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The Finance Ghost Plugged in with Capitec: From shuttle rides to SaaS

In Season 2 of this podcast, The Finance Ghost talks to South African entrepreneurs about the ideas, choices and turning points behind building a business from scratch.

Most entrepreneurs don’t dream of becoming accounting software founders. Yet, in the back of a Joburg shuttle, Tayla Dandridge and her co-founders spotted a glaring gap: everyday businesses were being left behind by global ‘whales’ like QuickBooks and Sage. stub was born to serve the trader in Durban, the side hustler in Soweto and the small business owner who needs simplicity, intelligence and local relevance instead of intimidating spreadsheets.  

In this episode, Tayla shares how stub grew from a bootstrapped idea into a well-funded Software as a Service (SaaS) platform used by thousands of entrepreneurs across 14 countries. She explains why partnerships, including with Capitec, are critical to unlocking real-time financial insights, and how stub integrates payments to become a true ‘business-in-a-box.’  

Episode 1 covers:  

  • How stub was born in a Joburg shuttle and grew into a global SaaS platform
  • Why simplicity, intelligence and local relevance are at the heart of stub’s product design
  • How the route-to-market and the product decisions are interlinked
  • Why partnerships matter, including stub’s integration with our Business Banking
  • How to choose the right co-founder and what entrepreneurs can learn from Tayla’s experience
  • Bootstrapping, angel investment and the realities of raising money for a tech startup
  • How stub is embracing AI to cut admin and empower entrepreneurs  

The Finance Ghost plugged in with Capitec is made possible by the support of Capitec Business. All the entrepreneurs featured on this podcast are clients of Capitec. Capitec is an authorised Financial Services Provider, FSP number 46669.

Listen to the podcast:

Read the transcript:

The Finance Ghost: Welcome to this episode of the Finance Ghost Plugged in with Capitec. And in fact, it’s not just welcome to this episode, it’s welcome to this season! 

Because this is season two – I’m thrilled to report that I will be working with Capitec on another season of this wonderful podcast, where we get to expose people to some of the fantastic entrepreneurs in the broader Capitec ecosystem, and also some of the very important partners and people just making things happen.  

Today we are speaking to someone who is both an entrepreneur and a partner to Capitec. So this is going to be a particularly interesting conversation. 

That is Tayla Dandridge. She is the co-founder of stub. Tayla, thank you so much for your time joining me from Joburg and I’m very excited to dig into the story with you. 

Tayla Dandridge: Thank you so much, Ghost. I’m so excited to be here. 

The Finance Ghost: So, interestingly enough, accounting software startups are quite thin on the ground. I think when people talk about IT startups, things like fintechs come up a lot, and lots of payments businesses and all that kind of thing always seem to feature.  

But you’re not building one of those. You are building an accounting software startup, and there are some serious whales in that market that you are up against, right? It’s QuickBooks, Xero, it’s Sage, and a lot of others. It’s a tough game to actually break into.  

How and why did you actually set out on this journey? When you were in school and they asked you what you wanted to be when you grew up, did you say, “I want to be an accounting software nerd”? Probably not. How did you get here, Tayla? 

Tayla Dandridge: It’s a question on everybody’s lips. And I think most people don’t wake up in the morning and think, “sheepers, today I want to build accounting software”. And to be honest, it didn’t necessarily start that way for us either.  

Stub was actually started at the back of a shuttle in the Joburg central business district (CBD). We were surrounded by loads of everyday businesses. So think of your spazas, your traders, your service providers.  

And with the continuous stat that around 80% of small businesses are failing in South Africa, it was obvious to us that it was a market that was being massively underserved, and we wanted to do something about it.  

If you think about the whales that you mentioned, they’re built for a different kind of customer. Their customer is the accountant or someone who has a strong financial or finance background. And that’s for us where the opportunity sits.  

If you think of some of the global players in this space, if you think of maybe not this space in particular, but some of the fintechs that are doing epic things overseas, like Monzo or Revolut – they didn’t necessarily come into the market and just think, “Let’s do something slightly better than the high-street banks”. They came and did something fundamentally different – and that’s what excited us at stub. 

In verticals where they are whales, there’s almost always a massive underserved layer – and that’s the market that we’re building for. 

The Finance Ghost: That is very cool. I love the way you’re thinking about this, and you’ve raised a point that I wanted to bring up later, but let’s touch on it now.  

This concept of when you are disrupting, as we say, “whales” – very big, scary things in the ocean (well, not that scary, but they can be) – you need to be quick and you need to be smart, and you need to dart around them, and you need to do things that are fundamentally different, as you say. I think Revolut’s a great example.  

From a product perspective, you’ve talked about how stub is built for entrepreneurs rather than for accountants. And as someone who uses QuickBooks, and I am a Chartered Accountant by profession, I can absolutely understand what you’re saying – you go into something like QuickBooks, and I would imagine if you have no accounting background, that’s a very scary thing to be logging into and trying to understand. 

You’re very much in the hands of your accountant, and they know that, which is why they distribute through accountants to such a large extent over at Intuit (owner of QuickBooks).  

In your world, you are targeting business owners, and that means that stub is probably built quite differently to some of these names. So from a product perspective, what actually makes stub different? When you say you’ve built it for entrepreneurs, what does that mean? 

Tayla Dandridge: Well, firstly, Ghost, before we carry on, hopefully by the end of this podcast, you’ll be a new stub customer. That’s the goal. 

The Finance Ghost: I was waiting for you to upsell me on stub. I knew it.  

Tayla Dandridge: Yeah!  

The Finance Ghost: You wouldn’t be an entrepreneur if you didn’t attempt to pitch me. That’s key. 

Tayla Dandridge: Definitely! That’s going to be on my 2026 KPIs – move Ghost over to stub. 

But when we think about product, and we think about building technology, and we think about how we do things differently at stub, there are three things. 

The first thing, and top of my list, and something I fight for on a daily basis, is around simplicity. So how do we make sure that stub is incredibly simple and easy to use, and that it’s a fantastic customer experience? 

It shouldn’t feel like a hack, and it shouldn’t feel like it’s a tax on your time. So, how do you get on and get genuinely excited to use your accounting software? That’s a challenge in itself.  

The second thing, and probably quite a high priority item on most people’s lips at the moment, is around intelligence. So how do we make sure that stub does the work for you?  

And there we’re talking about real time reconciliation, automated insights, focusing on eliminating the admin that entrepreneurs really shouldn’t be doing. They don’t have time for that stuff. 

And third, but definitely not least important, and something that we’re incredibly passionate about, is: how do we build localisation? How do we ensure that there are deep integrations and functionality for the markets we serve, considering both price and functionality?  

So if you think about our whales and our incumbents, they weren’t built for the trader in Durban. We are. 

The Finance Ghost: Yeah, I like that. Local businesses for local solutions.  

I just want to understand a bit more about the team behind this, and where you guys actually sit, because I know that you split your time to a large extent between London and South Africa, so you kind of bring that global lens to it as well, which I think is important.  

And it’s not just you who’s built this thing. As I said at the start, you are a co-founder and we’ll get into the details of the team and some of those dynamics later. 

But perhaps in the meantime, this is a homegrown business, right? I mean, this thing has been built in South Africa by South Africans.  

How does that actually work in terms of the localisation, as you say, but also longer term ambitions to grow it elsewhere in the world? Because it’s difficult to scale into profitability in South Africa. It’s not impossible, but it’s obviously quite difficult. 

Tayla Dandridge: I’ll try to touch on all of those different pieces, but I think from a founder perspective, we are South Africans, and I think South Africans by nature are generally ambitious and bullish in the things that they do. So we’ve 100% got global ambition just baked into our DNA.  

Our team is deliberately split. If you think about London, you think about capital and access. If you think about the US, you think product innovation – and what’s happening overseas. What are the guys on that side of the world really pushing, and where are they placing their big bets?  

And then when I think of South Africa (SA) personally, I think it’s an incredible place for execution. So if you are building technology, if you’re looking to work with great people, I couldn’t think of a better place to do it. It’s also obviously the proximity to our core market, which is South African entrepreneurs.  

With that said, we are currently serving entrepreneurs in 14 different countries today, but the bulk of them sit in SA. If you think of a product like ours, I think we have it a little bit easier than the large regulated institutions. 

A tool like ours doesn’t respect borders. It’s relatively easy for us to move. So think of the problems entrepreneurs are facing in Joburg. There are probably entrepreneurs sitting in Lagos, Kenya or London experiencing similar things. And that’s the opportunity we’re going after. 

The Finance Ghost: Yeah, absolutely. It makes a world of sense. I’ve been looking at your website and all the language is just so fun. The entry level product is called Sneaky Side Hustle, which is brilliant. Whoever came up with that, well done. Tayla, I don’t know if that was you or one of your co-founders – whoever it was, that’s very cool. I really like that.  

That’s how people come into your ecosystem. That’s how people start to understand what’s going on. And interestingly enough, I see this includes the ability to accept payments online.  

So that’s something quite interesting that I’ve only just seen, which is that you’ve actually integrated payments and the accounting software.  

That starts to feel more like an entire back-end for a business, as opposed to just “Okay, this is my ledger, my accountant knows where to find it”. Can we talk about that a little bit? Because that’s very interesting.  

How does that work in terms of being able to accept payments? It sounds like a “business-in-a-box” for not just a side hustle, but a business to grow into it. 

Tayla Dandridge: Right, Ghost. I’m not going to claim Sneaky Side Hustle. I would love to, but I’ll have to give some credit to the team.  

But when you think of what I touched on briefly earlier, around the question: “How do you ensure that we are eliminating administrative tasks from an entrepreneur’s daily life?” – you have to think about utility, and you have to think about how you help entrepreneurs get things done. 

Accepting payments or getting paid is a big part of that. So ensuring we’re able to integrate solutions that entrepreneurs use and need on a daily basis is incredibly important to us. So at the moment we integrate through a third party to collect payments.  

You’ll see a lot evolving in this space over the next couple of months in terms of how we enable entrepreneurs to use payment capabilities that they already use, know, and love.  

That’s important for us: to make sure that it’s as easy and simple as possible. But think of payment links on invoices, payment links on checkout. All of the above is covered in our suite. 

The Finance Ghost: Yeah, very cool. It’s a pretty interesting offering. And then once you actually go up into the paid tiers, it’s pretty affordable. I see Growing Business sits at R189 a month. I can tell you, compared to the international names, this is definitely cheaper. So very, very interesting. Very cool, what you’re building.  

I want to move on then to your route to market, having dealt with some of the stuff around the product. 

How have you managed to find the several thousand entrepreneurs who seem to be using this? I must say there are some very, very cool testimonials on your side. One made me laugh. There seems to be someone called Pamela from a business called “Not Anderson”, which I thought was amazing, brilliant. I guess that tells us a lot about the sort of fun people who are using this, and businesses who are disruptors at the end of the day.  

They need to stand out, they need to do something different – and I guess that’s where you would appeal. So how do you find these people? What has the route to market been, to get to the level you’ve already gotten to – with quite a few thousand users, from what I can see? 

