Friday, October 18, 2024
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GHOST BITES (Calgro M3 | Datatec | Jubilee Metals | Richemont | Sirius Real Estate)

Get the latest recap of JSE news in the Ghost Wrap podcast, brought to you by Mazars:


Calgro M3’s executives are going out on a high (JSE: CGR)

With major changes at the top, Calgro’s business is on a strong footing

Calgro M3 has released a trading statement for the six months to August 2024. This will be the last set of results presented by the outgoing CEO Wikus Lategan and his right-hand man Waldi Joubert. Although the market already knows about these changes, it’s worth reminding you of the good news that Sayuri Naicker remains as the CFO, so there’s some continuity in the C-Suite. Ben Pierre Malherbe will be returning to the group as its CEO.

Malherbe will be walking into a group that is on a solid footing, with HEPS for the period up by between 23.54% and 33.54%. No further details are given but you won’t have to wait long, as results are due on 14th October.


Datatec has flagged really strong earnings growth (JSE: DTC)

All divisions have a good story to tell

Datatec has released a trading statement for the six months to August 2024. They can feel proud of these numbers, with HEPS up by between 58.7% and 74.6%. If you are willing to use underlying earnings per share (with various adjustments that Datatec believes are in line with peers), then the growth rate is 50.7% to 64.4%.

The great news is that whichever way you cut it, that’s a fantastic growth rate.

The trading statement also tells us that all divisions were up for this period, with Logicalis International “strongly” increasing profitability.

Detailed results are due for release on 24 October.


Jubilee Metals pulls the trigger on Project G (JSE: JBL)

The due diligence has been concluded and they are acquiring a 65% stake

Jubilee Metals is a diversified metals producer focused on Zambia and South Africa. The Zambia story is all about copper, with various initiatives underway. One of the possibilities on the radar has been Project G, an open pit copper mining operation in Zambia. Jubilee Metals has been busy with a due diligence on the opportunity and has made the decision to go for it, making this the second open-pit mining operation acquired by Jubilee.

In fact, they’ve decided to take a 65% stake rather than the 51% stake that was initially intended. They must have really liked what they saw in the due diligence. To fund the deal, they will pay $2 million in cash with a commitment to invest a further $500k into upgrading the operations. The idea is that Project G will supply pre-concentrated run-of-mine to the Sable Refinery, so you can see the Jubilee strategy coming together.

Jubilee initially planned to pay for the acquisition in shares rather than cash. The change of heart is interesting and no further details are given in the announcement as to why this happened.

In additional news in the same update, Jubilee has secured more power under the private power purchase agreement to ensure that all Zambian operations are supplied under that agreement. This means the entire Zambian strategy is being powered by renewable energy.

Despite all this good stuff, the cycle hasn’t been kind to the Jubilee Metals share price:


Richemont finds a home for the mess that is YOOX NET-A-PORTER (JSE: CFR)

But are they just throwing good money after bad?

Online luxury remains an oddity for me. To be fair, the entire luxury sector doesn’t make a huge amount of sense to me. Call me a simpleton, but I am never going to buy a pair of shoes that costs the same as a flight overseas. I’m therefore no expert in how such consumers are willing to shop for this stuff, but even with that disclaimer out the way, I suspect that those in the luxury market enjoy the experience of going to a boutique and feeling fancy. There’s absolutely nothing fancy about logging onto a boring-looking website and buying luxury products.

YOOX NET-A-PORTER hasn’t worked out well for Richemont. I’m sure there are many reasons why, but the share price of Mytheresa (the group buying YOOX from Richemont) tells me that my thesis about online-only luxury stores isn’t far off the mark:

Of course, with a well-timed IPO in the frothy times of 2021, it was unlikely that things would go well for the share price from there. Still, a drop of 87% since then is quite extraordinary.

If you’re a Richemont shareholder, you might be feeling relieved at the prospect of being out of YOOX. I’m afraid that it’s not that simple. Mytheresa is buying YOOX for EUR 555 million, but is paying for the acquisition by issuing shares to Richemont. This will leave Richemont with a 33% stake in Mytheresa.

So, there’s no cash unlock here. In fact, it’s quite the opposite, as Richemont is providing a EUR 100 million revolving credit facility to YNAP. Putting money into a company to help it go away seems to be the theme of the JSE recently, with flavours of the recent news at Spar and Transaction Capital to this deal.

Of course, Richemont puts a much more positive spin on it. They talk about creating a multi-brand digital group of scale and global reach. With Richemont expecting a write-down of EUR 1.3 billion for YOOX as part of this deal, it’s hard to find much of a silver lining here. In reality, this deal just gives Richemont some optionality into online luxury and the hope that a larger platform may be the way to get it right in this space.


Sirius expects property valuations to start increasing (JSE: SRE)

This is exactly why I’ve been long the property sector for months now

When interest rates start dropping, there is an overall decrease in yields in the market. This means that investors don’t have any many options elsewhere to earn strong yields, so they are willing to pay a bit more for the dividends coming out of property funds. This effect cascades down into the portfolios, where property values also increase as yields come down and investors are willing to pay more for each property. All of this contributes to higher share prices in the sector.

After a rough period in European markets due to a high interest rate environment, things have turned the corner. Rates have started decreasing and that is lovely news for property funds, as they enjoy the double benefit of cheaper debt and better property valuations. I’ve been writing about this for months and it is finally happening, with Sirius Real Estate noting an expectation that property valuations in the UK and German should increase in the six months to September 2024.

Of course, growth can’t just be driven by a change in rates. The underlying properties also need to perform. Sirius managed a 5.5% like-for-like increase in the rent roll for the period, which means they are growing ahead of inflation. For a property fund, that’s the primary goal as this is what investors are looking for. A 14.9% increase in the overall rent roll is a less helpful metric, as this simply reflects how acquisitive Sirius has been.

Germany has marginally outperformed the UK, which is slightly surprising for me given the challenges being faced by the German economy at the moment. It all comes down to the specific underlying properties, of course.

The acquisitions are set to continue, as Sirius raised €180 million in July 2024 for the purposes of further acquisitions in Germany and the UK. The balance sheet is strong and there are no significant debt maturities until June 2026.

Detailed results are due on 18th November.


Nibbles:

  • Director dealings:
    • Des de Beer is at it again, buying shares in Lighthouse Properties (JSE: LTE) worth R27.7 million.
    • A director and prescribed officer of Standard Bank (JSE: SBK) sold shares worth a collective R3.9 million.
    • The COO of Italtile (JSE: ITE) has sold shares worth R3 million. Although improved local sentiment and decreasing interest rates will help that business, the share price has run hard and they are facing strong competition in the market, so that’s a useful signal I think.
    • The share awards at Aspen (JSE: APN) were a mixed bag, with some directors and prescribed officers retaining all the awards, others selling to cover the tax and some selling in full. I appreciate the level of disclosure by the company in this regard.
  • Back in August, Hulamin (JSE: HLM) alerted the market to a fire that caused damage on Coil Coating Line 2. Two months later, plant repairs have been completed and the plant has been recommissioned for production.
  • Stefanutti Stocks (JSE: SSK) announced that the parties to the transaction for the disposal of SS-Construções in Mozambique have agreed to extend the fulfilment date for conditions precedent to 30 November 2024.
  • There’s trouble at Acsion (JSE: ACS), with BDO resigning as the auditor with immediate effect and not for happy reasons. BDO notes that Acsion “lacks sufficiently adequate resources to be able to release the financial statements” and that their invoices for cost overruns were not being met with a response from the company. Sounds messy.
  • AVI (JSE: AVI) will pay its special dividend on 21 October, so keep an eye out for it if you’re a shareholder there.

GHOST STORIES: Global Mobility – Common Mistakes by Employers and Employees

In this Ghost Stories podcast and accompanying transcript, Elzahne Henn of Forvis Mazars in South Africa sheds light on the common mistakes and misconceptions related to cross-border employment, such as South Africans working abroad, or working in South Africa but for a foreign company. These insights are valuable for employers and employees alike.

LISTEN TO THE PODCAST:

TRANSCRIPT:

The Finance Ghost: Welcome to this episode of the Ghost Stories podcast. It’s one that I’m really, really looking forward to because I think we’re going to learn a lot.

