, non-participating preference share. If you think that’s a mouthful, I was once in a deal negotiation where people discussed such an instrument in Afrikaans. Trust me, THAT’S a mouthful. To be clear, this is a subsidiary of Steinhoff International Holdings (JSE:SNH) and the earnings aren’t reflective of group earnings.
  • Irongate Property Fund shareholders will be pleased to learn that the New Zealand Overseas Investment Office has consented to Charter Hall’s proposed acquisition of Irongate. This is just one condition out of a long list that needs to be met.
  • Brikor Limited has broken ground at the Grootfontein mine in Nigel, which lies adjacent to Brikor’s Ilangabi coal mine. The mine is expected to create 300 new jobs over the next five years and produce 50,000 tons per month with the potential to increase this further.
  • Many South African corporates have announced an update to credit rating outlooks from stable to positive. This is a result of an improvement in the sovereign position. Not many have received outright upgrades though, with Sappi Southern Africa announcing that Global Credit Ratings has revised the firm from AA(ZA) to AA+(ZA) with a positive outlook. The short-term rating has moved from a stable to positive outlook as well. Again, this is a measure of risk rather than potential equity gains, but is still a trend in the right direction.
  • Christo Wiese is known for using leveraged positions to turbocharge his wealth. I guess there’s no such thing as “enough” – which is why an entity in his group has rolled a single stock futures position on Shoprite Holdings worth nearly R425 million and added another R1.2 million of exposure to it for good measure.
  • Transaction Capital took some pain yesterday, presumably based on an announcement of directors (the group CFO and a director of a major subsidiary) selling shares that were received under a conditional share plan. By afternoon trade, it had recovered some of the losses to be 3.75% down.
  • Mantengu Mining is a company that you can easily be forgiven for not knowing anything about. The company is technically insolvent and just operated as a cash shell this year, with no revenue. The board is pursuing the acquisition of Langpan Mining Co and issued a circular on 30 May for this opportunity. This is effectively a reverse listing of assets into the cash shell. Although the latest news is that Mantengu has released financial results for the year ended February, they are almost pointless. Full focus is on the Langpan deal.

Top People and Partnership for Primedia as the Group Poises For Growth

Just months into his role as Group CEO of the Primedia Group, Jonathan Procter, is making sure that growth is on the horizon for leading media mega-group Primedia.

When Jonathan Proctor was appointed as Group CEO in August 2021, the chair of the Primedia Group Board, Phumzile Langeni spoke of how Jonathan’s extensive media experience in Africa and Europe qualified him to lead the next stage of the Primedia Group’s growth strategy. Phumzile commented that Jonathan’s innovative outlook and his global insights on media would benefit the group.

With the appointment of top talent and the signing of a prestigious partnership, it appears as if the new CEO of the Primedia Group is living up to his promise.

Exciting Developments at Primedia

Randall Abrahams takes up top spot at Primedia Broadcasting

The airwaves have been abuzz, in recent weeks, with the appointment of Randall Abrahams as the new CEO of Primedia Broadcasting. The multi-talented Randall Abrahams, a broadcasting and music connoisseur, has an enviable track record in launching, transforming and successfully commercializing broadcasting and music platforms. He will be responsible for managing and growing 702 and 947 in Gauteng, as well as Cape Talk and KFM in the Western Cape and Eyewitness News (EWN), Primedia’s national news content service. (Read more here)

Clare O’Neil appointed Primedia Group COO

The appointment of one of the industry’s finest marketing and media doyennes, Clare O’Neil as COO of the Primedia Group has been widely applauded. She will coordinate Primedia’s operational growth through upscaling group synergies, directing group marketing and research strategies, and unpacking new innovative data initiatives. Clare has worked at SABC as general manager of TV sales and at eTV as the channel’s commercial sales director and is a well-regarded thought leader of marketing and media matters. (Read more here)

Prized partnership with Paramount

Primedia and Paramount have entered into a winning strategic partnership. This partnership brings together the powerful and popular mass mediums of television and radio. This powerhouse collaboration will unlock considerable and multiply audiences and commercial value for clients and partners. This game-changing collaboration is a significant step forward for Primedia and Paramount, as both brands continue to offer diverse content, a streaming model, mix of platforms and reach – all in response to the evolving, media consumption patterns of audiences. (Read more here)

Ghost Bites Vol 19 (22)