Tayla Dandridge: A lot of people think of distribution as an add-on, and you’re either building a great product, or you’re solving for distribution. And you’re generally tracing one or the other.  

But for us, we critically think about distribution as a product decision, and not a growth hack. I like to talk about things in threes. You’ll generally hear that come into our dialogue. There’s either three things that make us better, or three ways to market. 

Our distribution looks at three specific angles, and one is direct. So when we think of our direct channel, those are self-serve, our inbound customers, the customers that find us. And we drive a lot of that through great content.  

We’re hugely passionate about content that focuses specifically on the entrepreneur, their self-learned experiences, and what we can do to really help make their lives easier. It’s also our fastest feedback loop. So our direct distribution and community channels are where stub’s biggest advocates live.  

Some of that feedback that you’ve seen on our website is where our most vocal customers come forward and help us shape the product. It’s an incredibly important channel for us.  

Our second channel, which is probably as exciting, and also sits in my vertical, is partnerships and ecosystems. Ecosystems that are already servicing SMEs and entrepreneurs. Where entrepreneurs already feel the value, know the value and trust brands. 

I think Capitec is a great example here for us. But it’s important to think of partnerships not as a one-off, but more of categories. So when you think of these categories, what do they look like? Think of large financial institutions, think of tools that small businesses use.  

Our third: we haven’t really switched this on yet. It’s been requested a lot through customers around community and referral.  

When you’re an entrepreneur building in the entrepreneurial space, probably the person or the people you trust the most are other entrepreneurs. So how do we enable other entrepreneurs to share the stub story? And if they really are enjoying something, how do they tell somebody else about it? 

Watch this space – we’re not there yet! 

The Finance Ghost: Very cool. That’s great. You are 100% right about entrepreneurs. I think they tend to flock together, and then they always want to know what other entrepreneurs are doing, what’s worked for them, because it’s the hardest thing in the world, right?  

I know, you know, a lot of people listening to this podcast will know that starting a business, and scaling it, and getting to the point where you finally feel like it works, and then dealing with the big headaches – it’s extremely difficult. It’s really, really tough.  

So I think if you can get entrepreneurs to trust you, and then share that message with other entrepreneurs, that’s a big part of the battle won, absolutely.  

You mentioned partnerships there, and I want to touch on that, because you’ve now announced a really interesting partnership with Capitec. Congratulations. That’s obviously how you’ve come onto their radar and hence why you and I are doing this podcast. So I’m glad that you did this partnership because I am certainly enjoying chatting to you.  

Capitec Business is growing quickly. I’ve got to say, in season one, the authentic feedback from guests on the show about their experience with Capitec was amazing. People think it sounds like, “oh, you know, they were forced to say that”. But I can tell you it’s the conversations before and after the podcast, the stuff that doesn’t go into the wilderness, where you also get really authentic feedback. And honestly, it was very positive.  

I think Capitec Business is on a good wicket here. Well done on getting a partnership in place with them. They are obviously one of South Africa’s best examples of a disruptor, that is for sure. How does that partnership actually work between stub and Capitec? 

Tayla Dandridge: I’ll speak about partnerships broadly as a start, and just how we think about partnerships and working with other brands at stub, because that’s really important. 

The principle that it sits on is, “how do we work with another brand or another business to really solve an actual problem for entrepreneurs?” Because that’s where the value really sits.  

I think you hit the nail on the head. Capitec is a great example in this space. And both on the record and off the record, they’ve been a phenomenal business to work with and build with. It was a great experience. 

How it works is, if an entrepreneur has to export bank statements every day, every week or every month, or deal with duplicate transactions from a bad feed, they’re losing time and creating gaps in their financial history.  

And those gaps lock them out of multiple things. Locks them out of credit, out of insight and out of real-time decision making, which we know can cause a lot of pain in a small business’s life.  

The integration between Capitec and stub absolutely kills that. It’s real time, it’s automatic, and it’s clean. So that, for me, was one of the really exciting parts about it. It was a prime example of how deep, great integration should work. It was also a great example of what happens when a fintech and a large financial institution work together.  

We can start unlocking pieces of value in spaces where entrepreneurs have previously been underserved, or largely locked out. 

The Finance Ghost: And obviously partnerships are just a very important way to grow, as you’ve highlighted. So I don’t doubt that we’ll see lots more of them from you.  

It also goes to that localisation point, right? If you want to actually really embed yourself in a business ecosystem, then you need to partner with the brands and the platforms that people in that country are using. I mean, that’s what it comes down to, right? 

Tayla Dandridge: 100%. 

The Finance Ghost: Let’s talk then about integration with the other people you are building this with, because you have a few co-founders, which is awesome. And building with co-founders is either the best decision you’ll ever make or the worst.  

It seems to be going very well for you. And long may that last. That is excellent. You talked about how this business started in the back of a shuttle. So I’m curious, how many of these co-founders were in the shuttle? Did you guys just go on this ride around Joburg until you thought of a business? Was it like a forced thing? No, I’m just kidding. 

Tayla Dandridge: [Laughs].  

The Finance Ghost: Tell us that story of how you guys came together, the different skills being brought to the table, and just other advice you have for entrepreneurs in a similar situation where they’re deciding, “do I build with co-founders? Do I rather go to loan and hire people?”. Not necessarily on the partnership level.  

This is always a really interesting topic and very helpful feedback for other founders. 

Tayla Dandridge: Yeah, of course, Ghost. So I’ll start with a little bit around the shuttle story. So we didn’t just jump in a shuttle and decide to go drive around Johannesburg CBD, but there was a time when the highway in Joburg was sort of broken or being fixed, and… 

The Finance Ghost: What do you mean there was a time, Tayla? [Laughs]. The highway in Joburg is always broken or being fixed. If that’s the secret to figuring out how to start a business, we would have way more entrepreneurs. Just drive around Joburg roadworks and figure something out. 

Tayla Dandridge: [Laughs]. Just jump in your car and take it for a spin, and something will drop. 

No. So, the highway was closed, and three out of the four co-founders were then forced to jump on the Gautrain to commute to work. On the other side of the Gautrain, we then jumped in a shuttle to take us to the office. That’s where it sort of started. 

We started thinking about these ideas around, “how do we solve problems in the entrepreneurial space?” Stub wasn’t initially conceptually thought of as accounting software. We found our way there, but when we landed on that, there were three co-founders.  

Specifically, one: myself, focused on growth and distribution and partnerships. Two: our CPO and product guy. He built all of our front-end from the ground up, initially. A super talented, smart, product-focused guy. Our third co-founder is a full-stack engineer, and a bit of a pirate. I often say, he can build anything you want him to build, just ask.  

And the three of us were initially building accounting software. There was a blaring, huge gap: no accountant. 

The Finance Ghost: Exactly. I was about to say, the plumber’s taps here are not just leaking, they’re just not there. 

Tayla Dandridge: Yeah. And let me tell you, you run into a couple of things when you’re building accounting software without an accountant. All of a sudden you hear debits and credits and sherbet, they don’t all add up, which is a bit of a crisis.  

So we brought on our fourth co-founder a year or two into the conceptual thinking of this product, and that’s when it really came to life.  

So as you can see, there’s four of us, with very distinct roles and lanes. And I think that goes to your other question. What works? And why does it work? And why do we feel like it’s working so well? And it’s really simple in my eyes: we all run our own lane, we all trust each other deeply to execute, and we push each other daily. 

Someone once said to me, in the beginning of this journey, “Building with co-founders is either the best decision you’ll ever make, or the worst decision you’ll ever make. And there’s very rarely a middle ground”.  

The Finance Ghost: Yeah, that person is wise. 

Tayla Dandridge: Yeah! 

The Finance Ghost: That’s exactly how I thought about this question, right? It’s a binary outcome. It’s not some middle-of-the-road situation. 

Tayla Dandridge: It’s a hard thing to put together, but it’s an even harder thing to untangle. So my advice to other founders would probably be: don’t just pick your co-founders based on people that you like. Pick co-founders who share your vision, and bring a skill you genuinely don’t have, so they’re able to fill a gap.  

And they’re really good people when things get hard. And I think the “when things get hard” bit is probably when you’ll find out if you’ve struck gold or not. 

The Finance Ghost: Yeah, that’s such good advice. And one of my really good mates is a very, very, very successful entrepreneur and he’s built stuff with one partner more than once. They’ve done a few things now.  

And I remember when I was getting to know him, I said to him, “You guys have done so much together, you must also be really good mates”. He was like, “Not really”. They don’t spend time together on weekends. They have their own personal lives. “We’re very different”.  

It’s a huge amount of mutual respect. But they’re not necessarily friends, not because they don’t like each other, it’s just, they’ve kept it at that level. And I think that’s very important, because it allows you to have that time away from each other, and to come back to each other – and then to be able to have those tough conversations.  

These dynamics are not easy. And I think you’re right. I think a lot of people just start a business with a friend or someone they like, and then unfortunately, you end up with a scenario where actually it’s not the right mix of skills, or work ethics are not the same, or for whatever reason, it’s just not congruent.  

Then it becomes really unfortunate, and often it ends the friendship at the same time as ending the business. So, yeah, there’s a lot to think about in the world of co-founders. You’ve got to almost put on your – not your corporate hat,  but just think to yourself, if you were a big business, you wouldn’t hire people based on your friend group at the braai.  

So be careful doing that when you start a small business, even though that’s the default that so many people go to, right? 

Tayla Dandridge: 100% Ghost. I think you’ve touched on a few really good points as well. And I think the mutual respect piece is also massive, making sure you’re all running in the same direction to the end goal, because that’s important to you. 

The Finance Ghost: Whilst you were busy dodging Joburg roadworks, using alternative transports, coming up with cool ideas, and eventually realising you do in fact need an accountant to build accounting software – there must have been a scary process of breaking out of corporate and going into the world of startups.  

Which – unless you are descended from an oil baron somewhere – is a very scary financial decision, because people have bills to pay.  

So how have you made it work? Are you guys a funded startup? Do you have an outside investor? Did you manage to bootstrap it and hustle and do some Gautrain advisory services on the side, to help people find their way to work?  

How did you make it work? Because this is often the most interesting part of the story for me with startups – how people fund the initial period. 

Tayla Dandridge: Sheepers, Ghost. I wish we were that creative with the side hustle to fund the hustle, but we didn’t actually embark on that sort of journey. But we tried to bootstrap for as long as we could.  

And I think it’s important because it teaches you the things that you really need, and the things that you really need to look for when you’re thinking about raising capital. 

So we’ve built our capitalisation table (cap table) similarly to the way we’ve built our founding team. Finding people who share our vision, who bring and hold a strategic lane, and then are willing and keen to back us when times get tough, because they will get tough.  

So we bootstrapped for as long as we could, and then we found some very epic angels to join the journey with us. So we are well-funded and ready. 

The Finance Ghost: Epic angels are great. You need those, those are important. 