If you’ve clicked on this podcast, it’s because the title jumped out at you and you are either an employer or an employee who wants to make sure that your tax is compliant and that you don’t fall into any of the traps. They become quite complicated when we’re talking about cross-border stuff and thankfully we have Elzahne Henn here. She is responsible for private client and global mobility services at Forvis Mazars in South Africa.

Elzahne, thank you so much for your time today. I think it’s a technical topic, but it’s such an important one. This is exactly the kind of stuff where people can really get themselves into trouble and incur penalties, or worse. It’s one of those things that people just have to pay attention to, isn’t it?

Elzahne Henn: Absolutely. It’s become so such a popular topic just globally with remote workers and very importantly, the government and regulatory authorities definitely have their eye on these people. So, it’s very important to consider the compliance obligations.

The Finance Ghost: Yeah, I mean, this is really a hangover of COVID, right? People get all these remote working and digital nomad type jobs, they are techies or whatever it is that they do, and they feel like they can go and either live somewhere else in the world or work for a foreign employer while sitting here in South Africa. That’s very common. I have friends who are doing that. I think we have a broad skills base here in South Africa. The time zone is quite friendly for a lot of regions and that leads to work being outsourced here.

So maybe let’s start there, which is South African people, that is employees working in South Africa, but for a foreign employer. This is quite a common thing, I think. And there are considerations for both the employee and the employer, actually. Let’s maybe start with what the employer needs to think about. Is it as easy as just finding someone in South Africa and paying them a salary? How does that actually need to work in practice? What are some of the steps and where does it go wrong?

Elzahne Henn: for this type of scenario, the main concern for me would be from an employer perspective and what the employer’s obligations would be in the context of South Africa. Obviously, the employee sits in South Africa and we assume here that the employee is therefore tax resident in South Africa or is a South African citizen. For me, it’s about the employer’s obligations, that would be the first red flag. And secondly, also the method of payment where the employee is paid, because that’s where the risk for the employee lies.

So, maybe we can just start with the employee. We often experience that when a South African is paid by a foreign employer, the employee is under the impression that they can be paid into a foreign bank account, which there’s nothing wrong with, that the employer can pay into a foreign bank account. But if the services are rendered in South Africa or the employment is exercised in South Africa, one must remember that as a South African citizen sitting in South Africa, working for a foreign employer, you’re actually not allowed to keep those earnings in foreign currency. There is the general misconception I find with employees, is that they’re under the impression that they can keep these funds abroad, reinvested in foreign assets. But under the exchange control regulations, the employee that renders services in South Africa is actually required to remit those funds to South Africa or convert them to South African rands. They are not allowed to retain it in foreign currency.

Our experience recently is that due to all the amnesties and the voluntary disclosure, the Reserve Bank actually takes a very hard stance on this. It’s not just a slap on the wrist if they are discovered. Employees must be very careful when they are being paid into a foreign bank account. Just bear in mind not only the tax implications and the tax obligations in South Africa, but also the exchange control regulations.

The Finance Ghost: Elzahne, just to be clear on that, it’s not just that they have to declare that for tax? They can’t just do a return and say, hey, I earned this money from this employer. It actually needs to come back to South Africa. So even if they pay the tax on it and it’s sitting in London, that doesn’t work, they need to bring it back to rands?

Elzahne Henn: Correct. So, unfortunately, in South Africa, we’ve got the tax and the exchange control regulations to comply with. So, yeah, I think the risk is really, you know, a lot of people are happy that they really understand the tax obligations in South Africa, but they completely miss the point in respect of exchange control and their risk in relation to exchange control regulations.

The Finance Ghost: You know, it’s the old joke of “I’m really glad they taught me this in high school. You know, it really helped me so much in this trigonometry filing season.” – as opposed to the stuff that actually gets people into serious trouble. Anyway, sadly, none of this happens in high school, but it’s going to happen on this podcast, which is great. I think you’ve dealt with a very strong misconception to start with. I didn’t know that. I’ve never worked for a foreign employer, so luckily that’s fine. But that is not common knowledge, I don’t think.

And what is the requirement for these foreign employers? I mean, you can imagine as an employer sitting in the US or Europe, let’s say you’ve got employees all around the world and one of them happens to be in South Africa, is it as easy as just paying to a South African bank account? Because if you create lots of admin for that company to hire one South African, you can very quickly see that they just won’t do it, right? It must be quite a difficult situation.

Elzahne Henn: Yes, we’ve definitely come across situations where at the negotiation phase, the employer is made aware of that administrative burden and then there’s a backseat taken once they realise their reporting obligations.

There’s been a significant change, actually, in December 2023 that impacts foreign employers. In the past or before December 2023, foreign employers did have an obligation to register as employers for Skills Development Levy and Unemployment Insurance Fund contribution purposes, but they only had an obligation to withhold PAYE or employees’ tax if they had a representative agent in South Africa. What it meant was that unless there was an agent in South Africa that had the authority to pay the remuneration, a foreign employer actually had no obligation with regard to the withholding of PAYE.

There was a change that was then that came into effect in December 2023. Foreign employers now do have an obligation to withhold PAYE and register as employers for employees’ tax purposes if they do have a representative agent, but also if they have a permanent establishment in South Africa. Now, I don’t want to go into the technical detail on that, but basically they will have an obligation to withhold PAYE if the activities of the employee creates a tax presence or business presence for them in South Africa.

Then they will still have an obligation to withhold PAYE but, even if that was not the case, and then we say: “But there’s no permanent establishment created or there’s no agent in South Africa so there’s no PAYE obligation”, employers are still required to register for Skills Development and Unemployment Insurance Fund contributions. There’s a bit of an anomaly there in our legislation at present.

And, you know, it could be small amounts, but the administrative burden is huge because to register for these type of taxes, it requires the employee to register as an external company with CIPC, it requires them to open a bank account in South Africa to have a public officer, in other words, a representative taxpayer that’s resident in South Africa. So a huge administrative burden for foreign employer where they only have one or two employees in South Africa.

The Finance Ghost: I can just imagine trying to explain this in an interview stage, like: “Yes, you can have me, but here’s what you’re going to have to go through in order to do it.” I’m guessing, Elzahne this is obviously where you guys come in, in terms of helping people be compliant, the levels of non-compliance must be breathtaking? I would think, in this space.  People either just don’t know this stuff or they know it and then they just decide, well, that sounds like hard work, actually, I’m not going to take this seriously.

Elzahne Henn: Correct. Where there’s a permanent establishment created or there’s a representative taxpayer and there’s an obligation to pay PAYE, absolutely, I think foreign employees understand this globally and they understand their obligation. But where we advise the employer that there’s actually no obligation to withhold PAYE, but still this obligation to register for Skills Development Levy and Unemployment Insurance Fund contributions, which might be nominal if it’s only one employee, the costs to administer sometimes outweigh the penalties that they could face. But of course, it’s not just about the quantum of the penalties, it’s also the reputational risk for a foreign employer that doesn’t meet their obligations.

There probably is a lot of non-compliance, if it’s an economic decision taken based on the quantum of the penalties. But I think one has to seriously consider the reputational risk if you don’t comply and then how to account for the non-compliance.

The Finance Ghost: And this creates an entire industry of employers of reference, I think is the correct term? Literally companies that act as these agents. Is that a good solution? I mean, is that something that gets the job done? I guess it’s expensive for the employer, but the alternative is all the admin.

Elzahne Henn: Correct. I mean, there is obviously the added cost because now you’ve got a surface charge or a margin placed on the employment costs because now there’s a third party involved. Something to consider as well is the implications of our employment law or labour law. Who is the legal employee? Who is the economic employee? It could be a minefield where there is a third party that’s engaged, basically providing the employee to the foreign employer. Adding this additional party creates a minefield for tax, and of course, the employment law issues that could arise.

The Finance Ghost: Yeah, it’s pretty fascinating stuff, I think. Let’s move on to another category of people, which would be foreign persons working in South Africa for a foreign employer.

This is where someone is brought in, maybe by a company from overseas to work here for that foreign employer. Now we’re dealing with all kinds of cross border stuff. This is starting to sound like the United Nations! What are some of the major missteps there or difficulties that you’ve come across?