  • Santam has released an update for the four months ended April 2022. Premiums are up, underwriting margins are down and investment returns have taken a knock. There’s much to learn about the insurance industry from this feature article.
  • Tradehold has concluded an agreement to sell its shareholding and claims in Moorgarth Holdings to Moorgarth Group Holdings, the holding company of all the interests in the UK. This is a related party deal worth GBP102.5 million. Major shareholders of Tradehold with a total stake of 67.2% in the company cannot vote on the deal, as they are also shareholders of the purchaser and are thus conflicted. The legal term is that a majority of “disinterested shareholders” need to approve the deal, which is a nod to their lack of conflict rather than their lack of concentration at the meeting. An independent expert has been hired to opine on the fairness of the transaction, which is particularly important as the sales price appears to be well below the value recognised in Tradehold’s books (GBP149 million).
  • Property fund Fairvest has released interim results for the six months ended March 2022. Due to the recent merger with Arrowhead, the comparability of the accounts with the prior period is severely impacted. Investors should note that Fairvest also holds a 61% stake in Indluplace Properties and an 8.6% interest in Dipula Income Fund. Fairvest has a dual-share structure and has declared dividends of 61.52 cents and 21.33 cents for the A and B shares respectively. This is a 4.3% yield on the A shares and a 6.5% yield on the B shares. The A shares are trading at a 4% discount to net asset value (NAV) per share and the B shares are trading at a 33% discount to NAV per share.
  • Labat Africa announced in December 2021 that it had signed a put option agreement that would allow it to raise R300 million in capital over the next 36 months from GR Global Ventures LLC, an investment group based in the US. There have been delays in implementing the deal as Labat navigates the JSE requirements for a deal like this. As soon as these hurdles are cleared, Labat wants to exercise the put option on between 14 million and 28 million shares, which means issuing those shares at the price in the option agreement – a premium of 120% to the current price. This would raise between R3.7 million and R7.4 million by my rough calculations. The proceeds will be used to expand the Sweetwaters operation in the Eastern Cape, part of the strategy for international offtake of pharmaceutical grade cannabis.
  • There’s an update from Ascendis. In stark contrast to the usual newsflow from the company, it’s a bit, well, normal? The sale of Amka Products (the Nimue business) has been implemented and the proceeds will reduce the debt owed to Austell Pharmaceuticals. Ascendis needs to distribute a circular to its shareholders regarding other transactions and was supposed to do so by 31 May 2022. With recent changes to the board and the lenders, this simply hasn’t been possible. The JSE has granted a dispensation and the circular is expected to be distributed by the end of June.
  • BHP Group has completed its merger with Woodside Energy Group. In this deal, BHP sold BHP Petroleum to Woodside and received shares in Woodside as payment. These shares are being distributed to shareholders in other jurisdictions, as Australian business Woodside will be listing in London as part of the deal. South African shareholders will be paid out in cash (BHP will sell the shares on behalf of local shareholders) unless they elected to receive the shares and followed the required process with the SARB. I remain annoyed that the enlarged Woodside business won’t be listing on the JSE.
  • Back in February, Libstar shareholders rejoiced at the news that an acquirer would be taking a controlling stake in the household and personal care business, leaving the group to focus on the food business. Sadly, the deal has fallen through. On the plus side, Libstar has highlighted that this segment delivered an improved operating result in the first four months of this financial year vs. the comparable period. Libstar is down more than 22% this year.
  • Mantengu Mining has released a trading statement for the year ended February 2022. The headline loss per share will be between 89.30 and 92.80 cents and I’m not sure that this is directly comparable to the prior year due to a significant restructure.
  • Investors in Purple Group will know that Mark Barnes has been a seller of the shares in recent times, which has been an ongoing awkward discussion point for the company as substantial growth is being promised. The latest update is that Barnes has sold R40.5 million worth of shares in Purple, with a note that he is “diversifying his personal portfolio” – which makes sense. The share price has been incredibly volatile this year and is down around 15% this year. It’s been a fun opportunity for traders, with a massive support level at around R2.30.
  • Spear REIT has withdrawn the ability for shareholders to choose to reinvest their dividends rather than receive the cash. This means that the Spear distribution will be paid out in cash.

Santam flags a tough net result

Santam has provided an operational update for the four months ended April 2022. Insurance is a particularly colourful game in South Africa, with a solid combination of natural disasters and civil unrest to keep things “interesting” I suppose.

I’ve gone into the details below, with the overall message being that premium growth is strong, underwriting margins are under pressure (due mainly to the floods) and investment returns have also been knocked by the bear market.