Tayla Dandridge: You need epic angels, and they exist. They’re a little bit harder to find, but they are out there, which is cool. 

The Finance Ghost: That’s good to hear because that’s a big challenge for South African entrepreneurs. But I think when you’re building something like this, where you need to get a big tech layer down, and you need a route to market: that is going to take time. 

And it’s a proper tech startup, right? It’s software as a service (SaaS) at the end of the day. And it takes a long time to get to break even, and only then do the economics really start to come through. 

But the scale potential is there, and that’s what the angels look for, at the end of the day. They’re interested in businesses that can get really big. So well done on attracting those sort of investors, because it’s obviously a show of faith in what you’re building. 

Tayla Dandridge: Yeah, Ghost. It’s been fun. And it’s been epic to go on the journey to try and find people that align on vision, and that are very excited about the space that we’re building in.  

But you hit the nail on the head. You’ve got to raise capital in a space like ours if you’re wanting to build something big. 

The Finance Ghost: Yeah, absolutely. But well done on starting out with bootstrapping, because I think that gives you some quite important discipline early on. You need to taste that pain a little bit, and then make the tough decisions along the way.  

I’ve got two questions left for you, and one of them is nice and hard, and the other one I think is relatively easy.  

I can’t help but ask about the world of AI. And obviously I know you are not on the engineering team, you’re on the marketing, business development, partnership side, but you are building a startup in this space.  

And what’s been happening internationally is a lot of the software businesses have been coming under a huge amount of pressure in their valuation, their share prices. There’s a lot of worry around what AI is going to do to software.  

Now, interestingly enough, because you are small and new, I guess you can actually build for the AI era, as opposed to trying to respond to the AI era. But I want to just understand how you guys are thinking about this, and this whole “vibe coding” situation, and what that means for software businesses like yours? 

Tayla Dandridge: So we speak about this theory at stub: we call it the bus theory. There are people who are on the AI bus, and there are people who are standing on the platform and watching it pass by. We like to think of stub as a driver of that bus.  

And when we started stub, we asked ourselves a simple question: why is understanding what’s going on in your business so hard? And understanding what’s going on in your business, in our eyes, is accounting.  

And why is it always being reserved for businesses that can afford a finance team? So we’ve always built on the assumption that technology should do the heavy lifting, and unlock possibility that’s previously been reserved for the privileged few. 

So AI, for us, just means that we can do so much more of it, so much faster, and price it differently. And when we speak about pricing differently, we speak about pricing based on value and outcomes, not based on seats and invoice counts.  

I think when you start thinking about value and outcomes and products and platforms built around that stuff, you don’t think of it as software. You think about it as this engine that’s able to act on behalf of entrepreneurs, and eliminate tasks and admin that were previously done as potentially, dare I say it, a service.  

I think there’s also an operational side to this, which makes it incredibly exciting.  

Stub is a small team, a very small team, and we don’t necessarily think of headcount as a driver of value. Almost actually the opposite. So before we hire every new hire or consider a new hire, we ask ourselves, can technology solve this instead?  

That’s a much harder question to ask if you’re a 10,000 person incumbent. 

It’s actually quite funny. I saw an entrepreneur earlier this week, a successful South African entrepreneur who’s probably 10 to 14 years ahead of us. And he said, “Tayla, you guys are so lucky to be building now, with everything that’s going on around you”. And I was like, “I couldn’t agree with you more”. And I’m so excited about the space. 

The Finance Ghost: Yeah, plus one – I agree with that. I think this is exactly when you want to be building. What you didn’t want to be doing was building just before COVID. The world was completely different in every single way. 2019 and 2026 could be 100 years apart, not seven years apart. It’s remarkable. 

Tayla Dandridge: Yeah, Ghost. I think I said in a previous conversation, if we started stub five years earlier or five years later, it would be a very different business, and the space probably wouldn’t be as exciting as it is now. 

The Finance Ghost: Absolutely. A business is always going to be a function of the era in which it’s built. I started The Finance Ghost in 2020, and I don’t believe I could have really done it before that, because I needed people to be at home and really interested in the markets at the time. They were going bananas. And it was possible then to scale quite quickly.  

And then in the aftermath of the pandemic, it’s been a case of, “okay, cool. A few finance platforms emerged during the pandemic. Many of them have just gone away because they never really built sustainable businesses”. And mine, thankfully, has become that – which is great.  

You’ve got to build the business that the times allow for. That’s the reality. It doesn’t matter how passionate you used to be about video stores when you were a kid, you can’t go build a video store now. It just is what it is.  

And to your point about people and technology, people need to hear this. They need to understand that this is how entrepreneurs are thinking. Entrepreneurs are not going to give sheltered employment. Every single person has to be super value-adding, and has to continuously make sure they are not replaceable by technology. It’s just a reality.  

And that thinking will eventually land in corporates. It’s just going to take a few years longer. It’s already in lean organisations that can’t afford unnecessary overheads. It’s just the way the world is going.  

So yeah, like you say, you’ve got to be on the bus.  

Everything about you guys is public transport, hey? If it’s not buses, it’s trains, it’s shuttles. This is clearly the vibe there. 

Tayla Dandridge: What you’ve also said there is, you’ve spoken slightly around the time, and the time you’re building and capturing opportunity. And it’s also down to how quickly you’re able to adapt, adjust, respond. This age and stage of technology just allows you to do all of that stuff a whole lot quicker, which is fantastic. 

The Finance Ghost: So last question on what has been a fantastic podcast to kick off season two. Thank you so much. I’m curious about – and this is a bit of a cliche question, but it’s still interesting – the highlight of the journey and then the low point. If you can think back, what would each of those have been? 

Tayla Dandridge: This is a tough question for me, because when you’re building a startup or a business like ours, there are so many. And a good friend of mine, when we started stub, and it was during one of the lows, said to me, “Tayla, as this business grows, the highs are going to get higher, the lows are going to get lower”.  

And that stayed with me, because it’s never ever going to be the best thing that’s ever happened or is ever going to happen. And it’s never going to be the worst or the worst thing that’s going to happen. There’s always going to be more. And I think that’s an important phrase, because doubling down or picking one on each is really tough.  

So for me, the highs have always been about the entrepreneurs. So our first signup, our first paying customer, our first hundred paying customers. Every time a customer comes back to stub and says we’ve given them time back. We’ve given them confidence, we’ve given them visibility.  

Of course strategic partnerships are high, and obviously the everyday team wins, the lows. I’m a bit of an eternal optimist, and a glass half-full kind of entrepreneur. So for me, every low is a growth opportunity.  

An investor passes: a better one is probably around the corner. A customer complains: take it as a gift. They’re probably right. An employee isn’t the right fit: and you touched on it earlier. There’s probably someone else who is dying to take on the opportunity, grab it with both hands and move the business forward.  

And to be a little bit spicy, SaaS valuations drop- that’s when you find out if you’re really building something valuable. So I guess if we do this thing right, there’ll be many more highs and many more lows that we can touch on. Maybe we’ll talk about them in season three and four? 

The Finance Ghost: Yeah, there we go. I love it. Very, very cool answer, Tayla. Thank you. When you were talking about the lows getting lower, I was thinking of that Simpsons meme. Bart is like, “This is the worst day of my life”. And “Homer’s like, “It’s the worst day of your life – so far”. 

Tayla Dandridge: Yeah, exactly [laughs]. 

The Finance Ghost: We’ve all had one of those in our journey. But also, as you’ve spoken to there, being the eternal optimist, I have yet to meet a successful entrepreneur who is not an optimist. I think it’s impossible.  

I think you have to be, because otherwise you will not survive. You will convince yourself (and we all do this, we all spiral sometimes into) “Oh, this is not going to work, and it’s going to fail, and everything’s going to go wrong”.  

You have to just keep believing, because if you don’t believe in what you’re building, then no one else is going to believe in it. That is for sure. 

So well done and congratulations on this journey you’ve been on. This has been such a cool conversation. What a lovely way to kick off a season of The Finance Ghost Plugged in with Capitec.  

And Tayla, just all the best. I really look forward to watching this journey. I’m really interested in what you guys are doing. I don’t think this will be our last conversation. 

Tayla Dandridge: Thank you so much, Ghost, and thank you so much for having me. I’ve really enjoyed spending the morning with you. 

The Finance Ghost: Ciao.  

How sweatpants became a status symbol

Athleisure might look like a comfort trend, but it’s really just a modern expression of something much deeper: the evolution of leisure, status, and how we choose to use our time.

Ah, sweatpants. How we love thee. Is there anything better on a cold and dreary winter’s morning than passing over your jeans or suit pants in favour of something soft (and preferably fleece-lined)?

Just a few decades ago, a tracksuit was something you would only wear out of your house on casual Friday, or perhaps for a quick trip to the shops. But today, thanks to the rise of athleisure, sweatpants, hoodies and sneakers are welcome almost anywhere. What looks like something casual is really the latest version of a story that began when work first stopped filling every available hour of the day, and people were left with something unfamiliar to manage:

Time.

A moment before time

For most of human history, time didn’t come in neat, measurable blocks that could be traded, saved, or spent according to personal preference. Particularly in agrarian (aka farming) societies, where daily life followed the rhythms of seasons, weather patterns, and the unpredictable demands of land and livestock, the idea of “work-life balance” didn’t really exist.

Work bled into everything else, stretching across daylight hours and often beyond, leaving little room for anything that could be considered optional.

Leisure? To the working class of the 19th century, that was a foreign concept.

The Industrial Revolution (specifically the second one, which took place between 1870 and 1914) changed this dynamic in ways that extended well beyond machinery and production. As machines started replacing elements of human labour, they introduced a level of structure into daily life that redefined how people experienced time.

Imagine it: before, you were a farmworker, toiling away outside. You didn’t measure time per se, but you had an idea of where you were in the day based on the position of the sun and the shadows on the ground. Your work was marked by seasons, not hours. Then factory work came along, ushered you indoors and brought with it shifts, fixed hours, and clearer boundaries between labour and non-labour. 

All of this change meant that, for the first time, large numbers of people had predictable stretches of the day that were not already claimed by work. What’s more, because machines sped up the process of human labour, there were now whole days that didn’t need to be devoted to work, that could instead be dedicated to rest.

Enter: the weekend

At the same time, mass production was reshaping the economic landscape by making everyday goods more affordable and widely available, reducing the cost of clothing, tools, and household items that had previously been expensive or labour-intensive to produce. This shift meant that wages, while still modest by modern standards, could stretch a little further than they had before.

Things became accessible. And with that accessibility came the possibility of saving small amounts of money, which, when combined with newly available free time, created the conditions for a different kind of life to emerge.

So what did people do with this combination of time and money?

They began to organise their free hours into activities that were structured, social, and increasingly visible, moving beyond rest into participation in things that could be shared and repeated. Parks became gathering spaces. Clubs formed around common interests. Informal games evolved into organised sports with rules, teams, and spectators.

Life is for living

This was the start of leisure as we understand it today. And once leisure takes shape, it becomes something that can be recognised, compared, and eventually used to signal something about the people engaging in it.