Elzahne Henn: I think the common misconception that we often find is where the foreign national is coming from a country where we’ve got a double tax agreement with the foreign country or the home country. So here we generally refer to South Africa in this context as the host country, and then the country of residence where the employee is coming from is the home country. Now, if there’s a double tax agreement, we so often find that the employee says, oh, but why do I have to pay tax in South Africa, we’ve got a double tax agreement with the home country? But one must always remember that although we’ve got a residence basis of taxation in South Africa, we’re actually running a dual system, or we apply a dual tax regime.

It’s residence based for South African tax residents, but in the context of non-residents, it’s a source-based system, right? If the employee comes to South Africa to exercise employment in South Africa or provide services from South Africa, we apply a source-based system of taxation, which means that if you earn remuneration or employment income for services that you render from South Africa, you’re liable for tax in South Africa. Yes, there could be relief available in terms of a double tax agreement, but at the end of the day, that relief is not automatic. You still have to file your tax return and claim that relief in terms of the double tax agreement in your tax return.

Also, the employer still has an obligation to register. As I mentioned, in the context of employing South African nationals, the employer still might have an obligation to register as an employer and withhold employee taxes, Skills Development Levy and Unemployment Insurance Fund contributions.

The Finance Ghost: So I think the point here is: it’s complicated, like a bad relationship status! Complicated things need a bit of help, which is thankfully Elzahne why people like you are around, because I can imagine how much you help your clients with just all of these complications. I mean, there’s so much to think about. There’s all the different labour law stuff, there’s exchange control, there’s SARS, there’s double tax agreements. It really is a minefield. I don’t think this is something that people can easily just go and figure out on their own. It doesn’t sound like it. This is not your basic little tax return where you go and check that the PAYE is right and you maybe let SARS know if you earn some interest. That’s not how this works. This is very complicated stuff, isn’t it?

Elzahne Henn: No, definitely. And, you know, you talk about foreign nationals coming to South Africa, one scenario. And South Africans being employed by a foreign employer, another scenario. I can promise you every single case is different because you’re looking at a different country, different periods that they spend in South Africa, different employment arrangements, different benefits that’s provided. So definitely a minefield and a number of issues to consider.

The Finance Ghost: Let’s do the other typical thing that we see here, which is people who, despite the Springboks, have decided to go and work somewhere else in the world, and they go and work for what would typically be a foreign employer, but they are South Africans, they are still South African tax residents, so they haven’t fully emigrated. I would imagine that must also get pretty complicated, because now they’re not even working in South Africa, they’re spending money elsewhere. And we all know how far your “randelas” get you overseas – the answer is not very far!

Do they end up paying tax there and here? Does it depend on the double tax agreement? Again, this must be a complicated situation, right?

Elzahne Henn: Yes. I think the crucial aspect with outbound employees is always their residency status. Interestingly, you mentioned that they remain SA residents. Well, not often. If they go to a country where we’ve got a double tax agreement, one must always bear in mind that they could cease to be tax resident under a double tax agreement. Although it’s the intention to return to South Africa one day and they still regard South Africa as their home, we often find that people moving to a country with whom we’ve got a double tax agreement actually cease to be tax resident under a double tax agreement, and then their basis of taxation would change.

It’s fairly simple if they do remain tax resident in South Africa, because all we have to do then is manage the foreign employment exemption. Employees that work overseas or outside South Africa could qualify for the foreign employment exemption, which is a maximum of R1.25 million per annum. But they have to spend the required number of days outside South Africa.

So that’s a fairly simple exemption. I say that very carefully because it’s not that simple. But basically, if they manage their days outside South Africa, they could qualify and the employer can apply that exemption as well when determining the tax to be withheld.  The issue becomes more complicated if they do cease to be tax resident.

I often find that, especially if it’s a South African employer – I mean, we did mention foreign employees, but obviously South African employers also send employees outside the borders of South Africa to work – these South African employers often just default to the conservative position of continuing to deduct employees tax. And then it’s a struggle to actually get those refunds once we file the tax returns for those employees, if the tax shouldn’t be withheld.

So one important aspect is to go through the process, and not at the end of an assignment or only once you file the tax return, but actually to consult with the employer as well as to where the tax should be withheld and reassess the employees [SL1] tax, residency status and the basis of taxation to ensure that, you know, on the one hand we want them to comply and pay the tax, but we don’t want them to pay tax that’s not due in South Africa and then try and fix it after the fact and get refunds, etc.

The Finance Ghost: Yeah, absolutely. That’s fascinating. And the residency stuff is important. You don’t want to end up with a CGT exit charge that you weren’t expecting because now you’re no longer resident in South Africa and that pretty house of yours that you hope to return to one day has now been deemed to be sold. And all your other assets and all the other craziness, right?

Elzahne Henn: Agree. Because the penalties by not paying the exit tax timeously, the underestimation penalties etc. – they can be substantial if there’s a substantial exit tax charge.

The Finance Ghost: Yeah, I think the point here is that, yes, you can kind of take the approach of hoping nothing goes wrong or whatever, but the reality is if it does, and it probably will, it’s going to be expensive and it’s going to be a real pain and it’s going to be time consuming. And I think, Elzahne, what’s interesting with what you do is you’re actually helping people avoid a lot of pain. And inevitably using professional advice here actually saves you money down the line because you are then hopefully avoiding penalties and everything else and all the costs of compliance that’s gone wrong.

I think that’s a really good reason for your clients to reach out to you. And my understanding is that you work with both private individuals and the employers. So both employers and employees who find themselves in this complicated situation, either side of that coin can reach out to you for assistance, you know, and that’s what you do in that team?

Elzahne Henn: Absolutely. We look after and advise the employee specifically, but also then the employer on its obligations with regard to payroll taxes. But very importantly, and as you mentioned, you know, this is an ongoing process as well. There’s obviously a planning phase to do this, to reach out to an advisor while in the planning phase, while busy with negotiations with regard to your move either abroad or to South Africa. Very important. But also that relationship, employer-employee relationship must also be reviewed on an ongoing basis because, you know, the legislation changed, the relationship might change, your tax residency status might change during the course of the assignment or during the course of the contract. It’s not just that initial consultation, it’s that ongoing engagement with your advisor to make them aware that, that things have changed during the assignment or the contract.

The Finance Ghost: Fantastic. Elzahne, thank you so much. And what is the best way for people to reach out to you if they need assistance?

Elzahne Henn: Obviously you can contact me by email or by phone. We’ve got a full team, a presence in Gqeberha, Johannesburg and Bloemfontein. They’re welcome to contact me directly. I’m in based in Cape Town, but obviously we service clients right through South Africa and then internationally as well.

The Finance Ghost: Great. I’ll make sure I include your LinkedIn and website details at Forvis Mazars in the show notes. Elzahne, thank you very much for your time. And to the listeners, I think it’s quite clear that there are a lot of complexities here. This is not something where you can just hope that it’s all going to be okay. Hope is not a strategy. Rather get it right and speak to Elzahne.

Elzahne Henn: Thank you for the opportunity.


Venice Biennale: The world at a glance

If art is a mirror, as the saying goes, then the Venice Biennale offers what can only be described as a panoramic reflection of the world in 2024. In this exclusive for Ghost Mail, Dominique Olivier takes you on a journey into how contemporary art is the outlet for humanity.

Say what you will about contemporary art, but you can’t argue the fact that it delivers a message like very few other things. Every two years, the Venice Biennale stands in as a kind of megaphone to amplify the voices of artists from almost every country in the world. Official statistics reveal that in 2022, more than 800,000 visitors attended this global art exhibition, which runs from April to November.

That’s a lot of people, looking at a lot of art. And this year, I was lucky enough to count myself among them to bring Ghost Mail readers an experiential look at this incredible event.

This year’s theme, “Foreigners Everywhere”, introduced works and conversations centred around immigration, refugees, exile, outsiders and those who live on the margins. It’s an evocative theme, made all the more relevant and powerful as hostilities between countries continue to play out in the background of the event.

The politics of space

It’s an awkward thing to have to represent your country on the international stage while you’re in the throes of war. Russia and Israel each have a private pavilion in the sought-after Giardini section of the Biennale, while Ukraine has a space in the shared Arsenale space a short walk away.

Before you wonder if there is some sort of favouritism in the allocation of pavilions – there genuinely isn’t. The Giardini (literally, “garden”) is the original site of the Biennale, which in its earliest days was confined to one building. As more countries were invited to participate over time, space became a problem in the main building. Biennale organisers started encouraging countries to invest in and build their own pavilions in the Giardini, with Belgium being the first to do so in 1907. Since then, 28 other countries have built pavilions, with Korea claiming the final spot in the Giardini in 1995.