Conventional Insurance

The first segment is called “Conventional Insurance” – perhaps ironic given the issues we’ve dealt with as a country.

Gross written premium growth was strong at 7%. Santam’s exposure to the KZN floods is R3.2 billion, with the net impact limited to R500 million as a result of the reinsurance program. Insurance is all about managing the amount of residual risk carried after paying for reinsurance.

Santam notes that this is a 1 in 25-year event and the largest natural catastrophe in Santam’s history, dwarfing even the PR catastrophe of Santam’s business interruption insurance court case during the pandemic. Ok, I added the second part in.

A negative net underwriting margin has been reported for this period due to the large negative impact in a short period (only four months is being considered here).

Apart from fires and other weather-related claims this year, Santam also notes that there has been an increase in vehicle accidents compared to the lockdown period. This makes sense as people return to work, though I would expect hybrid working trends to have a structural benefit for insurance companies. We are driving a lot less but our premiums haven’t come down.

The Santam Specialist business reported negative growth in gross written premiums, as strong growth in travel insurance was more than offset by the engineering and corporate property business. Underwriting results were solid in this space, though the property side was also affected by the floods.

In other important updates, MiWay had subdued gross written premium growth and experienced pressure on underwriting performance from the floods and weather conditions, while Santam Re had excellent gross written premium growth.

Market volatility negatively impacted the investment return on insurance funds, especially in the US component of the investments.

Alternative Risk Transfer

There wasn’t much to say on this one – the ART segment had strong operating results and lower underwriting results, which seems to be the flavour of the day in the broader group.

Sanlam Emerging Market partner business

The Sanlam Pan Africa General Insurance business achieved net earned premium growth of 7%, or 10% in constant currency. A lower investment return on insurance funds has negatively impacted the results, particularly due to the decline in Moroccan equity markets.

Investing in an insurance business means you carry all kinds of interesting underlying exposures!

Underwriting margins were at the lower end of the 5% – 9% range, adding to the narrative of the rest of the group.

Shriram General Insurance was hit by lower sales, with some relief coming from prescribed third-party premium increases in India. The good news is that the claims experience and investment returns were better year-on-year, contributing to a significantly improved overall result.

Other stuff

There have been some corporate actions, like Santam’s economic interest in Shriram General Insurance diluting from 15% to 14% in April as a leading global investment fund invested in the Indian business. Also in April, Santam became the sole owner of Indwe Broker Holdings by buying the remaining 76% for R125 million.

Then in May, the big news of the Allianz deal at Sanlam level hit the market. This is primarily a Sanlam transaction, with the impact on Santam being a disposal of a 10% interest in SAN JV to Allianz. Santam has hedged the proceeds using a 12-month zero-cost collar structure. This protects Santam against the EUR/ZAR dropping below R16.66 and allows Santam to benefit from rand weakness up to R19.16.

There are some balance sheet movements in terms of issuances and redemptions of subordinated debt, which is business as usual for insurance groups. Importantly, the balance sheet is still strong despite the poor underwriting and investment results.

Results for the six months to June will be released on 1st September, an unusual way to celebrate Spring Day. Despite all of this, the share price is up 5% this year!

Easy Does It podcast: Ins and Outs of USD Investing

In the EasyEquities podcast hosted by Tshepo Kgapana aka DJ@Large, my Magic Markets partner Mohammed Nalla and I went head-to-head in a highly entertaining format where we discussed US stocks.

The episodes were recorded in April so the price levels have changed. What hasn’t changed is the great banter between us and the insights into the underlying stocks!

You can listen to Part 1 and Part 2 using the podcast players below. Best of all, you can invest in these US stocks through your EasyEquities account!

If you enjoy our analysis, subscribe for Magic Markets Premium for R99/month and unlock incredible investment insights into the US market. We’ve developed an institutional level product at retail pricing, driven by our commitment to make investing accessible and fun.

Enjoy the shows!


DISCLAIMER: EasyEquities is a product of First World Trader (Pty) Ltd t/a EasyEquities which is an authorised Financial Services Provider. FSP number: 22588. This material is not intended as and does not constitute financial advice or any other advice and is neither exhaustive nor prescriptive. The views expressed by the contributor are his or her own (as an independently registered financial services provider, financial adviser or other independent capacity), and not necessarily endorsed by EasyEquities (as a separate financial services provider).