Sport, in particular, became one of the clearest expressions of this shift in priorities, transforming from loosely organised pastimes into formalised systems that carried meaning beyond the activity itself. Football, cricket, and rugby developed into institutions with their own audiences, creating a shared language that people could understand whether they were playing or watching. Soon, towns were competing against each other in organised matches, races and games. The first hints of national pride were in the air. 

At first, the distinction between workwear and leisurewear was driven by practical concerns, as different activities (like playing tennis or riding a bicycle) required garments that allowed for movement and comfort. But that practical distinction quickly took on additional meaning. Because the moment you have clothing that is specific to an activity, you also have a visible marker that separates that activity from the rest of your life.

Time for a wardrobe change

Changing from daywear into sportswear signalled that you had stepped into a different mode, one that was defined less by necessity and more by choice. This is where leisure begins to function as a form of status.

In earlier periods, status had been tied closely to land ownership, property, and the ability to maintain things that served no immediate productive purpose (like the lawns that I mentioned in last week’s article). By the early 20th century, however, there was a gradual shift towards how time was used as an indicator of position. Being able to spend time on activities that did not directly generate income suggested a level of security and control.

Leisure, in other words, became a status symbol. Not as overt a display of wealth as gold or diamonds, but a consistent one, embedded in daily life and reinforced through the activities people chose to engage in and the way they presented themselves while doing so.

Sport made that signal visible in a way that few other activities could. To play a game or attend one required time that could not be easily justified in purely economic terms, which is precisely why it mattered – it demonstrated that your life was not entirely dictated by work. There was space for something unnecessary, something frivolous and fun, something chosen rather than required.

The clothing associated with these sports – designed for movement, less restrictive, more comfortable – began to carry that meaning beyond the field or court where it was originally used.

Looking the part

By the mid-20th century, sportswear had already begun slipping its original boundaries, moving off the field and into everyday life. Tennis played a particularly influential role in that shift because it carried something most other sports did not: a built-in aesthetic tied to leisure, class, and aspiration. What started on manicured lawns and private clubs didn’t stay there for long.

By the 1920s and 1930s, tennis style had already begun feeding directly into mainstream fashion, shaping what would later be recognised as “preppy” dress: polos, pleated skirts, cardigans, crisp whites. These were no longer costumes of exertion. They were uniforms of a lifestyle

Brands like Lacoste built entire identities around this crossover, turning tennis garments into everyday staples.

Tracksuits and sneakers soon followed. Entire wardrobes began to borrow from sport without requiring participation. By the time the term “athleisure” (athletic+leisure) emerged decades later, the behaviour was already familiar: clothing that looks athletic, carries the codes of performance, but is worn in entirely non-athletic contexts.

What mattered was no longer the activity itself, but what the aesthetic implied about the person wearing it – their time, their mobility, their proximity to health, leisure, and choice. Tennis didn’t create that shift on its own, but it gave it a visual language early on. And once that language existed, the rest of fashion learned how to speak it – and we still speak it today.

In the 1980s, we expected someone at the head of a business to wear a suit and tie. This was the uniform of success that we knew and understood. Today, a CEO showing up to a staff meeting wearing tracksuit pants and sneakers is communicating a similar message of success, probably without really even thinking about it.

That message says: I could go for a run. I’m so successful that I don’t need to be chained to my desk at all hours. I can afford the time.

About the author: Dominique Olivier

Dominique Olivier is the founder of human.writer, where she uses her love of storytelling and ideation to help brands solve problems.

Her first book, Lessons from Loss, has been published by Penguin Random House.

She is a weekly columnist in Ghost Mail and collaborates with The Finance Ghost on Ghost Mail Weekender, a Sunday publication designed to help you be more interesting.

Dominique can be reached on LinkedIn here.

Ghost Bites (Equites Property Fund | KAL Group | Karooooo | NEPI Rockcastle | Reunert | Tharisa)

In this edition of Ghost Bites:

  • Equites Property Fund and NEPI Rockcastle are good reminders of the strength of REITs
  • KAL Group is one of the last “cheap” South African assets
  • Karooooo upset the market with its margins this year, but they are playing the long game
  • Reunert has been dragged down by its cables business
  • Tharisa’s earnings have skyrocketed
  • …and there are many, many Nibbles!

Equites Property Fund is delivering mid-single digit growth (JSE: EQU)

This at least gives investors the inflation protection that the REIT sector is known for

Equites Property Fund has released results for the year ended 28 February 2026. Regular readers will know that this fund is in the process of selling its UK assets and bringing the capital home to South Africa.

Distribution per share growth for this period was 5.3% (in line with guidance). This gives investors a reasonable return relative to inflation, although there are REITs that are delivering more at the moment.

The loan-to-value ratio of 35.1% tells us that they have a solid balance sheet, which is important as they have significant ambitions for their development pipeline in South Africa.

With the UK assets being recycled, the South African pipeline will hopefully not require equity capital raises that are dilutive to shareholders. The REIT sector can be a very frustrating place for retail shareholders during periods of capital raising, as we don’t get phoned up bookrunners to buy shares at a discount to the spot price.

The forecast growth in the distribution per share for FY27 is between 5% and 7%. This is an encouraging uplift, informed by the high visibility that Equites enjoys on its earnings thanks to long-term leases.

Ghost Bite: I continue to beat the drum that REITs are a better long-term investment than buy-to-let residential properties.


KAL Group: one of the last “cheap” local assets (JSE: KAL)

Will fuel volumes ruin the party in the second half?

KAL Group’s results for the six months to March 2026 tell a promising story. Revenue was up by 5%, EBITDA climbed by 7.7% and HEPS was 12.5% higher. As the icing on the cake, recurring HEPS increased by 15.1%!

That’s the shape that you want to see on an income statement.

Although net cash from operating activities only increased by 3.9%, the interim dividend per share was up by 25%. The improvement in the balance sheet (net interest bearing debt to equity reduced from 48.4% to 32.9%) would’ve helped justify this decision.

There is an important nuance that needs to be considered. The company has highlighted “exponential” fuel demand in March ahead of expected fuel price increases in April. This helped drive an increase in fuel volumes of 6.7% for the period. In turn, this delivered a whopping 49.2% profit before tax growth in PEG, KAL’s forecourt business.

My concern is that much higher fuel prices will undoubtedly impact volumes. Management’s outlook statement recognises this risk, but they remain bullish about the second half of the year and the longer term prospects.

The other key exposure is of course the broader agriculture business. KAL has specialist retail businesses that depend on the spending power and level of investment by farmers in their crops. It’s almost impossible to forecast this stuff with any accuracy, but one thing to note is that the fuel price spike will impact inflation throughout the value chain.

Ghost Bite: On a single-digit Price/Earnings multiple, KAL Group remains one of the “cheap” assets on the JSE. The share price increase of 13% over the past year is a great return when you add on the dividend as well. Perhaps management’s commitment to focusing on metrics like return on invested capital (ROIC) will help catalyse a higher multiple. But what do you think?


Karooooo’s margins have upset the market (JSE: KRO)

This management team is playing the long game

Karooooo’s results for the quarter ended February 2026 mark the end of the financial year for the group. This means that we must consider fourth quarter and full year results separately.

Starting with the quarter, we find growth in Cartrack subscribers of 16%. Encouragingly, net Cartrack subscriber additions grew by 19% (a measure of the rate of increase, not the size of the total user base). This represents the most subscribers that they’ve ever added in a fourth quarter period.

Subscription revenue for the quarter increased by 18% to R1.28 billion. The logistics side of the business (which they call Delivery-as-a-Service, or DaaS) jumped by 32% to R145 million. It’s much smaller than subscriptions, but becoming more meaningful every day.

But now we reach the bad news: operating profit margin has declined dramatically from 34% to 25%. This is because operating profit at group level has dropped by 12%!

For the full year, Cartrack subscriber numbers increased by 16%, subscription revenue was up 19% and DaaS revenue increased 29%. Operating profit only increased by 8%, as the full year margin declined from 31% to 28% – dragged down by the final quarter of the year.

What has happened here? Well, the same thing that we often see at Karooooo – a front-loading of sales and marketing costs. The company needs to build up its sales infrastructure in order to drive the next wave of growth. In a period of heavy investment, this puts the squeeze on margins.

In 2027, they will reduce the rate of headcount growth as they drive efficiencies and AI adoption.

Guidance for FY27 is subscription revenue growth of between 18% and 24%, with operating margin between 27% and 30%. This suggests a modest uptick in margin at the mid-point of that guidance. Combined with such strong expected revenue growth, that would imply a potentially solid outcome for investors in FY27.

The market isn’t famous for being patient though, with the share price down nearly 10% on the day!

Ghost Bite: Karooooo has been an absolute winner for me over the past few years. My only regret is that I didn’t buy more along the way. My temptation to buy more is increasing, particularly given this share price weakness:


NEPI Rockcastle’s trading metrics look solid (JSE: NRP)

But this isn’t translating into high earnings per share growth

Iconic Eastern European property fund NEPI Rockcastle has updated the market on the first quarter of the year.

Property net operating income increased by 3.2%, with a like-for-like increase in tenant sales (excluding hypermarkets) of 3.8% as a major driver. Footfall was stable, so consumers are still visiting NEPI’s properties despite ongoing eCommerce adoption.

EPRA vacancies are very low at 1.8%, with tenants keen to get a slice of that footfall. This has supported new leasing activity at strong base rents that are 2.2% above indexation (inflation).

One of the interesting strategic focus areas at the group is the accelerated roll-out of solar PV projects. They refer to their energy platform as a “complementary growth driver” for the group, so they are seeing appealing return on capital metrics from this investment. It helps that funding can be raised on preferential terms when there’s an underlying sustainability angle.

Speaking of funding, the loan-to-value of 32.4% sits comfortably below the 35% long-term upper threshold at the group. With a substantial development pipeline over the next three years, having ongoing access to debt at favourable rates will be critical.

No valuations are conducted at the Q1 mark, so there’s no meaningful update on the net asset value per share. The only movements would relate to cash and debt.

Despite all the underlying excitement, guidance for earnings per share growth for the year is around 3%. This is why the share price is flat over the past year, with the market buying NEPI primarily for its yield.

Ghost Bite: Property funds with large development pipelines are hungry for capital. Unless they recycle existing assets, much of this capital will come from shareholders. This leads to more shares being in issue over time, putting downward pressure on earnings per share.


Reunert dragged down by power cables (JSE: RLO)

Earnings have dropped sharply

In Reunert’s trading statement for the six months ended March 2026, shareholders were given the bad news that HEPS from continuing operations will be down by between 20% and 25%. This suggests a range of between 179 cents and 191 cents for interim HEPS.

The actual drop is between 47 cents and 59 cents, with the company attributing 27 cents of this move to the underperformance of the Electrical Engineering segment (and particularly the power cable business).

Weak demand in South Africa and Zambia is an issue, with generally poor infrastructure spend being exacerbated by the increase in raw material commodity prices. The appreciation of the Zambian currency against the US dollar is also an issue. This is a bearish story for the cables business.