The Giardini reached capacity at the end of the 90s. Countries not owning a pavilion started exhibiting in other venues across Venice, with the majority renting exhibition spaces in the restored Arsenale (the largest production centre in Venice during the pre-industrial era, responsible for churning out those famous Venetian galleons).

Russia built its pavilion in 1914, while Israel built theirs in 1952. Ukraine made its first appearance in the Arsenale in 2003, about eight years too late to claim a spot in the Giardini.

You’re probably wondering how our local artists make do at the Biennale. After being ostracised for decades due to the Apartheid regime, the South African pavilion had its debut in the Arsenale in 1993. It’s not the Giardini, but it’s a decent space.

I know I said there isn’t any favouritism that plays into the allocation of exhibition spaces, and that is mostly true. Still, we can’t really ignore the fact that the countries represented in the Giardini are the ones who were able to afford to build a pavilion between 1907 and 1995  – a period of time that saw both World Wars and the Cold War come and go, along with loads of other global events.

This means that an overview of the Giardini versus the Arsenale gives you quite a good idea of who the developed market players in the world are, compared to those who have traditionally existed on the fringes. In the Giardini, you’ll find Great Britain, North America, Germany, France, Switzerland and Japan. In the Arsenale, you’ll find China, Indonesia, Mexico, Singapore and the UAE.

Emerging vs. developed markets, anyone?

Russia/Bolivia

While each exhibition space at the Biennale is representative of a country, having an artist from that country exhibiting there is more of a convention than a rule. Historically, some countries have invited artists from other nations to exhibit in their spaces for various reasons.

A good example would be the tiny island nation of Tuvalu, an island country in Polynesia that very few people ever expected to see represented at the Biennale due to the costs involved in exhibiting. Tuvalu is forecast to be one of the first countries in the world to disappear due to rising sea levels brought on by global warming. Desperate to bring attention to their plight on the global stage, Tuvalu came to the Biennale in 2013 and 2015. In both instances, they selected globally-renowned Taiwanese eco artist Vincent J.F. Huang to represent them and their message.

I was morbidly curious to see what would be going on in the Russian pavilion this year. I was very surprised to encounter a kind of pop-up pavilion for Bolivia inside the Russian building. This is not the same as Vincent Huang representing Tuvalu; the Bolivians are representing themselves, not Russia.

The official story is that Russia is “lending” their space to the Bolivians this year. Russia itself hasn’t been represented at the Biennale since the country first invaded Ukraine in 2022. Their 2022 exhibition was cancelled on February 27 of that year, just days after the first invasive action. Artists Alexandra Sukhareva and Kirill Savchenkov, as well as curator Raimundas Malašauskas, announced their resignation on social media. “There is nothing left to say, there is no place for art when civilians are dying under the fire of missiles,” wrote Savchenkov. “As a Russian-born, I won’t be presenting my work in Venice.”

It may seem like a random alliance – Russia and Bolivia – but the decision coincides with cultural cooperation, lithium extraction and atomic research agreements between the two countries. In 2023, Bolivia signed a lithium agreement with Rosatom, Russia’s state nuclear agency, on tapping the country’s reserves of the metal. Bolivian president Luis Arce openly congratulated Vladimir Putin for his victory with over 87% of the vote in the 15-17 March presidential elections.

Art. Politics. It’s all connected.

Israel

Not far from the Russian/Bolivian pavilion, the Israeli pavilion stands in darkness. Israeli artist Ruth Patir, who was chosen to represent Israel at the 2024 Venice Biennale, announced she will not open her exhibition for the national pavilion until “a ceasefire and hostage release agreement” is reached between Israel and Hamas. Patir, along with the pavilion’s curators, Tamar Margalit and Mira Lapidot, did not inform the Israeli government ahead of time about their decision to postpone the opening. The pavilion, titled “(M)otherland,” was set to include several new works featuring computer-generated imagery; one piece remained partially visible through the front window during my visit. 

In mid-October last year, a few weeks into the Gaza conflict, Israel confirmed its intention to move forward with the pavilion, despite calls from the art world for the country to withdraw. In February, thousands of artists signed an open letter urging the Biennale to cancel Israel’s participation, accusing the event of “platforming a genocidal apartheid state.” Several artists in the main exhibition joined this call. Italian Culture Minister Gennaro Sangiuliano responded by confirming that Israel would participate as planned, emphasising that any country officially recognised by Italy is entitled to present a national pavilion. Come for the art, stay for the pizza.

Curator Francesco Bonami’s proposal to include a Palestinian pavilion at this year’s Biennale was immediately met with claims of antisemitism, and the country ultimately did not mount a presentation. To date, Palestine has never been represented at the Biennale.

Ukraine

Ukraine was well-represented at this Biennale this year, which is a feat made all the more impressive when you take into account that they also managed to get an exhibition to the Biennale in 2022. La Biennale, the cultural organisation behind the entire event, committed to supporting Ukraine’s national pavilion in 2022, which had to pause preparations following Russia’s invasion. In addition, a temporary “pavilion” called Piazza Ucraina was set up by the Biennale near Russia’s closed pavilion. This last-minute tribute to the embattled country featured a wooden structure that appeared charred, symbolising the devastation Ukraine has faced.

This year’s Ukrainian pavilion in the Arsenale has not left my mind since I saw it. Titled Net Making, the exhibition features the works of various Ukrainian artists, installed in a space that has been swathed in camouflage netting. As per the curator’s statement, “People in Ukraine and abroad, often strangers, gather to weave together camouflage nets. It’s a practice driven by tragedy, but it can also function as therapy or social occasion. It is the epitome of self- organisation, horizontality and joint action, and a means of emancipation”. 

All of the works in the space are excellent, but the one that made me feel slightly sick (in a good way) was Civilians. Invasion by Andrii Rachynskyi and Daniil Revkovskyi (yes, there’s a full stop in the middle of the title). This video work features archival videos collected from open sources, shot by civilians before and during the Russian invasion.

In home-video style footage, two small children respond with excitement when their mother returns from the store with a pair of ice-creams for them; she could not finish the shopping, she explains, because there was bombing, so she grabbed the ice-creams and ran. A distressed woman paces in the street, describing to her neighbour that she was walking her dog, who then ran off at the sound of an explosion. A couple searches for their belongings in the bombed-out remnants of their apartment. These glances into the “new normal” are visceral yet magnetic, and I’ll admit that I stood there and continued to watch far past the point of my own comfort.

On the wall across from the screen showing these videos, there’s a first-person shooter video game playing on loop. The space asks you to consider how easy it is to kill people on PlayStation vs. the tragedy in real life.

Biennale 2026

As I dream of returning to Venice in 2026, I can’t help but wonder what the next Biennale might look like. The political, social, and environmental challenges of recent years have set the stage for more urgent conversations in the art world, and 2026 could see a Biennale that continues to push boundaries in these areas. We might expect even deeper explorations of displacement, identity, and global interconnectedness – especially as climate change, geopolitical tensions, and technological advancements continue to shape our world. 

Will we see more collaboration between countries, new voices from previously underrepresented regions, or an even bolder critique of power dynamics? Will we see the introduction of an AI pavilion? Only time will tell, but one thing is certain: the Venice Biennale will once again offer a window into the heart of the world, and that is a window worth keeping an eye on.

The gelato certainly isn’t bad, either.

About the author: Dominique Olivier

Dominique Olivier is the founder of human.writer, where she uses her love of storytelling and ideation to help brands solve problems.

She is a weekly columnist in Ghost Mail and collaborates with The Finance Ghost on Ghost Mail Weekender, a Sunday publication designed to help you be more interesting.

Dominique can be reached on LinkedIn here.

Ghost Bites (EOH | Metair | Northam Platinum)

Get the latest recap of JSE news in the Ghost Wrap podcast, brought to you by Mazars:


When will EOH turn a profit? (JSE: EOH)

Even after the rights issue, the group is loss-making

Back in February 2023, EOH closed a rights issue that gave them R555 million to reduce debt. This helped them negotiate a lower rate for all remaining debt, so investors would be forgiven for thinking that the business should be able to make a profit. Alas, despite the decrease in debt, EOH still made a loss in the six months to January 2024 – and not a small one either. The interim headline loss per share was 11 cents.