The US dollar is calling the shots

Andre Botha, Senior Dealer at TreasuryONE

In a market that has been very uncertain at the best of times in the recent past, where we have seen emerging markets running stronger with the US dollar and then a subsequent mini-emerging markets meltdown, one thing has remained relatively stable: given time, the US dollar is the ultimate market mover and holds the key to the movement of other currencies.

As can be seen below, the rand has followed the dollar index closely:

Picture1-May-31-2022-12-12-29-00-PM

Let’s look at last week as an example. In the recent past, we have seen the ECB speculating that they might start hiking rates to curb inflation in the Eurozone. Granted, this was euro positive, but the real move in the US dollar came as the expectations of significant hikes in the back end of 2022 from the US have started to dwindle.

Picture2-May-31-2022-12-14-04-09-PM

Coupled with chatter from other reserve banks across the world about faster rate hikes as can be seen from the chart above, the possibility that the US might not hike as aggressively later in the year has caused the market to believe that the interest rate differential between the US and the rest of the world will be less at the end of the year. This has undercut some of the US dollar strength and has seen the US dollar move to 1.07 against the euro after trading at 1.04 not so long ago.

What does this mean for emerging markets, but in particular for the rand?

In the short term, we have seen that the rand has picked up the tailwinds after the MPC announcement and the US dollar weakness, and the rand has made a run at the R15.50 level. Whether there is enough momentum to continue down to the R15.20 level remains to be seen, but we expect that gains could be hard to come as the market needs a sustained signal that risky assets are the month’s flavour for the rand continues on its merry way.

One only has to look at the performance of the stock indices over the past couple of weeks to see that everything is a little topsy-turvy at the moment. From the graph below, one can see that the US equity markets ended its longest losing streak since 2001:

Picture3-May-31-2022-12-14-45-29-PM

US non-farm payroll number on Friday

As is usual with the first week of the month, the US non-farm payroll number is released on Friday, and while it is early days in the interest rate hiking cycle in the US, it will be interesting to note if/whether the recent rate hikes have caused a halt in hiring in the US. It will be interesting to see how the US dollar will react in an event like that.

On the local front, we believe the rand will trade in a range of R15.40-R15.70 for most of the week, with the real issue being the US non-farm payroll number on Friday.

New fuel price hikes are coming into effect this week. As parliament weighs up how to protect the consumer from the price hike, we can expect inflation to jump on the back of this and force the hand of the MPC down the line to hike interest rates again.

Ghost Bites Vol 18 (22)