Ironically, there’s a 24 cents per share move from IFRS 2 share-based payment expenses linked to the increase in Reunert’s share price. The plan vests in April 2027. If things don’t improve in the cable business, the share incentive plan might be cheaper than they expect!

Ghost Bite: The explosion in data centre demand in this AI era is causing all kinds of difficulties in supply chains. Suppliers will always sell to the highest bidder – and in this case, nobody has more capex available than the hyperscalers. Any product that uses the same inputs (like power cables) is facing immense inflation.


Tharisa’s earnings have skyrocketed (JSE: THA)

There’s no rollercoaster quite like mining

Tharisa’s numbers for the six months ended March reflect an incredible jump vs. the prior period. HEPS is up by between 455.2% and 472.4%, which means an expected range of US 16.1 cents to US 16.6 cents. As I always remind you: when things are good in mining, they are really good.

We had a good idea that this was coming. After all, the commodity prices are no secret.

Ghost Bite: The PGM players are having their time in the sun right now. The key is for them to use their capital wisely to position themselves for the next cycle. In Tharisa’s case, they are investing in underground mining. Extra points for bravery!


Results of previous poll:


Nibbles:

  • Director dealings:
    • The game of musical shares continues at the Wiese family dinner table, with Titan Fincap and Titan Premier Investments entering into a total return swap over Shoprite (JSE: SHP) shares worth a casual R592 million.
    • A director of a major subsidiary of Weaver Fintech (JSE: WVR) sold shares in the group worth R2.2 million. The stock has had an incredible run (it’s been one of my best positions), but it’s important to keep an eye on insiders selling their shares.
    • Johnny Copelyn has bought shares in Montauk Renewables (JSE: MKR) worth around R420k.
    • The CEO of Dipula Properties (JSE: DIB) has celebrated the strong results by buying R213k worth of shares in the company.
  • Given what I’ve been through with the management team of this company, I hate it when Mantengu (JSE: MTU) releases an update that I need to write on. I especially hate it when my concerns about their business prove to be directionally correct. Sublime Technologies, the asset they bought for a miracle price that led to a huge bargain purchase gain, is unable to operate at current Eskom tariffs. They have applied for a new tariff agreement but have yet to receive approval. To their credit, they tried to keep all the staff, but they’ve now had to go into a s189 process as there has been no production of silicon carbide since mid-2025. The broader smelter industry is in crisis in South Africa, so this issue isn’t unique to this asset. Here’s the real point though: don’t you think the sellers of the business took into account the electricity risks when they decided to walk away for a “bargain” price? If Mantengu can get the tariffs they need, then it might still work out to be a great deal (and I hope it does). But the need for professional skepticism remains as important as ever – when you see an enormous bargain purchase gain, you need to ask the tough questions. When a management team responds to those concerns in a highly unusual way, then you need to ask twice as many questions! Hopefully the winds of change have now blown at Mantengu and they will change their approach to dealing with market analysts who ask pertinent question.
  • Shaftesbury Capital (JSE: SHC) has delivered a trading update at the AGM. They seem happy with the first quarter of the year, with new leases and renewals both running comfortably ahead of market rents and previous passing rents. Vacancies are very low, with the London West End continuing to attract shoppers and tenants alike. With 4.6% of the portfolio under refurbishment, Shaftesbury is investing heavily in its portfolio. The loan to value ratio is only 17%, so they have the balance sheet to do it.
  • Finbond (JSE: FGL) has released a further trading statement dealing with the year ended February 2026. The initial trading statement noted a swing from a headline loss per share of 1.9 cents to positive HEPS of at least 2.9 cents. The updated range for HEPS is between 5.01 cents and 5.39 cents, so that’s quite a lot better than initially indicated! It’s still a long way off the share price of R1.13, though.
  • Clientèle (JSE: CLI) has released the circular for the previously announced offer and delisting. With the shares trading at a stubbornly high discount to the embedded value per share, the company has seen the opportunity to move away from the listed environment. Based on an expected payment date of 29 June, the price will be R19.90 – a premium of 25.47% to the 30-day VWAP. This is a pretty standard premium for a buyout offer. You can read the circular here.
  • Labat Africa (JSE: LAB) has released a cautionary announcement regarding the potential acquisition of the remaining 24.5% in Classic International Trading. They highlight that it’s because of the strong results produced by both Classic and Labat. Ideally, you would only want to see a company moving from a controlling position to a 100% stake under certain conditions. One would be if there are synergies that need to be unlocked that require the minorities to be out of the way. Alternatively, it’s a good idea if the acquisition price is highly attractive. But in the absence of those factors, it’s generally a weaker use of capital vs. finding other opportunities. Until a detailed terms announcement is released (if they go ahead), we won’t know whether this is a promising transaction or not.
  • I don’t usually comment on independent director movements, but sometimes they are relevant. Hyprop (JSE: HYP) announced that Kevin Ellerine has resigned from the board to “pursue personal interests”. Those interests may well involve transactions with Hyprop itself, with Ellerine managing the future conflict of interest proactively.
  • Attacq (JSE: ATT) has concluded the appointment of Peter de Villiers as the company’s permanent CFO. Having engaged with him on a recent Unlock the Stock, I’m not surprised to see this at all.
  • Visual International (JSE: VIS) is in talks with Serowe Industries. Serowe might subscribe for up to 34.9% of the issued shares of Visual for R60 million. An extension has been granted until 30 June 2026 to allow Serowe to conclude the due diligence work. The valuation work has apparently already been concluded.
  • Emira Property Fund (JSE: EMI) has been buying up Octodec (JSE: OCT) shares through a combination of off-market deals, on-market trades and a formal voluntary offer. With the offer having been accepted by holders of 2.2% of Octodec shares, Emira’s stake is up to 23.5% of shares in issue.
  • Shuka Minerals (JSE: SKA) has commenced the Phase 1 drilling programme at the No.2 ore body at the Kabwe Zinc Mine. The company plans to increase the existing resource by 50% based on drilling work this year.
  • Aimia (JSE: AII) is renewing its Normal Course Issue Bid – a terribly fancy way (in Canada) of saying that they are doing share buybacks. The board has authorised the repurchase of up to 10% of shares in issue in an effort to reduce the discount between the share price and the NAV per share.
  • In case you somehow think that South Africa is the only land of dicey ethics, then here’s an update from Globe Trade Centre (JSE: GTC) – perhaps the most obscure name of all on the JSE. Preliminary findings of an internal investigation identified indications of irregularities, in connection with the acquisition of assets in Germany. Detailed findings will be communicated in due course. At this stage, it sounds like someone might be deep in the schnitzel.
  • Cafca Limited (JSE: CAC) literally has no liquidity at all in its stock. The Zimbabwean cable manufacturing company has released interims for the six months to March. It’s no surprise that the numbers are reported in US dollars instead of Zimbabwe Gold. Thanks to copper and aluminium volumes, Cafca’s volumes were up 14% year-on-year and revenue grew by 24%. This took profit after tax up by 211%. And no, I’m not sure why this cabling company is making money and others are struggling!

South African M&A Analysis Q1 2026

The country entered 2026 on a positive note, following a flurry of year-end transactions, including several of meaningful scale. This momentum turned uncertain in late February with the conflict in the Middle East, which triggered global market turmoil. Net oil importers like South Africa were particularly hard hit, given the country’s open economy and the rand’s role as a proxy for emerging markets.

The geopolitical backdrop remains central to economic growth and, by association, to the outlook for interest rates and the rand. Ongoing tension in the Middle East, coupled with the absence of a clear US exit strategy, continues to sustain volatility in both oil prices and the currency. These global political tensions are driving up costs across value chains – from agrifood to manufacturing, healthcare and technology – while exacerbating pressure on energy-intensive sectors like transportation, chemicals and metals.

Advisers in the industry note that the turbulence linked to the war in Iran, along with swings in valuations, has not deterred interest in corporate deal-making. What it has done, however, is delay the closing of transactions, as investors adopt a wait-and-see approach – though this may shift if the conflict persists.

A total of 82 deals were recorded in the first three months of the year – valued at R218,2bn – compared with 92 deals valued at R197,4bn in Q1 2025.

Private equity transactions were most prevalent in the unlisted sector, with the quarter recording 20 deals in total. Only two BEE deals were recorded, compared with nine announced over the same period last year. This could be attributed to the evolving legislative landscape around BEE, which is currently undergoing significant change, legal challenge and strategic review.

Once again, sector analysis for the period shows real estate transactions accounting for the majority share of reported activity, followed by deals in the technology and retail sectors. Companies in Europe were the partners of choice for cross-border activity by South African-domiciled, exchange-listed companies, with eight of the 18 deals recorded for the quarter involving European counterparties. These were primarily real estate transactions.

In behind-the-scenes corporate finance activity, companies continue to return value to shareholders through ongoing share repurchase programmes. An aggregate R60,47bn in shares was repurchased over the three-month period, representing 56% of the total value of activity for the period, driven by the usual suspects: Prosus, Naspers, AB InBev and BAT. Other notable transactions included Valterra Platinum and Gold Fields’ distributions of special dividends, with a combined value of R8,5bn.

DealMakers is SA’s M&A publication

DealMakers AFRICA – Q1 2026 Analysis

Africa’s M&A market entered 2026 with strong momentum in deal value, even as overall transaction volumes softened. In the three months to March 2026, announced deals across the continent (excluding South Africa and failed deals) reached an aggregate value of US$4,53 billion from 89 deals, compared with 92 deals valued at $2,92 billion over the corresponding period in 2025. Private equity continued to play a significant role, accounting for half of all transactions recorded during the quarter.

At a regional level, West Africa was, by far, the most active market, accounting for 30 deals, or 34% of total reported activity during the period. North Africa followed with 19 deals, and East Africa with 18. Within these regions, Nigeria (22 deals), Morocco (10 deals) and Kenya (13 deals) emerged as the key drivers of activity.

Energy and fintech remained the sectors of choice for investors across the continent. Of the top 10 deals by value announced during the quarter, four were energy transactions – two deals in Angola and one each in Equatorial Guinea and Ghana – with a combined value of $995 million. Topping the table was MTN’s acquisition of the remaining 75.3% shareholding in IHS, valued at $2,2 billion, followed by Nedbank’s acquisition of a 66% stake in NCBA, valued at $855 million.

According to Africa: The Big Deal, Africa’s start-up funding ecosystem continues to show resilience. In the 12 months to March 2026, African start-ups raised $3,3 billion (excluding exits), comprising $1,8 billion in equity funding and $1,4 billion in debt funding. However, a closer look at the data points to an evolving funding landscape, where overall growth has increasingly been driven by a surge in debt funding, offsetting a decline in equity capital raised.

While debt and equity investors each play distinct, but equally important roles in the development of a maturing start-up ecosystem, concerns remain around the decline in smaller early-stage equity deals. According to the publication, these transactions are critical for building the next generation of companies capable of attracting larger funding rounds in future. The slowdown in early-stage activity may not immediately affect aggregate funding totals – particularly while larger equity rounds and debt transactions continue to come through – but its longer-term implications for the pipeline of scalable African businesses are worth watching.