Those who take the KFC approach to their portfolios of Adding Hope might have believed that the worst was behind EOH, with an ability to at least be profitable in the second half of the financial year. With guidance for the full-year headline loss per share of between 10 cents and 30 cents, it looks likely that the second half was hardly any better than the first half.

And yet here we are, with the share price of R1.82 well above the rights offer price of R1.30. The share price is up 27% this year thanks to the GNU exuberance.

Is it justified? Personally, I prefer not to hold loss-making IT groups with low margins operating in highly competitive markets. Others seem to feel differently, although a 5.7% drop on the day after releasing the full-year guidance suggests that some of the bulls seem to be leaving the room.


Metair swoops in on Autozone and buys itself a route to market (JSE: MTA)

After private equity killed Autozone with debt, Metair is buying it out of business rescue

Perhaps showing my age here, but leveraged buyouts always remind me of the 50 Cent album: Get Rich or Die Tryin’. Basically, a private equity house backs a management team and plugs in loads of debt to help with a buyout from existing shareholders. In doing so, they risk the entire business and the livelihoods of everyone involved, all while putting in a thin equity layer and transforming a legacy business into little more than a venture capital play.

When it works, they make a fortune. When it doesn’t, a business is destroyed. Lovely, isn’t it?

Autozone has been the latter story, with a buyout in 2014 that put loads of debt on the balance sheet at the wrong time for South Africa. The private equity fund in question is Ethos, but all the private equity houses do these types of deals.

How much debt? Well, to give you some idea of the interest burden in the year ended June 2024, Autozone managed EBITDA of R62 million and a net loss of R61 million. They have a balance sheet problem, not a business problem. They managed this level of EBITDA despite being throttled by the balance sheet and unable to invest properly in working capital.

In these situations, business rescue can work really well because there’s actually a business worth rescuing. Metair has swooped in as the hero here, but don’t mistake this for altruism. No, Metair has a plan to use Autozone as a route to market for its car parts manufacturing business and I think that’s a pretty smart strategy. A strategic buyer (like Metair) is almost always a better deal for everyone involved than a purely financial buyer (like private equity).

If you’ve been following Metair though, you’ll know that their balance sheet isn’t exactly a hall of fame candidate either. They’ve just announced the sale of the Turkish business, a disposal that is nothing short of urgent thanks to how much pressure Metair is under. Despite this, they just couldn’t resist buying Autozone for an effective investment of R290 million, with R215 million going to the creditors (Absa being the main one) and R75 million going into working capital. The equity itself is worthless at the moment.

If Autozone’s working capital deteriorates below R344 million as at the closing date, Metair has the right to walk away. This is to protect Metair from a situation where things get even worse before the deal is closed.

Brave stuff from Metair, but I really like the deal. I just wish the Metair balance sheet was in a position of strength for this.

As speculative plays go, this is an interesting chart:


Eskom might have improved, but Northam Platinum still sees value in solar (JSE: NPH)

This is the company’s first major renewable energy project

Although load shedding seems to have been banished to the history books (and long may it stay there), Northam Platinum is still prioritising renewable energy. This isn’t just because of environmental targets and the obvious benefits of renewable energy. There are cost savings to consider as well, along with power supply risks and the possibility of Eskom deteriorating again.

Despite all the pain in the PGM sector at the moment, the business case for this project is strong enough that Northam Platinum is going ahead with a Power Purchase Agreement in respect of an 80MW solar power plant to service the Zondereinde operation. Effectively, they are committing to buying power from the company that will build the plant.

Power is expected to be available from December 2025, with the independent power producer carrying the capex burden for the project.


Nibbles:

  • Director dealings:
    • Truworths (JSE: TRU) very cleverly noted that all director sales of vested awards were either to settle tax or rebalance their portfolios. They just don’t give that detail per director. This is very poor disclosure that in my opinion shouldn’t be allowed, as I want to see exactly which sales are to cover tax and which are not.
    • From what I can see, the majority of Discovery (JSE: DSY) directors sold their entire share award. Only a couple of them retained shares after selling to cover the tax. Among those who sold everything are the founders of Discovery, which is interesting after decent results. This suggests that the share price has run a bit too hard.
    • A director of ADvTECH (JSE: ADH) has sold shares worth R309k.
    • The CEO of Hammerson (JSE: HMN) reinvested her dividend in shares worth £2k.
  • Barloworld (JSE: BAW) has renewed the cautionary announcement regarding discussions that could affect the price of the company’s shares. Sadly, at this stage, we have no further details on what those discussions could be.
  • Chrometco (JSE: CMO) obtained shareholder approval to change the name of the company to Sail Mining Group.

Ghost Bites (Alphamin | Balwin | Hammerson | Jubilee Metals | Telemasters | Vukile)

Get the latest recap of JSE news in the Ghost Wrap podcast, brought to you by Mazars:


Congratulations to Forvis Mazars, who make Ghost Wrap podcasts possible, for their appointment as auditors of Rex Trueform and African and Overseas Enterprises.


Records tumble at Alphamin (JSE: APH)

Mpama South has had a major impact here

Alphamin has released results for the quarter ended September. They tell a great story, with record quarterly tin production (up 22% vs. the preceding quarter, let alone year-on-year) thanks to Mpama South making a full contribution for this quarter vs. only a portion of the preceding quarter.

EBITDA looks to be coming in at $91.5 million, which is a 69% increase on the preceding quarter. Before you wonder how this is possible with only a 22% increase in production, the key is that sales were up 71% as the group caught up on sales disruptions.

Distortions aside, it’s obviously a lovely set of numbers. The production increase came at the right time, as the average tin price achieved actually fell by 2% vs. the preceding quarter. Combined with a 1% increase in all-in sustaining costs per tonne, it could’ve been a very different set of numbers without the production and sales volume uplift.

The interim dividend of CAD$0.06 per share is double the previous level.

The Alphamin share price is up 30% in the past year and the market liked these numbers, as you’ll see in this chart:


Balwin will want to erase the memory of this period (JSE: BWN)

Perhaps things will improve going forward

The six months to August 2024 were an unhappy time for Balwin. To be fair to them, I don’t think an election period is ever good for durable asset sales – and especially property. Combined with the prevailing high interest rates, I’m not shocked that Balwin’s HEPS fell by between 54% and 59%.

The second half of the year will hopefully be given a boost by the recent reduction in interest rates. More cuts are surely to come, giving further assistance to prospective homeowners (and thus Balwin).

It says a lot that the annuity business portfolio contributed 8% to revenue in this period vs. 4.7% in the comparable period. That says less about the annuity business and more about the ugly drop in apartment sales, with a decrease from 834 to 640 apartments for the period.

Balwin hilariously blames this on a “conservative construction approach” as though they are a Ferrari-esque business that deliberately withholds supply. The reality is that demand simply wasn’t there and the group would do better to just accept that issue rather than coming up with flawed arguments to explain the performance.

All this does is detract from some of the genuine highlights, like a 5% drop in group overhead costs and 15% operating profit growth in the annuity side of the business.

I’ve been bearish on this thing since 2021 and I haven’t been wrong on it yet, with this chart putting the GNU-inspired rally in context:


Hammerson gives us a data point on the cost of UK money (JSE: HMN)

This is an issuance of 12-year bonds to the value of £400 million

Bond issuances are nothing unusual, especially in the property sector. The funding ladder has instruments with various maturities, ranging from shorter-dated notes through to bonds that mature in several years. Still, a 12-year bond is quite an unusual thing to see at a corporate. It might be a UK vs. SA thing, with corporates able to issue longer-term debt in a developed market vs. an emerging market.

Either way, Hammerson has managed an issuance of £400 million worth of bonds that mature in 12 years from now. In the same way that a fixed deposit for a longer period of time gives you a higher return at your bank, the cost of debt for a longer-term bond is higher for a corporate. Hammerson has priced the bonds at 5.875%. Remember, that’s a GBP-denominated rate.

The proceeds will be used to redeem various other bonds that mature in the next few years. The company recently announced a tender offer to facilitate this, which is an invitation to holders of those bonds to ask Hammerson to redeem them. Encouragingly, the issuance of the new bonds was 7x oversubscribed, so there’s no shortage of investor interest. Pun intended.