  • The Gold Fields share price tanked over 11% in the morning and eventually closed over 20% lower once the US woke up. The market reacted to an announcement that the company is acquiring Yamana Gold. This is such a significant deal that I wrote a feature article on it that you can read here.
  • Famous Brands has released results for the year ended February 2022. This result is against a base that is so soft that you would send it back if it was your pizza. Nevertheless, it’s a strong performance and there’s further room for recovery. I covered it in detail here.
  • Reinet Investments has released results for the year ended March 2022. This is effectively Johann Rupert’s investment vehicle that was born out of a restructure of Richemont. Reinet holds investments in British American Tobacco and Pension Insurance Corporation Group, as well as several private equity and unlisted investments. The net asset value at 31 March 2022 is up 9.4% year-on-year, a similar growth rate to the average since 2009. The net asset value per share is EUR31.99 and Reinet has been using share buybacks to take advantage of the discount to net asset value. Converted at today’s exchange rate, the net asset value per share is around R535 and the share price is R320, so the discount is 40%. The proposed dividend per share of EUR0.28 per share is a 12% increase vs. the prior year.
  • Huge Group has released results for the year ended February 2022. The comparatives are useless, as Huge used to consolidate its underlying companies like an operating company usually does. Now, Huge has changed to an investment entity, so it recognises their fair values with the changes through profit or loss. I want to show you what this looks like in practice with a snippet of the balance sheet below. Personally, I think this accounting change is really weird and it puts me off ever buying the shares.
  • South32 has completed the acquisition of an additional 16.6% shareholding in Mozal Aluminium. The final price is just over $2 billion and takes the shareholding to 63.7%. Aluminium is key to South32’s strategy around a low carbon future, as the lightweight metal has numerous applications in making things lighter and more efficient (like cars).
  • Labat Africa has issued shares representing 5.2% of the company for cash. The prices range between 21.90 cents and 26.61 cents. The company has raised nearly R5 million based on the midpoint of this range. The funds will be used to expand the cannabis healthcare business and for working capital. The company also released interim results for the six months ended February 2022, in which revenue fell by 5.7% and the operating loss worsened by 37.4%. The headline loss per share was 4.3 cents.
  • Tongaat Hulett is in a really tough spot and is busy negotiating with its lenders around the capital structure. The lenders have made the seasonal overdraft facility available at an earlier date than previously contemplated and have extended other debt reduction milestones to 30 June 2022. These milestones include the proposed rights offer.
  • Renewable energy group Mahube Infrastructure announced results for the year ended February 2022. Revenue is up 76.6% and HEPS has increased to 118.9 cents. The tangible net asset value has increased from R10.63 to R11.21 and a final cash dividend of 32 cents per share has been declared. The share price closed around 12% higher at R5.99.
  • If you are a MiX Telematics shareholder, be aware that the company is presenting at a conference and that the presentation should be available on the corporate website by Tuesday night (it was not available at time of writing this).
  • Insimbi Industrial Holdings is a fascinating small cap. This group supplies ferrous and non-ferrous alloys, refractory materials and plastics. In the year ended February 2022, revenue increased by 23% to R6 billion and net profit jumped 138% to R104 million. The group generated cash from operations of R236 million and HEPS was 138% higher at 24.58 cents. Rising commodity prices have helped here. Still, no dividend has been declared in the interest of caution. The share price closed 1.8% higher at R1.14.
  • Afine Investments owns a portfolio of fuel forecourts. The company is recently listed and the group was restructured for the listing, so there are no sensible comparable financials. In the year ended February 2022, HEPS was 46.23 cents and the dividend is 27.80 cents. The net asset value is R3.55 per share. The share price closed slightly higher at R6.95.
  • DRA Global has appointed James Smith as interim CEO of the company. He is expected to resume his old role in the business when a new CEO is appointed. In the meantime, he will bank an annual package of R5.5 million plus bonuses.
  • FirstRand has renewed the cautionary linked to the potential repurchase of its B preference shares. The bank is still investigating the optimal process for a repurchase and has not made a formal offer as of yet.
  • If you are an Acsion Limited shareholder, you should pencil in 10th June for the release of full year results. I suggest a pencil, as there are “unforeseen circumstances” causing a delay.
  • Just when it seemed things couldn’t get much worse for Pembury Lifestyle Group, the company announced that CEO Andrew Mclachlan suddenly passed away.

Famous Brands – results fresh out the oven

After releasing results for the year ended February 2022, Famous Brands rallied by as much as 11% before settling down to a 4.9% gain by lunchtime on Tuesday.

As a quick reminder, Famous Brands is a vertically integrated company that primarily services a vast footprint of franchised fast-food outlets and restaurants. In some cases, there are corporate-owned restaurants.

The network has 2,824 outlets and 17 restaurant brands. Most of these are in South Africa (2,470) with the remainder in the rest of Africa and the Middle East (287) as well as the United Kingdom (67).

You also need to know that the group reports based on two segments, largely depending on whether you feel like a quick burger or a sit-down meal with a more interesting choice of drink. The Leading Brands segment is further split into Quick Services and Casual Dining, with Signature Brands as the fancier segment.

It should go without saying that the pandemic was truly horrible for Famous Brands. Woolworths was barely even allowed to sell cooked chickens at times, so you can imagine how things looked for Steers and Debonairs. This result is compared to the year ended February 2021, so the base year is one that is best forgotten.

Revenue is up 38% vs. that period and headline earnings per share (HEPS) has jumped by 568%. Importantly, cash generated from operations increased by 67% to R871 million. Net debt to EBITDA has fallen sharply from 3.04x to 1.32x, a far more comfortable level.

Return on Capital Employed (ROCE) is measured as operating profit divided by the sum of equity, interest-bearing debt and net lease liabilities. In simpler terms, this is a way of measuring the return achieved on investment, regardless of whether the capital used in that investment takes the form of equity or debt. ROCE was 29% in this period, which is a great reminder of why investors like this business model.

At segmental level, Leading Brands revenue was up 58% to R773 million and Signature Brands was up 91% to R145 million. You can clearly see the impact of Covid in the base year on the restaurants that rely on alcohol sales to make money. Another factor is that during Covid, people were prepared to get take-aways but weren’t so keen on sitting in a restaurant. Those were truly horrible times in our lives.

Turnover in the Signature Brands segment is still below Covid levels, as this reporting period was impacted by curfews, capacity reductions and alcohol restrictions.