DealMakers AFRICA is Africa’s corporate finance magazine

www.dealmakersafrica.com

Who’s doing what this week in the South African M&A space?

Pan African Resources (PAR) has updated shareholders on its proposed acquisition of Emmerson Resources announced in March 2026. The company has nominated Tennant Consolidated Mining Group, a wholly owned subsidiary of PAR, to acquire the Emmerson shares. Under the terms of the scheme, Emmerson shareholders will be entitled to receive 0.1493 new Pan African shares (in the form of ASX-listed Pan African CHESS Depositary interests [CDIs]) for each Emmerson share. In conjunction with the scheme, PAR will list on the ASX by way of a foreign exempt listing. This will provide Emmerson shareholders with the ability to trade the CDIs on the ASX. PAR will maintain its dual primary listings on the LSE and JSE.

Spear REIT is to dispose of the rental enterprises Hamilton House and Chiappini House, both located in De Waterkant, Cape Town for an aggregate disposal price of c.R107 million. The properties were acquired by Spear in October 2024 as part of the acquisition of the Western Cape property portfolio of Emira Property Fund.

Equites Property Fund has disposed of a UK portfolio of five logistics properties to a fund managed by ICG Real Estate – part of ICG plc, a LSE-listed global alternative asset manager. The portfolio is valued at £200,5 million equating to a transaction yield of 5.5%. The deal releases c.£95,5 million (R2,1 billion) of net cash proceeds which will be redeployed into a higher-yielding local development pipeline over time.

AttBid has updated RMB Holding (RMH) shareholders following the firm intention offer made in February 2026 to acquire all the shares in RMB other than those held by Atterbury Property Fund (APF) and treasury shares. The offer will close on 29 May with AttBid announcing that as of this week, it had received valid acceptances in respect of 39,04 million shares representing just 2.87% of shares in issue (excluding treasury shares). These acceptances, together with AttBid and APF’s existing shareholdings equate to 46.52% of the RMH shares in issue.

In a cautionary announcement this week Labat Africa advised that it was in advanced negotiations to acquire the remaining 24.45% stake in Classic International Trading – an established IT solutions company. In November 2024 Labat acquired a 75.55% stake in Classic International Trading for an acquisition tag of R16,28 million, settled via the issue of 232,5 million Labat shares.

In September 2025, Serowe Industries announced a non-binding offer to Visual International shareholders to acquire up to 34.9% of the issued share capital of the company for an indicative subscription consideration of R60 million. Serowe has requested, and been granted by Visual, an extension of the non-binding offer to complete due diligence work. Serowe has until 30 June 2026.

The proposed acquisition by Sustent Holdings (funds managed by Mergence Investment Managers and Creation Capital Services) of Mahube Infrastructure from minority shareholders announced in December 2025 will not be implemented. Although Sustent upped the scheme consideration from R5.50 to R6.00 per Mahube share in March, this week the transaction failed to garner the requisite majority vote from shareholders.

African Rainbow Energy and Power (AREP) has increased its investment in the renewable energy sector with the acquisition of a further stake in SOLA Group whose portfolio is valued at c.R20 billion. AREP now has a majority stake of 83% in the independent power producer, having a acquired a 40% stake in 2020. SOLA delivers clean energy to businesses across South Africa using cutting edge generation and energy storage technologies through Power Purchase Agreements, both on-site and through wheeling. The ownership change is being accompanied by a leadership transition in SOLA with the broader management team remaining in place. Financial details were undisclosed.

Bisedge Logistics & Infrastructure, a green logistics company specialising in the provision of electric material handling equipment through a ‘Zero CapEx’ model, has secured a US$20 million investment from pan-African private equity firm Metier Private Equity. The investment will be used to accelerate Bisedge’s expansion in Africa and strengthen its position in the intralogistics sector while growing its fleet of electric material handling equipment.

Sango Capital has acquired c.US$120 million in NAV in four African funds from an institutional investor rebalancing its global portfolio. The deal was funded by Sango’s own capital and additional capital was raised from a diverse group of commercial investors. The acquired portfolio spans financial services, consumer/FMCG, infrastructure and light manufacturing with a physical presence in over 14 African markets.

The disposal by Eskom Finance of its assets to African Bank, announced in March 2025, will not proceed due to conditions precedent of the agreement not having been met in terms of the agreed timeline.

Weekly corporate finance activity by SA exchange-listed companies

Prosus has sold a further 5% stake in Delivery Hero to Aspex Management as required by the European Commission. In August 2025, the Commission approved the acquisition of Just Eat Takeaway.com by Prosus on condition the company significantly reduced the shareholding. The 15,188,284 ordinary shares were disposed of at a price of €22.00 per share representing a premium of c.22% to the one-month VWAP of Delivery Hero shares as of 8 May 2026. The sale resulted in gross proceeds to Prosus of c.€335 million. In April 2026 Prosus disposed of a 4.5% stake in Delivery Hero to Uber Technologies for c.€271,6 million. Following this latest sale, Prosus’ shareholding in Delivery Hero amounts to c.16.8% which will be reduced further in due course.

Emira Property Fund’s offer to shareholders to acquire up to 39,204,583 Octodec shares for a cash consideration of R16.75 per share has closed with a further 8,811,644 shares tendered (3.3%) for an aggregate R147,6 million. Emira’s shareholding has increase to 23.5%. The company was hoping to increase its stake to 34.9%, below the 35% threshold for a mandatory offer to be made to shareholders.

Global media and entertainment company Canal+, which announced the acquisition of MultiChoice in March 2024, has confirmed its intention to complete a fast-track secondary inward listing of its ordinary shares on the JSE. Canal+ will retain its primary listing on the Main Board of the LSE. The company’s 991,959,494 shares will trade from 3 June 2026 in the Media sector and Radio and TV Broadcasters sub-sector. The market capitalisation of the company stands at c.£2,25 billion (R51,0 billion).

This week the following companies announced the repurchase of shares:

Aimia has announced it will renew its offer to purchase on the open market up to 10% (c.5 million shares) of its public float. The shares will be cancelled. The aim is narrow the discount of its share price relative to the intrinsic value of its net assets. Subject to the approval of the Toronto Stock Exchange, the offer will take effect from 6 June 2026 and will end on 5 June 2027, if not before.

In its quarterly update, AngloGold Ashanti has proposed a share repurchase programme of up to US$2 billion, the implementation of which is subject to, among other factors, shareholder approval.

Bytes Technology has announced the intention to implement a new share repurchase programme to purchase the company’s shares for an aggregate value of up to £25,0 million.

enX has concluded an intra-group repurchase with a wholly owned subsidiary which was established to hold shares pursuant to a share incentive scheme. enX will repurchase 945,887 shares at an average price of R3.84 per share for an aggregate R2,63 million. The shares will revert to the authorised but unissued share capital of the company.

Quilter announced it would commence a share buyback programme to repurchase shares with a value of up to £100 million in order to reduce the share capital of the company and return capital to shareholders. This week Quilter announced the repurchase of a further 596,975 shares on the LSE with an aggregate value of £1,11 million and 158,327 shares on the JSE with an aggregate value of R6,60 million.

Ninety One plc announced the extension of its repurchase programme from 31 March 2026 to 3 June 2026. The shares to be purchased on the open market are cancelled to reduce the Company’s ordinary share capital. This week the company repurchased a further 349,640 ordinary shares at an average price 218 pence for an aggregate £756,525.

GreenCoat Renewables has implemented a share buyback programme totalling €100 million over 12 months with a first tranche amounting to €25 million beginning on 5 March 2026 – representing 13% of the issued share capital. This week 1,461,066 shares were repurchased for and aggregate €1,13 million.

In December 2025, British American Tobacco extended its share buyback programme by a further £1.3 billion for 2026. The shares will be cancelled. This week the company repurchased a further 513,952 shares at an average price of £43.17 per share for an aggregate £22,19 million.

During the period 4 – 8 May 2026, Prosus repurchased a further 2,127,637 Prosus shares for an aggregate €88,19 million and Naspers, a further 722,923 Naspers shares for a total consideration of R657,26 million.

Five companies issued profit warnings this week: The Foschini Group, Insimbi Industrial, enX, Nutun and Reunert.

Three companies issued or withdrew a cautionary notice: ISA Holdings, MAS plc and Labat Africa.

Who’s doing what in the African M&A and debt financing space?

Jiji, the Lagos-headquartered classifieds marketplace, has acquired Bikroy, Bangladesh’s largest online classifieds platform, from Sweden-based Saltside Technologies for an undisclosed sum.

Proparco and dfcu Bank signed a Letter of Intent for a proposed €30 million senior loan dedicated to financing Ugandan small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs). The proposed funding will provide dfcu with long-term funding to expand its SME lending activities in local and foreign currency and is intended to support businesses that remain structurally underfinanced despite playing a central role in Uganda’s economy and job creation.

Metro Africa Xpress (MAX), a Nigerian electric mobility platform, has secured US$8 million in debt funding from Netherlands-based impact investment manager Triple Jump. The funding will support the expansion of MAX’s electric vehicle (EV) fleet; rollout of battery swap infrastructure and continued development of its Pay-As-You-Go (PAYGO) financing platform.

Egypt’s Beltone Venture Capital and the UAE’s Citadel International Holdings have exited Egyptian logistics company Bosta through their joint investment fund. The transaction generated a 75% internal rate of return (IRR) for the fund. The deal marks the fifth successful exit for Beltone Venture Capital since its launch in 2023 and also represents the second exit completed through the joint fund with Citadel International Holding.

The African Development Bank Group (AfDB) approved a US$61 million financing package for the Development Bank of Nigeria (DBN) to expand access to affordable credit for women-owned and women-led businesses across Nigeria, particularly in the agricultural sector. The financing comprises three instruments: a $50 million gender-focused line of credit; an $8 million concessional facility under the Agri-Food SME Catalytic Financing Mechanism (ACFM); and a $3 million grant under the Bank’s Affirmative Finance Action for Women in Africa (AFAWA) initiative, funded by the Women Entrepreneurs Finance Initiative (We-Fi).

Cameroon officially completed its takeover of Société Générale Cameroun on May 12 in Douala, increasing the state’s ownership in the bank to 83.68%. The Cameroonian government purchased the 58.08% stake previously held by Société Générale as part of a broader transaction signed between the two parties in July 2025. Following the acquisition, the bank was renamed General Bank of Cameroon (GBC).

The Egyptian Exchange (EGX) has approved the temporary listing of the Egypt Education Platform (EEP). According to the EGX disclosure, the company must complete the registration procedures with the Financial Regulatory Authority (FRA). It must also apply to the EGX to execute the offering of its shares within six months from the date of temporary listing. During this period, the company’s shares will not be tradable during the period from the date of the temporary listing. It will only be tradeable after the offering, with the approval of the FRA.