Jubilee Metals focused on chrome and copper as the PGM market fell away (JSE: JBL)

Even then, they couldn’t save this result

Jubilee Metals has released reports for the year ended June 2024. They reflect growth in revenue of 20.2%, yet a decline in EBITDA of 7.1%. It gets much worse by the bottom of the income statement, where HEPS has crashed by 86%. Although an increase in the weighted average shares in issue of 6.3% didn’t help there, it was the jump in finance costs that caused the major deterioration between EBITDA and HEPS.

They had a really tough time in terms of the underlying commodity exposure, with the PGM price down by 20.1% per ounce. Copper was down 6.5%, but at least they could ramp up production of that metal. Chrome was the pick of the litter and by a long way, with the price up 26.3% and production up by 20%. Their focus has been on getting the best out of the chrome business at a time when PGMs are really struggling. Copper is in the process of being ramped up in Zambia, so there should be a major jump in production there.


Telemasters reports a sharp drop in earnings (JSE: TLM)

When margins are thin, the group can’t afford a decrease in revenue

Telemasters consists of a variety of IT businesses, some of which are in the ICT space where margins really are incredibly thin. Last year, they managed operating profit of nearly R2.3 million off revenue of R64.2 million. It’s even worse this year, thanks to a 6.7% decrease in revenue driving a 42% drop in operating profit.

By the time we reach HEPS level, the drop is 16%. It’s a lot worse for the dividend, which has fallen by 88%.


Vukile unlocks capital in Spain (JSE: VKE)

The sale of Lar Espana by Vukile subsidiary Castellana is at a better price than anticipated

Vukile told us back in July that its Spanish subsidiary Castellana had received an offer for its 28.8% stake in Lar Espana. The initial price on the table was EUR 8.10 per share. After a couple of months of negotiations, the price is up to EUR 8.30. It’s worth noting that the net asset value (NAV) per share for Lar Espana is EUR 10.22, so the buyer is still getting it at a discount to NAV.

This unlocks just under EUR 200 million in cash for Castellana. Most impressively, it also means they achieved an internal rate of return of 45% per year since January 2022 (in ZAR terms) on that investment – impressive stuff!

The capital will be most helpful for the Iberian peninsula strategy, with Vukile (through Castellana) investing in Portugal as well as Spain.

There are various conditions that still need to be met before the cash will flow, including a minimum number of acceptances from other Lar Espana shareholders as well.


Nibbles:

  • Director dealings:
    • A prescribed officer of Capitec (JSE: CPI) sold shares worth nearly R7.5 million and the company secretary sold shares worth R634k.
  • Spar (JSE: SPP) could really do with an experienced hand right now and they seem to have found one in the form of Moegamat Reeza Isaacs, the ex-CFO of Woolworths. Having spent a decade on the board of Woolworths until 2023, he’s ready for a new challenge it seems. And a challenge it will be – taking the CFO role at Spar is no joke at the moment, thanks to the offshore challenges and the SAP rollout into the remaining distribution centres. Good luck to him in the new role!
  • Eastern Platinum (JSE: EPS) has commissioned the PGM processing facility at the crocodile river mine. The plant has begun processing run-of-mine ore, delivering concentrate that is being delivered to Impala Platinum under the existing offtake agreement. The chrome retreatment project is expected to wind down in the early part of 2025, so this PGM facility is the focus going forward.
  • Choppies (JSE: CHP) is set to pay a dividend of 1.862 cents per share on 28 October 2024.

Who’s doing what this week in the South African M&A space?

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Exchange-Listed Companies

Lesaka Technologies will seek shareholder approval for a proposed B-BBEE transaction in which the Group will sell a 3% stake in the company (2,49 million shares) to qualifying employees for c.R212,6 million. The approximate number of participants in the ESOP will be 2,400. The shares will be vendor funded by the company through a notional vendor funding structure which will have a seven-year term.

Brimstone Investment has disposed of 43,565,057 STADIO shares (a 5.14% stake) to ThembiSA Fund 1, a black private equity fund managed by ThembiSA Equity Investments, at a price per share of R5.90 for an aggregate R257 million. Brimstone acquired 78% of the sale shares as part of STADIO’s B-BBEE private placement in 2017 and a further 22% in 2018 through a share swap agreement with STADIO. The shares were subject to a lock-in period of 4 December 2024 and 22 March 2025 respectively. ThembisSA has assumed the original lock-in arrangements. Brimstone will use the proceeds to meet funding obligations.

Though its subsidiary Castellana Properties, Vukile Property Fund has negotiated an improved offer price of €8.30 per share (up from €8.10) for its 28.8% stake in BME-listed Lar España Real Estate. The purchasing consortium of Hines European Real Estate Partners III and a vehicle controlled by Grupo Lar Inversiones Inmobiliarias, will pay €199,95 million in cash for the stake reflecting an internal rate of return of c.45% per annum since January 2022 in ZAR terms. The proceeds will be used to invest in financially accretive opportunities with significantly lower operational and execution risks.

African Dawn Capital has released details of its disposal of a 50% stake in its wholly-owned subsidiary Elite Group, a credit provider with a national footprint in South Africa. EXG Partners has invested R5 million for the stake through the subscription of ordinary shares and has provided a long-term commercial loan of R15 million to Elite. The audited loss attributable to Elite as at the last audited financials of the African Dawn Capital was R11,9 million. The disposal is categorised as a category 1 disposal, requiring shareholder approval.

ADvTECH has purchased FNB’s (FirstRand) former training and conference centre in Sandton for an undisclosed sum. The company will create a new University campus, investing in new lecture facilities and a new sports centre and will relocate the IIE’s Varsity College Sandton and Vega Bordeaux to the site for the start of the 2026 academic year.

As part of its preparation ahead of the reverse takeover by Swiss investment group ESGTI AG, Kibo Energy PLC has negotiated the partial settlement of the RiverFort Loan (of £462,871) with the sale of its remaining 19.52% interest in Mast Energy Development PLC (MED) to RiverFort Global Opportunities for £120,074. The 19.52% stake comprises 83,211,746 MED shares (listed on the LSE) at £0.001443 per MED share calculated as at the volume weighted average price per share on 27 September 2024.

NEPI Rockcastle has entered into a binding agreement to acquire Kasama Investments, which owns Magnolia Park situated in Wroclaw in Poland. The property has been acquired from Union Investment Real Estate GmnH for an aggregate purchase consideration of €373 million, including the full settlement of Magnolia Park’s outstanding debt. The transaction is classified as a category 2 transaction by the JSE and as such does not require shareholder approval.

Following the listing of We Buy Cars and the disposal of Nutun Australia and Nutun Transact, Transaction Capital (TC) has now disposed of a 64.5% stake in the Mobalyz Group (previously known as SA Taxi). The company will continue to hold a minority stake in the business. Prior to the disposal, TC disposed of RC Value Added Services to its wholly owned SATH for a purchase price of R160 million which will remain as a subordinated loan. TC will continue to hold a minority stake in SATH of 26% via its shareholding in Mobalyz. Following the disposal of a majority stake in Mobalyz, TC’s sole operating business will be Nutun South Africa and will at its shareholder meeting in March 2025 look to changing its name to Nutun.

MultiChoice and Canal+ have advised that they have made a joint merger control filing pertaining to the offer announced in March 2024, to the Competition Commission. The deal is classified as a ‘large merger’ and as such requires approval from the Competition Tribunal.

Delta Property Fund has disposed of two properties to Currolink Investments for an aggregate R33 million. The properties – 63 Maitland Street in Bloemfontein and 95 Du Toitspan Street in Kimberley are in regions Delta has earmarked for exit.

Unlisted Companies

South African card issuing orchestration and Infrastructure-as-a-Service enabler Scale, has completed a pre-seed funding round raising US$700,000. The round was led by early-stage investors 54 Collective and First Circle Capital, with participation from Sunny Side Venture Partners and prominent angels from the industry. The fundraise will be used to accelerated Scale’s market entry into Kenya, Zambia and Cote d’Ivoire.

TMF Group, a global provider of compliance and administrative services, has acquired the corporate services business in South Africa of the Stonehage Fleming Group, an international Multi-Family Office. The Stonehage Flemming Corporate Services South Africa (SFCS South Africa) acquisition expands TMF’s local presence and affords SFCS access to a global platform with large global clients and capabilities. Financia details were undisclosed.