Interestingly, Famous Brands notes that although competition in the sector is fierce, new brands are not emerging. This makes sense given the difficult backdrop. As Roco Mamas (eventually acquired by Spur) showed us though, a new kid can arrive on the block when the environment is more attractive.

Another important observation made by the company is that consumers are eating out less often because of financial constraints. Premium restaurants don’t really notice this issue, as rich people will always have money for great food and wine. In the rest of the market, restaurants must offer great value to compete successfully.

Looking abroad, most markets in rest of Africa and Middle East returned to 2020 trading levels by the end of this financial period. In the UK, Wimpy’s operating profit improved by 18% and margins were steady at 13%. Delivery sales have declined as customers have returned to restaurants.

Further back in the value chain (where Famous Brands actually makes its money), manufacturing operating profit was up 65%. In the logistics side of the business, operating margin increased to 1.5% from a loss-making -0.4% in the prior period.

Although consumers are clearly venturing out again, the retail business (a Steers sauce in a supermarket) registered a 47% increase in sales to R222 million. This is a substantial part of the business and Famous Brands shareholders enjoy all the wholesale profits here, as franchisees don’t get a slice of this action when head office sells sauces and similar products to retail outlets. This is an important growth area for Famous Brands, with a plan to launch at least 12 new products in the year ahead.

A dividend of 200 cents per share has been declared, representing a yield of around 3.3%.

This was a strong recovery year for Famous Brands against an easy base. After several years of making mistakes and pursuing international high-risk opportunities, the management is focused on the core business. This is good news for investors.

Gold Fields bets the farm – the market hates it

When it comes to gold miners, Gold Fields has been the most impressive weed in a swamp of disappointment for me. My investment in this sector has been an epic fail, as the gold price has decided that war and inflation are no longer drivers of its price.

Nobody is quite sure what does drive the gold price now.

In dollar terms, gold is lower than it was a year ago. In rand terms, it is marginally higher. This doesn’t help when underlying mining costs are climbing sharply from inflationary pressures on wages and energy costs.

Gold Fields tanked more than 11% on Tuesday morning after the company announced a deal with Yamana Gold. It got even worse once the Americans woke up, eventually closing more than 20% down. The swamp has claimed another victim, this time self-inflicted by doing a gigantic deal to acquire a global player that is trading at a vastly higher multiple.

The first line of the announcement sounds rather exciting. The deal creates a top-4 gold player as measured globally, with operations in Canada, Australia, South America, Ghana and South Africa. The headquarters would be Johannesburg, which remains the City of Gold (and Potholes).

The deal structure is an all-share offer by Gold Fields based on an exchange ratio of 0.6 Gold Fields shares for each Yamana share, which implies a valuation of Yamana of $6.7 billion. The board of Yamana has unanimously approved the transaction and recommended to shareholders that they vote in favour of the deal, which makes me wonder whether Gold Fields has offered too much.

The reported value of net assets of Yamana is $5.25 billion and the profit after tax in the last quarter was $55.3 million. Even on an annualised basis, this is a forward Price/Earnings multiple of 30x! According to TIKR, Gold Fields is on a forward Price/Earnings multiple of 11.5x.

Can you say “earnings dilution”?

Yamana is currently listed in Toronto, New York and London, so the company moves faster between major cities than an oligarch’s yacht on a midnight escape route. The operations are in Canada, Brazil, Chile and Argentina and are focused on gold and silver production.

Gold Fields highlights the appeal of scale benefits from a larger portfolio, enhanced geographical diversification and complementary cash flow generation profiles. Both groups have healthy balance sheets and staggered capital investment cycles. The announcement also refers to an “industry-leading” growth pipeline.

Around $40 million worth of pre-tax synergies have been identified, mainly in operational integrations and financing synergies. A streamlining of overheads has also been highlighted. That’s not terrific news if your job at head office is to plug two systems into Excel and produce a pivot table.

No details are given of the triggers for the break fees. If they were to apply though, Gold Fields would have to pay $450 million or Yamana would have to pay $300 million, depending on which party is in breach.

So why has the market made its disgust clear with this deal? One reason might be the price – at a premium of 33.8% to the ten-day volume-weighted average price (VWAP) of Yamana, Gold Fields shareholders are paying up for this deal. Another might be the sheer size of the transaction and the risk that it brings, as existing Gold Fields shareholders will only own 61% of the combined group.

For this deal to go ahead, at least 75% approval is needed from Gold Fields shareholders. I’m not convinced that this is a dead rubber.

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