Ghost Bites (Dipula Properties | Equites Property Fund | Nutun | Universal Partners)

In this edition of Ghost Bites:

  • Dipula Properties shows us that there’s money to be in made in property in the northern provinces of our country.
  • Equites Property Fund is bringing capital home from the UK and investing it here.
  • Nutun is still in a loss-making position.
  • Universal Partners has a hit-and-miss portfolio.

Dipula Properties’ portfolio is performing (JSE: DIB)

The share price is up more than 30% in the past 12 months

Instead of owning flashy assets in Cape Town, Dipula focuses on a mainly Gauteng-based portfolio (58% of income). Their retail centres (67% of income) have a strong tilt towards township and rural markets.

This is one of the few genuine growth engines in South Africa, capturing the trend of lower income consumers moving from the informal to the formal retail market.

The fund now owns 155 properties with an average value per property of R73 million. This is better than the 161 properties they held in the prior period with an average value of R61 million. The group has been focusing on higher quality properties.

It’s an approach that works. For the six months to February 2026, net property income climbed by 9% and distributable earnings jumped by 20%. The net asset value (NAV) increased by 16% in total, but only by 4% on a per-share basis (the important metric).

The balance sheet is in good shape. Although debt increased from R3.8 billion to R4.0 billion, the gearing ratio improved from 36% to 34%. That’s a very healthy range for a property group.

Distributable income per share is expected to grow by between 7% and 8% for the full year. They have a dividend payout ratio of 90%.

Ghost Bite: Remember to always look at numbers on a per-share basis, especially in property companies that regularly raise additional equity capital. Dipula is doing well!


Equites Property Fund is bringing R2.1 billion home (JSE: EQU)

The company has locked in a significant disposal in the UK

For quite some time, Equites Property Fund has been talking about disposing of its interests in the UK market and bringing that capital back to South Africa. This is the opposite direction of travel to what we saw in the property sector a decade ago!

Although South Africa is a riskier market, it’s the risk vs. return trade-off that really matters. The UK market is mature and unexciting in this space vs. a South African market that offers strong yields and ongoing demand for distribution centres and warehouses.

The latest transaction is the sale of five distribution centres in the UK to a fund managed by ICG Real Estate. The net proceeds (after debt etc.) will be around R2.1 billion.

It works out to a 3.8% discount to the carrying value of the assets, so the buyer has squeezed Equites on their way out of the UK portfolio. The disposal yield is 5.5%, giving you insight into how high the yields must be in South Africa to make our local market more appealing to Equites.

This capital will be redeployed into the development pipeline, as Equites has pre-let development agreements with blue-chip tenants. They can also raise other funding on more attractive terms thanks to the positive impact of this UK disposal on the loan-to-value ratio of the group.

In a separate update, Equites noted that chairman Leon Campher intends to retire at the upcoming AGM in August. Fulvio Tonelli, who has been an independent non-executive director since 2022, will succeed him as chair.

Ghost Bite: If we can continue our positive trajectory in South Africa and improve our infrastructure, there will be plenty more capital flowing into development projects in our country. Offshore diversification is great, but we want to see local capital going into local projects to the greatest extent possible. Let me know in today’s poll how you are feeling about local vs. offshore exposure:


Nutun is still losing money (JSE: NTU)

Here’s our regular reminder of the sad and sorry demise of Transaction Capital

Once upon a time, in a world before COVID, Transaction Capital was one of the most exciting names on the JSE. They owned SA Taxi and Transaction Capital Risk Services. They subsequently acquired WeBuyCars (JSE: WBC) after the competition regulators blocked Naspers (JSE: NPN) from doing that deal.

But by the time the dust settled after a financial disaster at Transaction Capital, SA Taxi had been restructured and taken off the balance sheet due to immense financial distress. WeBuyCars was spun off and separately listed.

And the charred remains of this once great group were renamed Nutun, holding the debt collection and business process outsourcing operations of what used to be called Transaction Capital Risk Services.

Unfortunately, Nutun is still struggling to return to profitability. The loss for the six months to March 2026 is approximately half of what it used to be, which means a range of -7.5 cents to -8.6 cents. A smaller loss is helpful obviously, but these numbers really need to get out of the red now.

Nutun blames the stronger rand and the impact of a change in macroeconomic assumptions around interest rates.

Ghost Bite: Regardless of whether you have shares in Nutun or not, the important element of this update is the expectation around elevated interest rates. With inflation almost certainly ramping up this year, interest rate cuts simply aren’t going to happen.


Universal Partners remains a hit-and-miss portfolio (JSE: UPL)

There isn’t much to get excited about here

Universal Partners doesn’t have much liquidity in its stock, but shares do change hands from time to time. On an otherwise quiet day of news, I can give their quarterly results more attention than usual.

This investment holding company is focused on Europe and the UK, so that’s already a tricky way to achieve meaningful growth. They’ve made six investments since listing and achieved two exits.

The portfolio is best described as “random” – I really cannot tell you why any of these companies belong in the same group.

We begin with Workwell, which offers various employment solutions ranging from contractor management through to Employer of Record services. Growth is being boosted by bolt-on acquisitions, including in the US market.

Next up is PortmanDentex, one of Europe’s largest dental care platforms. This is the classic roll-up strategy, an approach that I’ve always been very skeptical of. Owning a lot of individual dental practices in one group is no guarantee that the economics will be meaningfully better than having these practices separately.

Sure enough, revenue and EBITDA at PortmanDentex are running below budget, with the company blaming a soft consumer environment. But they are also making senior hires to try and focus on better execution, so at least some of the issues must be internal. This is almost exactly how these roll-ups tend to go.

Onwards to SC Lowy Partners, a credit investing and lending business operating in Asia, Europe and the Middle East. There’s been a lot of financial restructuring of this investment, including equity exposure being changed into loan notes.

Finally, we get to Xcede Group. This is a recruitment business operating in Europe, the UK and North America. It’s nice to see that they are performing well this year, particularly given their focus on the tech space. In this AI world, there are still plenty of opportunities for humans.

I’m not sure what has happened to Propelair, the company that Universal Partners kept promising us was going to revolutionise the toilet (no kidding). Every time I saw an update on the company, it was performing below expectations. There’s no mention of it in the latest results at all!

As for the numbers, the net asset value per share has declined by 5.8% over the past 12 months. The shares are trading at R15.25 vs. the net asset value (NAV) per share of R26.34.

Ghost Bite: If your portfolio ranges from dentists through to credit lending, while featuring the sudden flushing away of a toilet company, then it’s very unlikely that investors will pay anything close to NAV.


Results of previous poll:


Nibbles:

  • Director dealings:
    • The format for notifications of trades by directors on the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX) is a pain to work with. Because Southern Palladium (JSE: SDL) is listed on the ASX, it’s unfortunately the format that we have to deal with. I just wish the company would give more information in the SENS itself! Anyway, aside from recent dealings by directors that were related to share options, there’s also an on-market purchase of 25,000 shares by the executive chairman. That works out to roughly R460k worth of shares.
  • Aimia (JSE: AII), Rhys Summerton’s baby, has reported results for the quarter ended March 2026. There’s still no trade in the shares on the JSE, with the market waiting to see exactly what he will pounce on now that the listing is in place. The group is currently focused on the disposal of Bozzetto (an Italian specialty chemicals business). They are reducing debt and holding company costs, both typical of a turnaround strategy. This leaves them with rope manufacturer Cortland International as the main asset. The global trade environment is putting pressure on the performance of that business, with EBITDA from continuing operations dipping from $2.7 million to $2.5 million. They have much to do.
  • Back in 2023, the JSE imposed a public censure and penalties against Murray Munro, the former CFO of Tongaat Hulett (JSE: TON). Munro appealed it to the Financial Services Tribunal, with that appeal being dismissed. He then went to the High Court, which has ordered that the matter be remitted to the JSE. The JSE has applied for leave to appeal the court’s order.

Ghost Bites (Bytes | Canal+ | MAS | MTN | Octodec | Prosus | Spear REIT)

In this edition of Ghost Bites:

  • The market has gone cold on Prosus, with another drop in the share price after the release of the CEO’s letter
  • MTN is the beneficiary of much better macroeconomics in Africa – and the tough story in South Africa confirms how important that is
  • Canal+ is inward listing on the JSE in June, but will they find support?
  • Bytes Technology has a lot of work to do, with share buybacks giving the market something to smile about.
  • In property, MAS is looking to offload some malls, while Spear REIT showed us exactly how profitable a buy-and-flip can be. Octodec’s interim growth needs to be considered carefully.

Bytes finds some support in the market, but it’s not obvious why (JSE: BYI)

Perhaps the share buyback announcement did the trick

With a share price that has shed over 40% of its value in the past 12 months, Bytes Technology needs to find a bottom and then start turning around. The market seemed to like the announcement of results for the year to February 2026, with the share price closing 6.5% higher on the day.

As you will shortly see, the rally is despite the numbers for that period, not because of them.

Revenue was up just 1.6% despite gross invoiced income increasing by 11.5%, so the concerning trajectory in their business model continues. When you are reliant on the crumbs that Microsoft is willing to give you off the edge of the table, it’s a tough place to be.

Gross profit was up by just 2.5%, which wasn’t enough to offset the pressure in expenses. As an example, headcount increased by 6.9% as the company invested in sales and service delivery. This is why operating profit fell by 5.6%.

With HEPS down by 6.1% and a decline in cash conversion rates as a further concern, these numbers were practically devoid of highlights. The increase in the final dividend per share of 1.4% isn’t much of a consolation prize.

So, what did the market like about this update?

One possible explanation is the FY27 outlook, where Bytes is planning to achieve high single-digit to low double-digit growth in gross profit. The anniversary of the Microsoft partner changes is behind them, so they can now grow off their new base.

But even then, the expectation for operating profit is that it will be “broadly flat” due to significant cost pressures. One of the factors highlighted here is a “return to normal bonus levels” – a surprise given the financial performance.

The outlook doesn’t seem great either, does it?

The only other factor that could’ve driven the rally is the announcement of a share buyback programme of up to £25 million. This works out to roughly R550 million vs. a market cap of over R17 billion. It’s helpful, if not a complete game changer.

The other important news is that Andrew Holden will stand down as CFO and be appointed to the newly created role of COO. The company will announce a new CFO in due course.

Ghost Bite: Share buybacks into a depressed market are helpful, but Bytes needs to get costs under control before investors will really climb back in. I personally wouldn’t pay a mid-teens P/E for a “broadly flat” operating profit trajectory.


Canal+ is coming to the JSE (JSE: CNP)

Can they make the MultiChoice acquisition work?

When Canal+ acquired MultiChoice, they promised that they would inward list on the JSE and give South Africans a chance to invest in the story.

I must be honest: most of the headlines I’ve seen since the deal relate to South Africans being very angry about the changes made at DStv, so I’m not sure that the red carpet is going to be rolled out for Canal+’s listing.