TUNL, a South African parcel shipping platform which helps e-commerce merchants on international shipping costs, has raised a seed round led by E4EAfrica, together with Jonathan Smit, Jozi Angels and an SPV arranged by Utopia Capital Management. The new funding will continue to fuel its expansion in South Africa by removing the barriers to international selling and shipping faced by local SMEs.

Founded in 2021, Littlefish, a local fintech company empowering and enabling commerce, particularly for nano, micro, and small business has closed a seed investment round led by TLcom Capital, with Flourish Ventures as a co-investor. The funds will be used to accelerate its plan to empower banks to more efficiently service small and medium-sized companies. The investment is a first for TLcom in SA, which sees the potential for Littlefish to help bridge the financial services gap for the more than 80 million SMEs across Africa.

Petrobras, the Brazilian state-owned oil company, is to acquire a 10% stake in the offshore Deep Western Orange basin oil block in South Africa after a competitive process held by TotalEnergies. The French oil major will retain a 40% stake in the block. Other parties include QatarEnergy (30%) and Sezigyn (20%).

DealMakers is SA’s M&A publication.
www.dealmakerssouthafrica.com

Weekly corporate finance activity by SA exchange-listed companies

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AltVest Capital, which is in the process of moving its listing from the Cape Town Stock Exchange (CTSE) to the JSE’s AltX, has announced the results of its capital raise. The company raised R18,2 million (from a potential R116,9 million) and will issue 1 million Ordinary shares, 1,619,224 A shares, 409,695 B shares and 1,339,416 C shares. The Ords, A, B and C shares were offered at the following price per share – R6.50, R1.80, R11.00 and R3.20 respectively. Each of the equity offerings (A-C shares) are linked to an investee company – Umganu Lodge, Bambanani Family Group and Altvest Credit Opportunities Fund. The shares will commence trading on AltX from 14 October 2024.

Efora Energy’s suspension on the JSE, implemented in October 2020, has been lifted as of trading on 30 September 2024. The company was suspended for failure to submit its annual financial statements in the required time frame in accordance with the JSE Listing Requirements.

Companies still suspended on the JSE and providing updates to shareholders include Chrometco, Conduit Capital and PSV.

This week the following companies repurchased shares:

South32 announced in its annual financial statements released in August that it would increase its capital management programme by US$200 million, to be returned via an on-market share buy-back. This week 925,327 shares were repurchased for an aggregate cost of A$3,39 million.

In line with its share buyback programme announced in March, British American Tobacco this week repurchased a further 447,913 shares at an average price of £27.51 per share for an aggregate £12,3 million.

Prosus and Naspers continued with their open-ended share repurchase programmes. During the period 23 – 27 September 2024, a further 4,382,351 Prosus shares were repurchased for an aggregate €162,3 million and a further 155,863 Naspers shares for a total consideration of R596,6 million.

Two companies issued profit warnings this week: Insimbi Industrial and Balwin Properties.

During the week, five companies issued cautionary notices: Tongaat Hulett, TeleMasters, African Dawn Capital, Clientèle and PSV.

DealMakers is SA’s M&A publication.
www.dealmakerssouthafrica.com

Who’s doing what in the African M&A and debt financing space?

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DealMakers AFRICA

Nigerian agritech, Winich Farms, has completed a US$3 million debt and equity pre-series A funding round. The round was supported by Acumen Resilient Agriculture Fund, Climate Resilient Africa Fund, Marula Square, Plug and Play, Tekedia Capital and Sahel Capital. The funding will be used to scale operations, enhance its digital platform and expand its financial services to more farmers.

Afreximbank’s development impact invest arm, The Fund for Export Development in Africa (FEDA) and Africa Finance Corporation (AFC) have made a US$443 million investment in Dubai-based Arise IIP. FEDA invested $300 million for their equity stake and AFC increased their shareholding by $143 million. Arise IIP is a pan-African developer and operator of industrial parks. The funding will be used to accelerate expansion and operational efficiency across its 12-country portfolio which includes Malawi, Cameroon, Sierra Leone, Benin, Togo, Ivory Coast, Rwanda, Gabon, DRC, Republic of Congo, Chad and Nigeria.

Apple Orchards, a Kenyan agriculture enterprise specialising in apple seedling cultivation, has received a US$1 million term and working capital loan from Sahel Capital’s Social Enterprise Fund for Agriculture in Africa (SEFAA).

The Saudi Investment and Industrial Development Company, a subsidiary of the Saudi Paper Manufacturing Company, has sold its entire stake in Moroccan Paper Manufacturing Company to Omar Al-Nasi for MAD19 million.

Injaro Investments subsidiary, Investment Capital Partners, via the Pro Impacto Fund, has announced an undisclosed investment in AGRA, Lda in Cabo Verde. AGRA is a producer of poultry and animal feed and is the fund’s second investment in the West African island country. The funding will enable AGRA to modernise its operations and increase production capacity.

Kenya-based Dhamana Guarantee Company will start operations to mobilise private sector finance to support the development of sustainable businesses, following investments from InfraCo Africa, the African Devlopment Bank and CPF Group, with support from Cardano Development and FSD Africa. Dhamana will issue guarantees to commercially viable projects, businesses and institutions that tackle the climate crisis.

Prudential plc has agreed to acquire the remaining shares in its Nigeria joint venture business, Prudential Zenith Life Insurance. The value of the deal was not disclosed but will be paid in cash and includes a performance-based element. In 2017, Prudential acquired a 51% stake in the then Zenith Life Insurance.

AJN Resources has entered into an agreement with Lord Purus Trading (LPT) to acquire up to a 70% stake in the Dabel Gold Project, situated in Marsabit County. The project lies within the Adola Gold Belt which hosts the Lega Dembi gold mine. AJN can acquire up to a 70% interest in the project through the issue 5,000,000 shares in the share capital of AJN to LPT within 10 days of signing the agreement, conducting a 90-day due diligence, following which, if they wish to continue, they will acquire a 60% stake and issue 19.9% of its share capital to LPT, make a payment of US$50,000 on signing the Agreement, a further $50,000 on completion of a fundraise and $250,000 after six months from signing the agreement. AJN will also pay an additional $500,000 on the anniversary of the $250,000 payment for the duration of the exploration phase. AJN can acquire an additional 10% interest in the Dabel Gold Project by paying $10,000,000 to LPT within two years from the commencement date or paying $15,000,000 within three years from the commencement date.

DealMakers AFRICA is the Continent’s M&A publication
www.dealmakersafrica.com

Ghost Bites (Brimstone – STADIO | Clientele | Delta | Lesaka | Powerfleet)

Get the latest recap of JSE news in the Ghost Wrap podcast, brought to you by Mazars:


Brimstone has sold its stake in STADIO – one of its best assets (JSE: BRT | JSE: SDO)

The buyer is also a B-BBEE investment group, so the empowerment credentials are preserved for now

Due to the level of financial assistance typically given by a company in structuring a B-BBEE deal, it is common in the market that the shares are subject to a lock-up i.e. minimum investment period. Companies simply cannot afford to do a new B-BBEE deal every couple of years. Lock-ups tend to be between 7 years and even 10 years, thereby matching the investment period that is often used in the private equity industry.

Sometimes, an investor needs to wriggle out of a lock-up. In such a case, the company might be OK with this provided there’s a suitably empowered buyer waiting in the wings to take the stake. Whilst I doubt that this would be the case for most of the stuff in Brimstone’s portfolio, STADIO is an exception due to the excellent recent performance.

Of course, this means that Brimstone is selling off one of its few crown jewels to help the group meet its funding obligations for the near- to medium-term. That’s not an ideal way to raise R257 million.

The purchaser is ThembiSA InvestCo 2, an investment entity managed by ThemsiSA Equity Investments and PSG Group. They will honour the remaining lock-up period until March 2025.

Things can’t be great at Brimstone if they went to all this effort just to buy themselves a few months.


Something is happening at Clientèle (JSE: CLI)

The cash cow is considering an acquisition

Clientèle is one of the best examples on the JSE of the importance of looking at total return, not just share price return. Despite not being a property group, Clientèle offers a very juicy dividend yield. They are seen as a cash cow rather than a growth story. I hope that whatever they are up to here isn’t going to be an attempt to change that situation, possibly to the detriment of shareholders.

For now, all we know is that Clientèle is the preferred bidder to acquire 100% in a financial services entity of some kind. They don’t even mention the products or services offered by the entity, so we are very light on details at the moment.

The share price closed 8% higher in response to this cautionary announcement.


Delta agrees to sell two properties for R33 million (JSE: DLT)

Fixing this balance sheet is like digging a hole with a spoon

Delta Property Fund is selling two properties, one in Bloemfontein and the other in Kimberley, for R33 million. That’s good news. As a reminder of just how much work the company still needs to do to rescue the balance sheet, this will only reduce the loan-to-value ratio by 10 basis points from 60.9% to 60.8%. Vacancy levels will reduce by 50 basis points to 32.9%.

These are government office buildings and one of them has a vacancy rate of a whopping 90.7%, so good luck to the purchaser! An independent valuation on the properties put them at a combined R38.6 million, so Delta is getting them off the balance sheet at a modest discount.


Lesaka closes the acquisition of Adumo (JSE: LSK)

This is a major step for the group

I think that Lesaka is one of the most interesting stories that you’ll find on the local market. In fact, we hosted the management team on Unlock the Stock recently, where I peppered them with questions and was left feeling very impressed. Here’s the full presentation and Q&A:

Key to the strategy is the acquisition of fintech businesses (like payments processers) that give Lesaka more reach into its markets of choice. The acquisition of Adumo is a major step in this regard, with the R1.67 billion acquisition now closed. They paid R232.2 million in cash and the rest in Lesaka shares, which tells you that the sellers believe in the combined story. One of those sellers happens to be African Rainbow Capital.

Adumo is South Africa’s largest independent payments processer and has been at it for over two decades. The beauty of a solid M&A strategy is that it accelerates a growth story tremendously. Nobody has the time or patience for Lesaka to try and build its own Adumo from scratch. Rather buy the thing and unlock the benefits of rolling it into a bigger group.

This is by no means Lesaka’s first acquisition. The group previously acquired Connect, Kazang and Touchsides. This is why the group talks about having a “connected ecosystem” in give countries.

Here’s an interesting nuance to the deal: due to a group of Adumo shareholders being unable to accept shares in Lesaka because of their investment mandates and Lesaka falling outside of the definition of what they are allowed to hold, Lesaka is repurchasing its shares to the value of R207.2 million from those investors. This means that the cash portion of the deal is effectively R439.4 million.

The Lesaka share price is up 23% this year.


Powerfleet completes Fleet Complete – now say it faster (JSE: PWR)

We have a new tongue twister

Powerfleet has closed the deal to acquire Fleet Complete with an effective date of 1 October. That’s a big step for them, with $15 million paid by the issuance of stock to a major seller and $60 million in cash funded by a private placement of stock. The remainder has been funded by a term loan facility with RMB.

The facility is for a term loan of $125 million. This is a bullet facility repayable after 5 years i.e. no capital is repaid until then. It bears interest at 5% per annum. Banks just love a deal structuring fee and this one is no different, with a $1.25 million fee payable as part of the package.


Nibbles:

  • Director dealings:
    • A variety of Adcock Ingram (JSE: AIP) directors sold shares received under share awards to the value of R27.6 million. The announcement doesn’t explicitly say that this is to cover taxes, so I assume that it isn’t.
    • A director of a subsidiary of AVI (JSE: AVI) received bonus shares and sold the whole lot for R737k.
    • The numbers are small, but it’s worth mentioning that several Anglo American (JSE: AGL) directors reinvested the interim dividend in shares.
  • Oando (JSE: OAO) has not met the previously communicated deadline of 30 September for its 2023 annual financial statement. They expect to file them by 23rd October,
  • Derek Cohen is stepping down as lead independent director of Octodec (JSE: OCT) for personal reasons. I usually ignore non-executive director changes, but lead independent is an important role. He will be replaced by Pieter Strydom, an existing independent non-executive director on the board.
  • Numeral (JSE: XII) has opened a Biotech subsidiary in South Africa to pursue acquisitions in that space. I don’t think I’ve ever seen a company announce that they’ve successfully registered a pty ltd, but I guess it’s about the small wins over there.

African auditors must seize the AI opportunity

We must invest to ride the wave that is transforming global auditing.

When it comes to technology, the early bird often misses out on the juiciest worm. Take the way in which Africa’s comically dire communications infrastructure, plagued by decades of non-investment, positioned it to leapfrog straight to mobile, unhampered by legacy investments in copper cabling that needed to be sweated.

While one wouldn’t recommend this as a strategy, a similar kind of serendipity gives the continent another opportunity to leverage the experience and insights of the developed world when it comes to using artificial intelligence (AI) in auditing.

At present, Africa’s auditing profession is immature when it comes to technology. One factor is that skilled human resources are typically cheaper relative than in more advanced economies, so it can seem to make sense to keep on with manual processes.

A second factor is the expense of investing in the new technologies – African auditors typically do not have the large IT budgets that their global peers do.

In truth, though, there is no option. As auditing globally becomes more proficient at using AI, and as AI itself approaches the Holy Grail of artificial generative intelligence (AGI, or AI that more closely resembles human intelligence), African auditors will have to follow suit. Their clients will demand it.

In addition, by using AI, auditors can do more with fewer people. AI enables even a small audit firm to process all the available data and to automate much of the work.

There is a lot of hype about AI in the business community, and it’s clear that companies see AI as a game changer. AI is thus receiving an increasing proportion of companies’ ICT spend, and this trend is particularly evident when it comes to the finance department. Gartner research shows that CFOs are planning to increase their technology spend largely thanks to the demand for AI. Ninety percent of respondents projected higher budgets, and none planned a reduction. They are particularly enthused about generative AI, which more closely mimics human intelligence.

IBM research indicates that CFOs are looking to AI to help them turn data into actionable insights, and help the finance workforce work more productively.

In tandem with these developments, it follows that CFOs and CEOs will increasingly expect their auditors to use AI effectively to deliver better value for money. Key expectations include audits that are more efficient, using fewer man hours and more accurate, and audits that do not just look backwards but that can predict trends.

While AI is by no means routinely used even in the developed world, but it is definitely being piloted by the majority of them. The Big Four auditors are already making massive AI investments, and the rest of the industry is following suit.

It’s a way off, but AI is on track to become as common as Excel spreadsheets in the finance world as a whole, including auditing. The revolution has already begun with Microsoft’s innovation of embedding its CoPilot AI app into Power BI. Now, finance teams will be able to summarise and identify trends in financial data using simple prompts.

African companies, and international companies with African offices, will come to insist that they get the same level of auditing excellence via AI as their competitors elsewhere in the globe.

Understanding the challenges

In short, the writing is on the wall. For African audit firms, the first step is to understand what their challenges are, and then to begin finding ways of overcoming them.

Budget. New technology is expensive, as a rule, exacerbated by the relative weakness of African currencies. For example, the inclusion of Copilot in most Microsoft applications makes better analysis of data much easier, but it costs around $30 per user per month. Similarly, workflow automation software can cost around €3,000 per licence. On the positive side, by keeping tabs on how global peers do it, African audit firms can avoid misallocating budgets to technologies that will ultimately prove to be disappointing.

Overall, African auditors should see AI as a long-term investment that will result in substantial savings and enhance their competitiveness.

Security. Large amounts of data will inevitably contain a great deal of sensitive data. Audit clients will rely on their auditors to have the right security protocols in place – another significant cost. Exposing sensitive client or company data on public AI platforms, for example, is a massive risk.

Skills shortages. While African talent will remain relatively less expensive than equivalent talent in the developed world, the specific skills needed for a more data-intensive, automated audit environment are in short supply everywhere. African audit firms will have to invest in growing their own timber.

For example, Forvis Mazars South Africa has invested in a data school that trains new graduates in software development and no/ low-code software, as well as the automation of continuous auditing.

Many of the bigger audit firms are undertaking similar initiatives, which will see more of these rare skills coming onto the market – a benefit to the industry and the ecosystems in which these firms operate. In fact, one could see potential for smaller firms to enter into formal agreements with the larger firms with their own training establishments.

There is a clear and present need to invest in AI but, as noted above, African firms can proceed cautiously with one eye on the experiences of more advanced companies outside of the continent. And, despite being competitors, there is a good argument to be made for the African auditing industry – or perhaps “ecosystem” would be a better term – to collaborate in the drive to build a bigger talent pool.

We became the mobile-first continent by accident; could we become the AI-first continent by design?

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