Of course, there’s much more to Canal+ than just MultiChoice and its overpriced bouquet of things that people don’t watch anymore. They will need to convince investors of the value of the full portfolio of media assets. This is where things will get interesting for local investors.

With 42 million subscribers and operations in over 70 countries, Canal+ is a serious operation. 18 million of those subscribers are in Europe, so this isn’t just an emerging markets play. But is it a viable competitor to Netflix and the other streamers?

I quite enjoyed this comment in the announcement:

“Due to the Company’s subscription model, its revenues are consistent and predictable.”

Hmmm.

Ghost Bite: The only predictable thing about DStv subscribers is that most of them would cancel if not for the sport. I think Canal+ will have a difficult time convincing South Africans to invest when the listing happens on the 3rd of June. Here’s how Canal+ has performed in London after being spun-off from Vivendi:

Source: Google Finance

MAS is looking to offload some property (JSE: MSP)

There are two potential deals on the table

Here’s an unusual cautionary announcement for you.

MAS Real Estate is in negotiations with two independent parties regarding the disposal of a wholly-owned enclosed mall and six wholly-owned open-air malls. They might do both deals, or one deal, or neither!

This either/or situation is driven by the company’s desire to do at least one transaction to catalyse the value of its property. If the terms aren’t good enough, then they have the flexibility to walk away from both discussions. If the terms are great, they can do both transactions.

Ghost Bite: A combination of (1) balance sheet flexibility and (2) discipline to sell at the right price is an indication of a management team that knows what they are doing from a capital management perspective.


MTN’s convergence of reported and constant currency numbers is a good sign (JSE: MTN)

The African macroeconomic story has stabilised – for now, at least

MTN’s update for the three months to March 2026 features strong growth rates. This isn’t a surprise, as we’ve been kept updated by the release of numbers by each of the underlying subsidiaries in Africa. The latest update simply brings it all together.

With over 312 million customers and operations in 19 markets, MTN is a true giant of the continent. A 5.4% increase in subscribers suggests that the growth journey is far from over.

Voice revenue was up by just 1.3% as reported, or 4.7% on a constant currency basis. Even in many of these frontier markets, the real growth drivers are data revenue and fintech revenue (up 35.4% and 20.0% in constant currency respectively).

Overall, the group achieved service revenue growth of 20.0% as reported, or 21.1% in constant currency. It’s so good to see that the reported numbers aren’t terribly different from the constant currency numbers. This stability in African countries has been a major driver of performance.

EBITDA increased by 27.9% in constant currency, driving a 300 basis points expansion in EBITDA margin to 47.6%.

Notably, fintech transactions increased by 15.8% and their value was up by 32.8%. The growth flywheel in the fintech space is spinning rapidly. This is why MTN is separating out its fintech business in several markets. Aside from giving them more flexibility around ownership and other regulations, this paves the way for MTN to attract strategic partners into the underlying fintech plays.

Another important initiative is the acquisition of IHS, giving MTN more vertical integration as they look to own the infrastructure that they rely on. Being able to do deals like these is good going for a company that was struggling to keep its holding company balance sheet in one piece a few years ago!

Speaking of the balance sheet, the net debt to EBITDA ratio of 0.2x is way below the targeted upper threshold of 1.0x.

No discussion is complete without a quick look at the South African numbers. MTN South Africa’s service revenue was up by just 0.7%, with a drop in voice revenue of 9.6% putting pressure on the numbers. The biggest headache is the prepaid business, where revenue fell by 3.3% year-on-year.

Here’s something that Optasia (JSE: OPA) shareholders should be very careful of: MTN has deliberately scaled back its reliance on XTraTime advances (down 18.3% year-on-year) as they look to “improve the quality and overall health of the base”. Fo with that what you will.

EBITDA fell by a nasty 12.5%, with margin down by 410 basis points to 32.6%. Some of this is due to share-based payments to employees, but the reality is that the South African business is under pressure. If you split out those payments, you’ll still find an EBITDA decline of 8.3% and a margin down 270 basis points to 35.4%.

Ghost Bite: Africa is a treacherous place thanks to macroeconomic and geopolitical risks, but it’s also the only practical source of growth for our telco giants. When things are stable on the continent, the money flows!

Source: Google Finance

Octodec’s interim growth shouldn’t be extrapolated (JSE: OCT)

Instead, focus on the dividend and the guidance

Octodec has an unusual portfolio. Aside from the sizeable residential portfolio (which is already jarring for most REIT investors), there’s also heavy exposure to Gauteng CBDs. These areas aren’t exactly famous for having great infrastructure and safety, so Octodec is playing in spaces where it feels hard to make money.

They are looking to make changes to the portfolio, with the idea being to focus on residential, mini-warehouse industrial parks and neighbourhood convenience shopping centres. An example of a recent major deal is the disposal of Killarney Mall (which is anything but a convenience centre) for R397.5 million, subject to regulatory approval.

You’ll notice that office properties aren’t part of the plan. I don’t blame them, as Octodec’s portfolio sits outside of the classic “P-grade and A-grade” strategy – and even that has been holding on for dear life in the office space. Lower-grade offices are really suffering, with a vacancy rate of 22.2% in Octodec’s portfolio. The 140 basis points increase in that vacancy rate in the past six months is thanks to the City of Tshwane leaving a building.

Based on this backdrop, you might be surprised to learn that distributable earnings per share increased by 11.1% in the six months to February. As exciting as that sounds, the actual distribution per share is only 4% higher.

The net asset value per share increased by 2.4%, so the total return is higher than inflation, but nowhere near as high as the growth in distributable earnings per share.

The outlook for the full year is growth in distributable income per share of between 3% and 5%. That’s much better than the previous guidance of between 0% and 4%. It also shows that the interim growth shouldn’t be extrapolated.

The balance sheet is in decent shape, with a Loan-to-Value (LTV) of 37.3% vs. 37.9% in FY25. I think this was quite a nice table in the results that demonstrates the importance of a spread of funding:

Ghost Bite: On the REIT risk spectrum, Octodec would find itself far along the horizontal axis. With the share price up 60% over 12 months, the relationship between risk and reward has worked out well recently!


The market has gone cold on Prosus (JSE: PRX | JSE: NPN)

Tech companies in the application layer are suffering at the moment

My shares in Prosus fell by another 5.3% on Tuesday after the company released a letter to shareholders by Fabricio Bloisi. The shares are now 41% off the 52-week high!

With that kind of sell-off, you would expect to see a company in absolute crisis. Instead, it feels like Prosus (and Tencent) are mainly the victims of a market scared of technology companies that play in the application layer rather than the infrastructure layer.

In other words, the market wants to own chip and memory makers, not platform players. The Prosus share price pain isn’t unique in the sector, but it does feel particularly amplified by the market’s ongoing distrust of the “Prosus ex-Tencent” portfolio.

But what was in the letter?

Bloisi is promising a “year of execution” in FY27. The group is focusing on AI enhancements across the business, ranging from better recommendation engines through to agentic commerce.

The letter also includes some financial elements. For FY26, Prosus achieved its guidance on revenue and eCommerce-adjusted EBITDA. The letter notes that all of the ecosystems are profitable, with the goal being to build the leading lifestyle ecosystems in LatAm, Europe and India.

And with a comment around the need for “trade-offs” to drive growth, we are reminded that Prosus is now operating in a market where capital is far more expensive than it was during the pandemic.

In Latin America, iFood is the platform that Prosus is building around. This is Bloisi’s legacy and he understands it very well, so I’m not surprised to see this. Synergies are important here, with Despegar running ahead of guidance for revenue from iFood referrals. Travel and pizza seem to pair well!

But this market is anything but easy, with the letter noting that iFood’s competitors are expected to spend more than $1.5 billion this year to win market share. Value-destructive competition is great for consumers and bad for platforms, with Prosus flagging an expected reduction in adjusted EBITDA in FY27 as they invest in the platform. Even though this is probably the right long-term play, the market is in no mood to hear this story.

In Europe, OLX is hitting its adjusted EBITDA targets and taking advantage of a platform that has been enhanced by the La Centrale deal. On the topic of deals, Just Eat Takeaway.com (JET) is going to be a difficult turnaround. JET’s volumes fell 7% year-on-year, but pilot programmes are achieving growth of 25% in some cities. They expect to return JET to growth by the end of the year after four years of decline. Again, this may well be the right long-term play, but the market is especially not keen on platform turnaround stories right now.

In India, PayU is the heart of the ecosystem. India gets just one paragraph in the letter though, so they are playing their cards close to their chest in that business.

Ghost Bite: The share repurchases continue. Personally, I hope they will accelerate with the proceeds of the partial sale of Delivery Hero. With the share price under so much pressure, nothing sends a message like share repurchases.


Spear REIT delivers a buy-and-flip masterclass (JSE: SEA)

This isn’t their usual strategy, but why not make money where you can?

In October 2024, Spear REIT acquired Hamilton House and Chiappini House in the Cape Town CBD for a total of R80.75 million. They’ve now agreed to sell the properties for an estimated R107 million (this could vary slightly depending on date of transfer).

For a long term holder of property, that’s quite the buy-and-flip profit!

The properties were acquired as part of the Western Cape portfolio that Spear bought from Emira Property Fund (JSE: EMI). Like in most garage sales, the stuff you buy will often contain a gem or two that you got at a bargain price.

Spear had to do the work though, with the value unlock play based on the properties being good candidates for redevelopment into residential property. This isn’t where Spear wants to play, so they are recycling the capital into industrial, convenience retail and institutional-grade commercial assets.

Ghost Bite: When management teams are aligned with shareholders and consistently do the right things, everyone wins.


Results of previous poll:


Nibbles:

  • Director dealings:
    • The non-executive chair of Primary Health Properties (JSE: PHP) bought shares worth around R103k through the reinvestment of dividends.
  • If you’re interested in South32 (JSE: S32) and learning more about the metals underpinning the investment story (like copper and zinc), then you can check out the strategy presentation that the CEO will be delivering at a conference this week. You’ll find it here.
  • Not all scheme of arrangements achieve shareholder approval. We’ve been reminded of this fact by Mahube Infrastructure (JSE: MHB). The scheme of arrangement regarding the offer by Sustent at R6.00 per share (originally R5.50 per share) was voted down by shareholders. Approximately 65% of votes were cast against the scheme, so it failed by a country mile. This stock was trading below R4.00 per share a year ago, so it’s going to be interesting to see what happens next.
  • Oceana Group (JSE: OCG) has decided to extend CEO Neville Brink’s employment contract. The termination date has been pushed out from 31 December 2026 to 31 December 2027. The concern is that this is based on an unsuccessful search for a replacement CEO. Succession planning appears to be lacking here, with Brink having been in the role since 2022.
  • Orion Minerals (JSE: ORN) announced the results of resource optimisation drilling. Unless you’re a geologist or mining engineer who understands the importance of a down-dip visible copper sulphide mineralisation, you can skip all the numbers and read the CEO’s commentary. The summary is that the results are “encouraging” but that laboratory testing will give the real answers, with the report due in roughly three weeks.
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